Storm Warning 134, NWS Anchorage, AK

856 
FZAK52 PAFC 100028
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-101345-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 999 mb low 300 nm northwest of Saint Paul dissipates Sat 
afternoon. A 978 mb North Pacific low moves 100 nm north of Dutch
Harbor at 970 mb Sat night. The low then moves 160 nm south of
Dutch Harbor at 971 mb Sun afternoon

$$

PKZ150-101345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-101345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, E wind 30 kt
becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-101345-
Bristol Bay-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt becoming NE 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft. Rain with snow.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-101345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. From Port Moller E, E wind 35 kt becoming NE
45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, SE wind 50 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-101345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ171-101345-
Unalaska Bay-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-101345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-101345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ174-101345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-101345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-101345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.SAT...NW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-101345-
Adak to Kiska-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming NW 50 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-101345-
Kiska to Attu-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-101345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 45 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-101345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 10 
ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-101345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-101345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
328 PM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SE 20 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 25 kt becoming NE 40 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 20 kt becoming 
NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 45 kt. W of Saint 
Matthew Island, NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

045 
FZAK52 PAFC 101300
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-110145-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1002 mb low 220 nm southwest of St Matthew Island moves to 25 nm 
west of Atka and dissipates in the North Pacific Sat night. A 1000 mb
low 45 nm east of Dutch Harbor moves into the North Pacific at 976 
mb Mon morning. A 985 mb low 400 nm south of Cold Bay Sun morning 
moves to 70 nm south of Cold Bay at 974 mb by Mon morning.

$$

PKZ150-110145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind to 30 kt early increasing to 50 kt. Seas 5 ft early
building to 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-110145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon, Seas 8
ft. From the Shumagin Islands E, E wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt in 
the afternoon, Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. 
Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt except SE 15 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-110145-
Bristol Bay-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
building to 11 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-110145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. From Port Moller E, E wind 35 kt becoming
NE 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the 
afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE after midnight. From Port
Moller E, SE wind 50 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-110145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ171-110145-
Unalaska Bay-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Light winds early becoming NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft 
building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-110145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain
showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-110145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ174-110145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-110145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas
22 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-110145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
Slight chance of thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
.SUN...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-110145-
Adak to Kiska-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt in the morning. Seas 20 ft. 
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-110145-
Kiska to Attu-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-110145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 45 kt after midnight. Seas 14
ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-110145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 9 ft early building to 14 
ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-110145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.  and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-110145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
400 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 25 kt becoming NE 40 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 20 kt becoming
NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Slight chance of
thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 35 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 15 ft. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 45 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

036 
FZAK52 PAFC 110039
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-111315-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 982 mb low over Sand Point will move near 190 nm south of Dutch
Harbor at 973 mb Sun afternoon. The low will then exit into the 
North Pacific early Mon morning. The associated front over the 
central Aleutians will remain strong through Mon.

$$

PKZ150-111315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-111315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt except SE 15 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-111315-
Bristol Bay-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.  and snow.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-111315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE after midnight. From Port
Moller E, SE wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 13 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ170-111315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt west of Dutch Harbor. SE wind 25 kt east of
Dutch Harbor. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ171-111315-
Unalaska Bay-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-111315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Rain
showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-111315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 28 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-111315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-111315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 28 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-111315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.SUN...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ177-111315-
Adak to Kiska-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific 
side.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-111315-
Kiska to Attu-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-111315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming N 50 kt after midnight. Seas 15
ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-111315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 55 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain with snow.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-111315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-111315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
339 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 35 kt increasing to 50
kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16
ft.
.SUN...E of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 
kt. W of Saint Matthew Island, N 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
509 PM AKST Thu Nov 8 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The mainland of Alaska is currently under the influence of a
very baggy long-wave trough that extends from the Arctic southward
to the Aleutians. One embedded short-wave is currently departing
Southcentral Alaska, while, further to the west, a much deeper
system is impacting the Bering Sea and southwest mainland. The
upper jet is feeding into the long-wave, streaming across the
Aleutians. A secondary short-wave trough is digging on the
backside of the long-wave.

The system currently in the northern Gulf is weakening this
afternoon as it moves east, pushed by the building ridging ahead
of the next system. Despite light RADAR returns over Anchorage and
the Matanuska Valley all morning long, moisture was not able to
overcome the dry air at the surface, resulting in only
flurries/very light snow over eastern Anchorage and the Hillside.
However, closer to the actual surface low pressure, Cordova and
Valdez have experienced rain and snow, respectively.

