Storm Warning 135, NWS Anchorage, AK

466 
FZAK51 PAFC 100021
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101345-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1004 mb North Pacific low moves 200 nm southwest of Sitkinak at
988 mb Sat morning and then moves 60 nm northeast of Sand Point at
978 mb Sat afternoon. The low then moves into the southern Bering
Sat night at 970 mb. The associated front remains over the Gulf 
through Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-101345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Near
the coast, E wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101345-
Resurrection Bay-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101345-
Prince William Sound-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101345-
Port Valdez-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101345-
Valdez Narrows-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101345-
Valdez Arm-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101345-
Passage Canal-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101345-
Barren Islands East-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt after 
midnight. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101345-
Chiniak Bay-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101345-
Marmot Bay-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101345-
Shelikof Strait-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft
building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101345-
Kachemak Bay-
321 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

851 
FZAK51 PAFC 101250
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-110200-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the northern Gulf and moves into the North Gulf Coast 
by Sun morning. The trailing front persists over the central Gulf 
through Mon morning. A multiple center low complex moves over the 
western Gulf through Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-110200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Near the
coast, E wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. 
Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-110200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-110200-
Resurrection Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-110200-
Prince William Sound-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-110200-
Port Valdez-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-110200-
Valdez Narrows-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-110200-
Valdez Arm-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-110200-
Passage Canal-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-110200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-110200-
Barren Islands East-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-110200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. N
of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt after 
midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-110200-
Chiniak Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-110200-
Marmot Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-110200-
Shelikof Strait-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-110200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 11 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-110200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-110200-
Kachemak Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

713 
FZAK51 PAFC 110000
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-111245-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the northern Gulf associated with a 982 mb North 
Pacific low over the eastern Aleutians will slowly move east and 
weaken through Mon. A low pressure system will move into the 
southern Gulf Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-111245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft.
Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt except SE 45 kt near the coast. Seas 16 ft.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-111245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-111245-
Resurrection Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-111245-
Prince William Sound-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-111245-
Port Valdez-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-111245-
Valdez Narrows-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-111245-
Valdez Arm-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-111245-
Passage Canal-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-111245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-111245-
Barren Islands East-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-111245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. N
of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-111245-
Chiniak Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-111245-
Marmot Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-111245-
Shelikof Strait-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 55 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 19
ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-111245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-111245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-111245-
Kachemak Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

050 
FZAK51 PAFC 111242
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-120145-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front persists across the Gulf. A 971 mb North Pacific low moves 
into the Gulf by Mon night and moves to 40 nm south of Kodiak City at
970 mb by Tue morning. Its front moves into the north Gulf Coast 
through Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-120145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt, except 40 kt along the coast. Seas 17 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ120-120145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ121-120145-
Resurrection Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-120145-
Prince William Sound-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-120145-
Port Valdez-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-120145-
Valdez Narrows-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-120145-
Valdez Arm-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-120145-
Passage Canal-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-120145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-120145-
Barren Islands East-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ132-120145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-120145-
Chiniak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ137-120145-
Marmot Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-120145-
Shelikof Strait-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-120145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-120145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-120145-
Kachemak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
509 PM AKST Thu Nov 8 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The mainland of Alaska is currently under the influence of a
very baggy long-wave trough that extends from the Arctic southward
to the Aleutians. One embedded short-wave is currently departing
Southcentral Alaska, while, further to the west, a much deeper
system is impacting the Bering Sea and southwest mainland. The
upper jet is feeding into the long-wave, streaming across the
Aleutians. A secondary short-wave trough is digging on the
backside of the long-wave.

The system currently in the northern Gulf is weakening this
afternoon as it moves east, pushed by the building ridging ahead
of the next system. Despite light RADAR returns over Anchorage and
the Matanuska Valley all morning long, moisture was not able to
overcome the dry air at the surface, resulting in only
flurries/very light snow over eastern Anchorage and the Hillside.
However, closer to the actual surface low pressure, Cordova and
Valdez have experienced rain and snow, respectively.

