Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 319, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 27, 2017Okfuskee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 27, 2017, 10:32 PM CDT for Okfuskee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2017, 10:32 PM CDT (03:32 UTC)
Expired: May 27, 2017, 11:15 PM CDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Okfuskee County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 27, 4:01 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 5174 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1475 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 119 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.2
Supercell composite: 8.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

542 
WUUS54 KTSA 280332
SVRTSA
OKC107-280415-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0319.170528T0332Z-170528T0415Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1032 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northwestern Okfuskee County in east central Oklahoma...

* Until 1115 PM CDT

* At 1032 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Prague,
  moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations in or near the path include...
  Okemah...                         Boley...
  Paden...                          Castle...
  Welty...                          Mason...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma near mile marker 219.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for northeastern
and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3561 9662 3564 9643 3564 9635 3542 9631
      3541 9644 3546 9644 3546 9647 3545 9649
      3544 9648 3543 9650 3543 9652 3546 9654
      3544 9657 3540 9653 3539 9656 3541 9659
      3540 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 253DEG 11KT 3550 9665 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Lacy

2 follow-up statements

078 
WWUS54 KTSA 280352
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1052 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

OKC107-280415-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0319.000000T0000Z-170528T0415Z/
Okfuskee OK-
1052 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTY...

At 1052 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 3 miles north of
Boley, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations in or near the path include...
Okemah...                         Boley...
Paden...                          Castle...
Welty...                          Mason...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma near mile marker 219.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for northeastern
and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3561 9662 3564 9643 3564 9635 3542 9631
      3541 9644 3546 9644 3546 9647 3545 9649
      3544 9648 3543 9650 3543 9652 3546 9654
      3544 9657 3540 9653 3539 9656 3541 9659
      3540 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0352Z 255DEG 25KT 3554 9647 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Lacy

313 
WWUS54 KTSA 280406 RRA
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1106 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

OKC107-280416-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0319.000000T0000Z-170528T0415Z/
Okfuskee OK-
1106 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 1115 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for northeastern
and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3561 9662 3564 9643 3564 9635 3542 9631
      3541 9644 3546 9644 3546 9647 3545 9649
      3544 9648 3543 9650 3543 9652 3546 9654
      3544 9657 3540 9653 3539 9656 3541 9659
      3540 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0406Z 253DEG 11KT 3555 9642 

$$

Lacy

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 27, 8:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 8:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
848 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Severe threat continues across the entire area. Latest
mesoanalysis shows the synoptic front extending from far northeast
OK into western Oklahoma/TX panhandle. Another wind shift
boundary was located across northeast OK noted in mesonet and
radar data from Pryor/Tulsa/Oilton. Supercell in Okfuskee County
has recently been tornado warned and large hail/tornado potential
continues with this cell. The other strong storms are located in
south central OK and have been produced some large hail so far.

Have increased the hourly pops across the southern zones in
advance of the supercells approaching from south central Oklahoma.
Short term model guidance continue to show semi-discrete
supercells persisting for several hours. Until a more linear mode
develops, tornado threat will continue especially south of
Interstate 40.

Updates already sent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  81  58  87 /  60  10   0   0
FSM   71  83  60  87 /  70  10   0   0
MLC   67  80  57  86 /  70  10   0   0
BVO   62  81  53  87 /  40  10   0  10
FYV   64  77  51  82 /  70  10   0   0
BYV   66  78  54  82 /  70  10   0   0
MKO   66  79  57  86 /  70  10   0   0
MIO   64  80  54  84 /  60  10   0  10
F10   66  80  57  86 /  60  10   0   0
HHW   71  81  61  87 /  80  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT Sunday for OKZ049-053-067>076.

AR...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT Sunday for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-
     029.

&&

SHORT TERM...06
AVIATION....30

CORFIDI

Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 4:57 PM CDT, 5 hours 35 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
457 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
457 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY TONIGHT WITH DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WITH A FEW STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Late afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Critical.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
    ONSET...Late afternoon.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Along and north of Interstate 44 through early evening,
    then along and south of Interstate 44 tonight.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Early evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Early evening.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Latest surface mesoanalysis shows boundary across far northeast
Oklahoma. OK mesonet observations and radar data suggest
convective towers are developing along a line from just north of
Vinita southwest toward central Osage County - near Pawhuska. We
are monitoring this area for first development this afternoon.

Elevated showers and storms are approaching from central Oklahoma
with a few lightning strikes noted. The cap has held strong to
this point but once the cap is breached, explosive storm
development is likely given extreme instability in place. All
modes of severe will be likely, including very large hail,
damaging wind gusts and tornadoes.

