Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 515
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Nov 5, 2017, 6:31 PM EST for 26 counties in Indiana; 29 counties in Kentucky; 19 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 5, 2017, 6:31 PM EST (23:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 6, 2017, 1:00 AM EST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 74 counties
Bartholomew County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Washington County, IN, Barren County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Larue County, KY, Meade County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Licking County, OH, Madison County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Warren County, OH
The radar
The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 6:56 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Delaware, Fairfield, Franklin, Licking, Pickaway | 34 min |
| Nov 5, 6:57 PM EST | Tornado Warning | IND | Brown, Monroe | 33 min |
| Nov 5, 7:08 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Fayette, Union, Wayne | 3 hr |
| Nov 5, 7:16 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fairfield, Licking | 44 min |
| Nov 5, 7:24 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Miami, Montgomery | 3 hr |
| Nov 5, 7:34 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Clark | 3 hr |
| Nov 5, 7:43 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IND | Bartholomew, Decatur | 32 min |
| Nov 5, 8:01 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Orange | 29 min |
| Nov 5, 8:04 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Clinton, Greene, Warren | 26 min |
| Nov 5, 10:03 PM EST | Tornado Warning | IND | Jackson | 11 min |
| Nov 5, 10:49 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Franklin | 2 hr |
| Nov 5, 10:55 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Dearborn, Ripley | 3 hr |
| Nov 5, 11:00 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Washington | 30 min |
| Nov 5, 11:07 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Washington | 23 min |
| Nov 5, 11:26 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Grayson, Ohio | 34 min |
| Nov 5, 11:39 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Dearborn, Ohio | 4 hr |
| Nov 6, 12:34 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Clermont, Warren | 2 hr |
| Nov 6, 12:43 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Brown, Clinton, Highland | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 214 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -21 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 522 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 187 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 209 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 7:04 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cass, Clay, Clinton and 15 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 5, 11:48 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Daviess, Dearborn, Decatur, Greene and 8 more | 57 min |
| Nov 5, 12:08 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown, Carroll and 44 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 5, 12:09 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fountain, Vermillion, Vigo, Warren | 66 min |
| Nov 5, 1:36 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, Clinton, Grant, Hamilton, Howard and 4 more | 54 min |
| Nov 5, 3:51 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gibson, Knox, Posey, Sullivan, Vanderburgh, Vigo and 1 more | 114 min |
| Nov 5, 4:50 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Gibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick | 6 hr |
| Nov 5, 5:58 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Dearborn and 28 more | 62 min |
| Nov 5, 11:29 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Defiance, Erie, Fulton, Geauga and 14 more | 91 min |
| Nov 5, 2:29 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Auglaize, Mercer | 31 min |
| Nov 5, 3:57 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Ashland, Auglaize, Crawford, Hancock, Hardin and 9 more | 63 min |
| Nov 5, 4:51 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Columbiana, Geauga, Mahoning, Portage, Stark and 2 more | 114 min |
| Nov 5, 5:28 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashtabula, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Geauga and 13 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.