The front associated with the Bering Sea system is affecting the
southwest coast; southeast winds are approaching gale-force.
Behind the front, a very convective-looking atmosphere exists with
plenty of cellular clouds, but not much has been reported along
the lines of gusty winds or showers.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Guidance is in good agreement with the large-scale pattern for the
next few days. Consensus is that digging short-wave in the Bering
trough will become the new long-wave center, while at the same
time phasing with a piece of energy cut off in the sub-tropics.
The details are still hazy but there looks to be a strong front
coming into the region by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
(Tonight through Sunday)

An area of low pressure continues to spin near Middleton Island,
bringing areas of rain and snow to locations east of a line from
the eastern Kenai through Paxson. Low-level dry air won the battle
overnight for locations to the west of here, as this mornings
sounding showed a wedge of dry air remained below 4000 feet. Look
for the precipitation tonight to gradually decrease in coverage
and intensity as it shifts east.

Our attention then turns to the next storm heading north towards
the eastern Aleutians/AKPEN. This storm will be rapidly deepening
as it heads north sending an occluded front towards the Gulf and
Southcentral. A deep moist fetch will precede the front, as the
moisture originates from near Hawaii. Current forecasts show
precipitable water values of 4 to 6 standard deviations above
normal. Needless to say, this system will have plenty of
precipitation with it. So the obvious next question is
precipitation type. Right now its too early to pin down who gets
what and how much, but, one thing is for sure. For locations near
the coast (if not further north) it'll warm up as the models show
850 mb temperatures increasing from the -8 to -10 range to +5 deg.
C in a 36 hour period. With such a strong 850mb front,
precipitation will be likely into at least the southern third to
half as Southcentral, even if the surface front hangs up near the
coast (looks like a strong barrier jet will develop, as an over-
running setup develops. Stay tuned !

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A very active pattern is underway as an occluded front is rapidly
moving inland across Southwest this evening. The front will weaken
as it moves inland, but expect a burst of snow for inland areas as
the front moves east tonight. Rain and show showers will follow
behind the front mainly along the coast as instability driven
showers move in with increasing onshore flow.

Ridging aloft will dry the region out Friday night before the next
round of active weather begins as a Pacific low moves a powerful
warm front into Southwest. This will bring threats for snow along
with a mix of rain, but some areas may see decent accumulations
east of King Salmon and west of the Western Capes Sat and into
Saturday evening. Along with E-NE winds of 35-50 MPH, this may
result in quite a bit of blowing snow as it falls which may
dramatically reduce visibility. Strong offshore winds will slowly
diminish Sunday as the front lifts north of the region but will
still remain gusty.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A powerful storm force low is moving across the western Bering Sea
with the associated occluded front moving inland across the
Southwest Alaska coast. Seas near the core of the low are in
excess of 35 feet, but these winds and seas will dramatically
diminish by Friday morning. Thereafter, broad cyclonic flow will
develop over the Bering Sea with gales over both the western and
eastern Bering Sea before the next powerful storm force low drives
into the eastern Bering Sea on Saturday then moves over into the
central Bering by Sunday, reinforcing the stout northerly cold air
advection winds over the western half of the Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Sun night through Thu)...

The longer term forecast starts out in a very active pattern late
Sunday with a large and complex low centered in the Eastern
Aleutians with a secondary center along the front in the western
Gulf of Alaska. There is a cull between these lows but a tight
pressure gradient along the front curving out of the Gulf of
Alaska...into Southcentral and Southwest Alaska and then through
most of the Bering Sea. The main low will take a round about route
into the Gulf of Alaska through the middle of the week and then
into Southeast Alaska Thursday. While this is a rather complex low
and track, the good news is that there is fairly good agreement
on models, especially in the synoptic features, which brings
increased confidence in the main elements of the forecasts.

This pattern is bringing some very warm air to the southern mainland
and southeast Bering Sea for the start of the week. Therefore there
will be some windy and rainy areas which then will transition
back to snow showers with cooling temperatures aloft. The cold air
which was displaced to the northwest by this system will move
back over the region quickly in the Monday to Monday night
timeframe as the low further occludes and moves eastward. By next
Thursday, the mainland part of the state will once again be under
an upper level trough with a ridge over the central Bering Sea
leaving the area in generally dry pattern with seasonal
temperatures.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Surf Advisory public zone 155.
None. MARINE...Storms 185
412. Gales 175-181 351 411 412 413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ML
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD/SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...EZ