Eventually, storms will increase in coverage and likely
transition toward a damaging wind threat by mid to late evening as
they develop southeastward. Additionally, an axis of heavy
rainfall is likely from northwest Arkansas through eastern
Oklahoma. Recent heavy rainfall may allow for rapid onset flash
flooding in a few locations.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Regional Spotter Network has been activated.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY through FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Storms will begin to shift southeast of the region Sunday morning
with dry conditions on Monday and Tuesday. Low thunderstorm
chances return mid to late week, with limited additional severe
weather potential.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
A Tornado Watch is in effect through midnight for all of eastern
Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Initiation of storms is expected
within the next hour or so. The holiday weekend will provide
numerous outdoor exposures which will further increase the
potential for a rapid safety response. Outdoor activities may need
to be cancelled this evening, especially if you are unable to
quickly move indoors to a substantial shelter.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

CORFIDI

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 27, 9:55 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
955 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             3 N FAIRLAND            36.79N 94.85W
05/27/2017  E2.00 INCH       OTTAWA             OK   PUBLIC

            TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

AEJ

Local storm report, May 27, 10:07 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1007 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1006 PM     HAIL             3 W SCHULTER            35.51N 96.01W
05/27/2017  E0.88 INCH       OKMULGEE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JDS

Special weather statement, May 27, 10:14 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1014 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ069-280400-
Carroll AR-Madison AR-Benton AR-Washington AR-Adair OK-
1014 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN BENTON...MADISON...
SOUTHERN CARROLL...WASHINGTON AND CENTRAL ADAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 1100
PM CDT...

At 1014 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles north of Carrollton to 3 miles northwest of
Huntsville to Lincoln. Movement was east at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Fayetteville...                   Springdale...
Siloam Springs...                 Huntsville...
Farmington...                     Prairie Grove...
Elkins...                         West Fork...
Lincoln...                        Westville...
Greenland...                      Watts...
Hindsville...                     Wesley...
Carrollton...                     Rudd...
Cincinnati...                     Forum...
Maryetta...                       Aurora...

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 46 and 69.

A tornado watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for northwestern
Arkansas...and northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3612 9348 3608 9348 3608 9345 3597 9345
      3596 9347 3583 9417 3584 9481 3585 9481
      3616 9456 3613 9393 3634 9387 3626 9330
      3612 9330
TIME...MOT...LOC 0314Z 289DEG 31KT 3632 9332 3611 9379 3595 9444

69

Local storm report, May 27, 10:16 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1016 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             CHELSEA                 36.54N 95.43W
05/27/2017  E2.00 INCH       ROGERS             OK   PUBLIC

&&

AEJ

Local storm report, May 27, 10:17 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1017 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1009 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SW MORRIS             35.58N 95.90W
05/27/2017  M60 MPH          OKMULGEE           OK   MESONET

&&

JDS

Special weather statement, May 27, 10:17 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1017 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

OKZ057-058-061>063-280400-
Craig OK-Rogers OK-Delaware OK-Ottawa OK-Mayes OK-
1017 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN CRAIG...NORTHEASTERN
ROGERS...NORTHWESTERN DELAWARE...SOUTH CENTRAL OTTAWA AND NORTHERN
MAYES COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

At 1017 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 5 miles northwest
of Adair, moving east at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Vinita...                         Jay...
Grove...                          Chelsea...
Langley...                        Adair...
Bernice...                        Ketchum...
Disney...                         Big Cabin...
Pensacola...                      Honey Creek State Park...
Cherokee State Park...            Bernice State Park...
Cleora...                         Chloeta...
White Oak...                      Strang...
Zena...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 260 and 287.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A tornado watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for northeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3646 9468 3633 9543 3659 9547 3672 9476
TIME...MOT...LOC 0317Z 256DEG 34KT 3648 9536

69

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 27, 7:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Ottawa	20 min
May 27, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Mayes, Nowata, Rogers	63 min
May 27, 7:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	47 min
May 27, 7:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee	55 min
May 27, 8:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Mayes	50 min
May 27, 8:26 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee	49 min
May 27, 8:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek	30 min
May 27, 8:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes	51 min
May 27, 8:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	42 min
May 27, 8:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Mayes	53 min
May 27, 8:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Tulsa	35 min
May 27, 8:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	47 min
May 27, 9:09 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee	3 hr
May 27, 9:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	34 min
May 27, 9:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee	46 min
May 27, 9:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers	29 min
May 27, 9:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes, Rogers, Wagoner	39 min
May 27, 9:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	34 min
May 27, 9:39 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee	4 hr
May 27, 9:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Wagoner	63 min
May 27, 9:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	47 min
May 27, 9:46 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Delaware, Mayes	3 hr
May 27, 9:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Wagoner	44 min
May 27, 10:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	46 min
May 27, 10:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	43 min
May 27, 10:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee	37 min
May 27, 10:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pittsburg, Pushmataha	35 min
May 27, 10:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Ottawa, Rogers	61 min
May 27, 10:45 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Adair	3 hr
May 27, 10:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Sequoyah	42 min
May 27, 11:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Ottawa	51 min
May 27, 11:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pittsburg, Pushmataha	65 min
May 27, 11:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah	41 min
May 27, 11:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	35 min
May 27, 11:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Ottawa	37 min
May 28, 12:05 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha	40 min
May 28, 12:37 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha	38 min
May 28, 12:58 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	32 min
May 28, 1:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	30 min
May 28, 1:27 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	33 min
May 28, 1:34 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek	41 min
May 28, 1:44 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	31 min
May 28, 2:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okmulgee	26 min
May 28, 2:23 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw	37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.