Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 421

July 19, 20178 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Minnesota; 11 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 19, 2017, 3:29 PM CDT for 8 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Minnesota; 11 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2017, 3:29 PM CDT (20:29 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2017, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 26 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Howard County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Houston County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Grant County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Richland County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge, Mower, Olmsted60 min
Jul 19, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFloyd, Mitchell65 min
Jul 19, 4:36 PM CDTTornado WarningARXDodge, Olmsted24 min
Jul 19, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFillmore, Olmsted, Wabasha, Winona70 min
Jul 19, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXChickasaw, Howard, Winneshiek63 min
Jul 19, 5:04 PM CDTTornado WarningARXMitchell10 min
Jul 19, 5:13 PM CDTTornado WarningARXHoward32 min
Jul 19, 5:19 PM CDTTornado WarningARXHoward10 min
Jul 19, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXHouston, Winona71 min
Jul 19, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAllamakee, Clayton, Fayette, Winneshiek80 min
Jul 19, 5:33 PM CDTTornado WarningARXFillmore19 min
Jul 19, 5:44 PM CDTTornado WarningARXWinneshiek13 min
Jul 19, 5:47 PM CDTTornado WarningARXFayette11 min
Jul 19, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WarningARXClayton24 min
Jul 19, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXCrawford, Grant, Richland73 min
Jul 19, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXLa Crosse, Vernon42 min
Jul 19, 6:59 PM CDTTornado WarningARXGrant, Richland31 min
Jul 19, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXRichland, Vernon58 min
Jul 19, 7:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXCrawford, Grant, Richland55 min
Jul 19, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXRichland27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2017-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2017-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1964 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

807 
WWUS20 KWNS 192026
SEL1  
SPC WW 192026
IAZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-200200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 421
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Iowa
  Southeast Minnesota
  Southwest Wisconsin

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 330 PM
  until 900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A fast-moving bow echo over southern MN will track across
the watch area late this afternoon, posing a threat of damaging wind
gusts and perhaps hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles southwest of
Rochester MN to 125 miles east southeast of Rochester MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 420...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29040.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 12:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Chickasaw and 20 more2 hr
Jul 19, 12:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 7 more5 hr
Jul 19, 2:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Howard, Winneshiek2 hr
Jul 19, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCLyon, Plymouth, Sioux, Woodbury6 hr
Jul 19, 5:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Clayton, Clinton, Delaware, Dubuque, Jackson and 1 more34 min
Jul 19, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuchanan, Cedar, Clinton, Delaware, Dubuque, Jackson and 3 more6 hr
Jul 19, 6:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd, Howard and 2 more58 min
Jul 19, 9:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLincoln, Lyon, Pipestone, Yellow Medicine2 hr
Jul 19, 9:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKittson, Marshall, Pennington, Roseau3 hr
Jul 19, 1:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Cottonwood, Jackson, Lincoln, Lyon and 5 more92 min
Jul 19, 2:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Cottonwood, Faribault, Freeborn, Le Sueur and 5 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.