Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59

March 1, 20174 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 1, 2017, 3:02 PM EST for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 1, 2017, 3:02 PM EST (20:02 UTC)
Expired
Mar 1, 2017, 10:00 PM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 75 counties

Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hart County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Alamance County, NC, Alexander County, NC, Anson County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Durham County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Polk County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Union County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC, City of Danville, VA, Halifax County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 4:17 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGraham, Swain43 min
Mar 1, 4:34 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke, Caldwell, Catawba, McDowell41 min
Mar 1, 4:40 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPBurke, Catawba35 min
Mar 1, 5:03 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCleveland, Polk, Rutherford42 min
Mar 1, 5:07 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPAlexander, Catawba, Iredell38 min
Mar 1, 5:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPFranklin, Habersham, Stephens51 min
Mar 1, 5:40 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Iredell, Rowan35 min
Mar 1, 5:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCleveland, Gaston, Lincoln45 min
Mar 1, 5:50 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPFranklin, Hart, Stephens40 min
Mar 1, 5:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph61 min
Mar 1, 6:19 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Gaston, Iredell, Lincoln, Mecklenburg, Rowan56 min
Mar 1, 6:29 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAbbeville, Anderson, Greenville, Laurens, Pickens, Spartanburg46 min
Mar 1, 6:33 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAnderson, Greenville, Pickens, Spartanburg27 min
Mar 1, 6:47 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Guilford, Orange, Randolph43 min
Mar 1, 7:10 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCherokee, Greenville, Laurens, Spartanburg, Union50 min
Mar 1, 7:11 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Montgomery, Randolph, Stanly49 min
Mar 1, 7:11 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEFairfield, Newberry79 min
Mar 1, 7:12 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Gaston, Mecklenburg, Union48 min
Mar 1, 7:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Gaston, Mecklenburg, Union75 min
Mar 1, 7:57 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHMontgomery, Moore, Randolph, Stanly48 min
Mar 1, 8:15 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEKershaw, Lancaster45 min
Mar 1, 8:17 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Wake43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 27 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 312 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
27 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-165 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
878 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
312 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
375 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 11:08 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Fannin, Floyd and 6 more2 hr
Mar 1, 12:48 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee, Dade, Dawson and 13 more6 hr
Mar 1, 2:07 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRabun113 min
Mar 1, 3:11 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee, Dade, Fannin and 9 more2 hr
Mar 1, 3:43 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarrow, Butts, Carroll, Clarke, Clayton, Cobb and 28 more3 hr
Mar 1, 4:43 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBanks, Barrow, Carroll, Clarke, Clayton, Cobb and 22 more4 hr
Mar 1, 6:54 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Barrow, Butts, Carroll, Clarke, Clayton and 31 more2 hr
Mar 1, 9:44 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Forsyth, Granville and 8 more91 min
Mar 1, 10:38 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 3 more4 hr
Mar 1, 12:25 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry65 min
Mar 1, 12:50 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGates, Granville, Halifax, Hertford, Northampton, Vance and 1 more55 min
Mar 1, 6:21 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Cabarrus and 40 more114 min
Feb 28, 8:46 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Henry, Lake, Lauderdale and 3 more119 min
Feb 28, 9:29 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCCarroll, Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Henry and 6 more12 hr
Mar 1, 3:09 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson, Haywood, Henry and 6 more2 hr
Mar 1, 4:03 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 15 more5 hr
Mar 1, 5:19 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 57 more56 min
Mar 1, 5:57 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee, Cumberland and 32 more5 hr
Mar 1, 6:28 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Benton, Bledsoe, Campbell, Cannon and 57 more2 hr
Mar 1, 7:47 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Campbell, Carter, Claiborne and 23 more5 hr
Mar 1, 8:28 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Campbell, Cannon, Claiborne and 37 more92 min
Mar 1, 1:13 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAccomack, Amelia, Caroline, Charles City, Chesterfield, Cumberland and 29 more4 hr
Mar 1, 2:50 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAccomack, Charles City, Chesterfield, Gloucester, Henrico, James City and 16 more55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Carolina, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Georgia, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.