Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491

October 1, 201724 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 1, 2017, 6:32 PM CDT for 24 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 1, 2017, 6:32 PM CDT (23:32 UTC)
Expired
Oct 1, 2017, 11:57 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Clay County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Knox County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 1, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Garfield, Holt, Loup45 min
Oct 1, 7:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLBFCuster, Loup6 hr
Oct 1, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt46 min
Oct 1, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDWebster38 min
Oct 1, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Webster45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-10-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 280 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-10-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 4 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
280 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-150 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1058 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 1, 2:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Dawson, Dundy, Frontier, Furnas, Gosper and 7 more66 min
Oct 1, 3:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBuffalo, Chase, Custer, Dawson, Dundy, Franklin and 16 more8 hr
Oct 1, 6:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Chase, Custer, Dawson, Dundy and 19 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.