The front associated with the Bering Sea system is affecting the
southwest coast; southeast winds are approaching gale-force.
Behind the front, a very convective-looking atmosphere exists with
plenty of cellular clouds, but not much has been reported along
the lines of gusty winds or showers.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Guidance is in good agreement with the large-scale pattern for the
next few days. Consensus is that digging short-wave in the Bering
trough will become the new long-wave center, while at the same
time phasing with a piece of energy cut off in the sub-tropics.
The details are still hazy but there looks to be a strong front
coming into the region by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
(Tonight through Sunday)

An area of low pressure continues to spin near Middleton Island,
bringing areas of rain and snow to locations east of a line from
the eastern Kenai through Paxson. Low-level dry air won the battle
overnight for locations to the west of here, as this mornings
sounding showed a wedge of dry air remained below 4000 feet. Look
for the precipitation tonight to gradually decrease in coverage
and intensity as it shifts east.

Our attention then turns to the next storm heading north towards
the eastern Aleutians/AKPEN. This storm will be rapidly deepening
as it heads north sending an occluded front towards the Gulf and
Southcentral. A deep moist fetch will precede the front, as the
moisture originates from near Hawaii. Current forecasts show
precipitable water values of 4 to 6 standard deviations above
normal. Needless to say, this system will have plenty of
precipitation with it. So the obvious next question is
precipitation type. Right now its too early to pin down who gets
what and how much, but, one thing is for sure. For locations near
the coast (if not further north) it'll warm up as the models show
850 mb temperatures increasing from the -8 to -10 range to +5 deg.
C in a 36 hour period. With such a strong 850mb front,
precipitation will be likely into at least the southern third to
half as Southcentral, even if the surface front hangs up near the
coast (looks like a strong barrier jet will develop, as an over-
running setup develops. Stay tuned !

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A very active pattern is underway as an occluded front is rapidly
moving inland across Southwest this evening. The front will weaken
as it moves inland, but expect a burst of snow for inland areas as
the front moves east tonight. Rain and show showers will follow
behind the front mainly along the coast as instability driven
showers move in with increasing onshore flow.

Ridging aloft will dry the region out Friday night before the next
round of active weather begins as a Pacific low moves a powerful
warm front into Southwest. This will bring threats for snow along
with a mix of rain, but some areas may see decent accumulations
east of King Salmon and west of the Western Capes Sat and into
Saturday evening. Along with E-NE winds of 35-50 MPH, this may
result in quite a bit of blowing snow as it falls which may
dramatically reduce visibility. Strong offshore winds will slowly
diminish Sunday as the front lifts north of the region but will
still remain gusty.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A powerful storm force low is moving across the western Bering Sea
with the associated occluded front moving inland across the
Southwest Alaska coast. Seas near the core of the low are in
excess of 35 feet, but these winds and seas will dramatically
diminish by Friday morning. Thereafter, broad cyclonic flow will
develop over the Bering Sea with gales over both the western and
eastern Bering Sea before the next powerful storm force low drives
into the eastern Bering Sea on Saturday then moves over into the
central Bering by Sunday, reinforcing the stout northerly cold air
advection winds over the western half of the Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Sun night through Thu)...

The longer term forecast starts out in a very active pattern late
Sunday with a large and complex low centered in the Eastern
Aleutians with a secondary center along the front in the western
Gulf of Alaska. There is a cull between these lows but a tight
pressure gradient along the front curving out of the Gulf of
Alaska...into Southcentral and Southwest Alaska and then through
most of the Bering Sea. The main low will take a round about route
into the Gulf of Alaska through the middle of the week and then
into Southeast Alaska Thursday. While this is a rather complex low
and track, the good news is that there is fairly good agreement
on models, especially in the synoptic features, which brings
increased confidence in the main elements of the forecasts.

This pattern is bringing some very warm air to the southern mainland
and southeast Bering Sea for the start of the week. Therefore there
will be some windy and rainy areas which then will transition
back to snow showers with cooling temperatures aloft. The cold air
which was displaced to the northwest by this system will move
back over the region quickly in the Monday to Monday night
timeframe as the low further occludes and moves eastward. By next
Thursday, the mainland part of the state will once again be under
an upper level trough with a ridge over the central Bering Sea
leaving the area in generally dry pattern with seasonal
temperatures.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Surf Advisory public zone 155.
None. MARINE...Storms 185
412. Gales 175-181 351 411 412 413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ML
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD/SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...EZ