Gale Warning 678, NWS Anchorage, AK

851 
FZAK51 PAFC 101250
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-110200-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the northern Gulf and moves into the North Gulf Coast 
by Sun morning. The trailing front persists over the central Gulf 
through Mon morning. A multiple center low complex moves over the 
western Gulf through Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-110200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Near the
coast, E wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. 
Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-110200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-110200-
Resurrection Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-110200-
Prince William Sound-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-110200-
Port Valdez-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-110200-
Valdez Narrows-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-110200-
Valdez Arm-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-110200-
Passage Canal-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-110200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-110200-
Barren Islands East-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-110200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. N
of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt after 
midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-110200-
Chiniak Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-110200-
Marmot Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-110200-
Shelikof Strait-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-110200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 11 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-110200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-110200-
Kachemak Bay-
350 AM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

713 
FZAK51 PAFC 110000
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-111245-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the northern Gulf associated with a 982 mb North 
Pacific low over the eastern Aleutians will slowly move east and 
weaken through Mon. A low pressure system will move into the 
southern Gulf Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-111245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft.
Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt except SE 45 kt near the coast. Seas 16 ft.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-111245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-111245-
Resurrection Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-111245-
Prince William Sound-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-111245-
Port Valdez-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-111245-
Valdez Narrows-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-111245-
Valdez Arm-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-111245-
Passage Canal-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-111245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-111245-
Barren Islands East-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-111245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. N
of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-111245-
Chiniak Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-111245-
Marmot Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-111245-
Shelikof Strait-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 55 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 19
ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-111245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-111245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-111245-
Kachemak Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

050 
FZAK51 PAFC 111242
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-120145-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front persists across the Gulf. A 971 mb North Pacific low moves 
into the Gulf by Mon night and moves to 40 nm south of Kodiak City at
970 mb by Tue morning. Its front moves into the north Gulf Coast 
through Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-120145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt, except 40 kt along the coast. Seas 17 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ120-120145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ121-120145-
Resurrection Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-120145-
Prince William Sound-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-120145-
Port Valdez-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-120145-
Valdez Narrows-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-120145-
Valdez Arm-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-120145-
Passage Canal-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-120145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-120145-
Barren Islands East-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ132-120145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-120145-
Chiniak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ137-120145-
Marmot Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-120145-
Shelikof Strait-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-120145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-120145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-120145-
Kachemak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
453 AM AKST Fri Nov 9 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Gale force winds associated with a strong low approaching Saint
Lawrence Island this morning are ongoing across nearly all of the
northern Bering Sea north of the Pribilofs this morning. Somewhat
colder air from off of Russia is overspreading the same areas,
leading to scattered snow showers across the region. The leading
edge of that activity is moving into Southwest Alaska this
morning, briefly lowering ceilings and visibilities as the
individual showers pass through. Since that cold air has moderated
quite a bit after crossing the relatively warm waters of the
Bering, surface temperatures across Southwest Alaska are largely
above freezing outside of the Lower Kuskokwim Valley. The leading
edge of the cooler air mass is crossing the Alaska Range, which is
the reason clouds are increasing across portions of Southcentral
this morning. Meanwhile the low which brought rain to Cordova and
snow to Valdez and Glennallen has moved into the eastern Gulf,
resulting in a couple hundred miles of relatively clear skies
between it and the advancing front moving over the Alaska Range. A
weak area of low pressure tracking south of the central Aleutians
will help draw a much stronger low currently over the central
Pacific northward, which will be the main weather maker for
southern Alaska this weekend.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The models are in reasonably good agreement through the short-
term, with the low over the northern Bering expected to wrap back
southward on Saturday, meeting up with a low moving northward out
of the north Pacific near the Alaska Peninsula on Saturday
morning. All of these features merge into one strong low over the
eastern Bering by Sunday morning. While there is good agreement
that all of the above occurs, the details of how and when all of
this happens are still very uncertain. The details are important
because the North Pacific low is expected to bring much warmer air
northward along with it, which will help to quickly change the
snow at the leading edge of it over to rain. Thus, overall large-
scale forecast confidence is high but individual details
confidence is much lower.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. There is a
very slight chance of a snow shower or two late this morning into
this evening, but any that form are unlikely to worsen
conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
A trough pushing through Southcentral Alaska today will bring
a chance of light snow to the area, primarily in the mountains.
Most low lying areas should not see much, if any, new snow.
Ridging will then build in later today helping to clear out cloud
cover brought in by the trough. However, these conditions will be
short lived as a new system approaches the Gulf from the south.

The front associated with this new system will impact Kodiak
Island Saturday morning and make it to the north Gulf Coast by
Saturday evening. This system is pulling up warm air and a long
fetch of moisture resulting in a fair amount of rain for locations
all along the north Gulf Coast. Some locations further inland and
at higher elevations will at least start off as snow before
transitioning to rain. Most of the precip will be stopped by the
coastal mountains with areas beyond the coastal ranges expected to
see minimal precip. The system will also bring stronger winds to
the gaps for areas along the north Gulf Coast and the rain and
winds look to last through Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The upper level trough pushing into Southwest Alaska will
continue to push cold air and snow showers inland today before
tapering off overnight. The low level flow will turn easterly on
Saturday with very strong east to northeast winds increasing
rapidly ahead of a strong North Pacific frontal system tracking
up from the south. The main front will reach the Bristol Bay area
Saturday afternoon and continue to lift north over the Kuskokwim
Delta and Kuskokwim Valley through Saturday night. A secondary
frontal wave will lift north over the area Sunday and Sunday
night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A cold upper level low tracking off of the Kamchatka Peninsula
will swing a trough through the Western Aleutians this afternoon
and Central Aleutians tonight, while the upper low center tracks
east to the central Bering. The trough will continue to dig south
towards the North Pacific on Saturday as a strong north Pacific
low tracks north towards the Alaska Peninsula in response. The
deepening surface low will cross the Alaska Peninsula around
Saturday afternoon and then curve back to the west Saturday night
and then track south across the Eastern Aleutians on Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Sun night through Thu)...

The longer term forecast starts out in a very active pattern late
Sunday with a large and complex low centered in the Eastern
Aleutians with a secondary center along the front in the western
Gulf of Alaska. There is a col between these lows but a tight
pressure gradient along the front curving out of the Gulf of
Alaska...into Southcentral and Southwest Alaska and then through
most of the Bering Sea. The main low will take a round-about
route into the Gulf of Alaska through the middle of the week and
then into Southeast Alaska Thursday. While this is a rather
complex low and track, the good news is that there is fairly good
agreement on models, especially in the synoptic features, which
brings increased confidence in the main elements of the forecasts.

This pattern is bringing some very warm air to the southern mainland
and southeast Bering Sea for the start of the week. Therefore there
will be some windy and rainy areas which then will transition
back to snow showers with cooling temperatures aloft. The cold air
which was displaced to the northwest by this system will move
back over the region quickly in the Monday to Monday night
timeframe as the low further occludes and moves eastward. By next
Thursday, the mainland part of the state will once again be under
an upper level trough with a ridge over the central Bering Sea
leaving the area in generally dry pattern with seasonal
temperatures.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Surf Advisory: 155.
MARINE...Storm Warning: 138 150.
Gale Warning: 120 130-132 136 137 139 155 160 165 175-178 180-185
351 352 411-414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...EZ