Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 423

July 19, 201723 counties in Illinois; 9 counties in Iowa; 14 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 19, 2017, 5:45 PM CDT for 23 counties in Illinois; 9 counties in Iowa; 14 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2017, 5:45 PM CDT (22:45 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2017, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 46 counties

Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Linn County, IA, Scott County, IA, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Columbia County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Green County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Waukesha County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware, Dubuque61 min
Jul 19, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXIowa, Lafayette, Sauk73 min
Jul 19, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson78 min
Jul 19, 7:01 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXIowa, Sauk29 min
Jul 19, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDelaware, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones, Linn57 min
Jul 19, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane, Green, Rock80 min
Jul 19, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle, Winnebago54 min
Jul 19, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Sauk81 min
Jul 19, 7:48 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXDane, Green, Rock42 min
Jul 19, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXJefferson, Rock, Walworth67 min
Jul 19, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, Lee, McHenry, Ogle, Winnebago51 min
Jul 19, 8:16 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, Ogle, Winnebago29 min
Jul 19, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, LaSalle, Lee30 min
Jul 19, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Kendall and 4 more56 min
Jul 19, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth26 min
Jul 19, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Grundy, Kendall, Will67 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2017-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 147 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2017-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 56 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
147 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-138 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1286 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 5:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Lee and 5 more34 min
Jul 19, 12:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Chickasaw and 20 more2 hr
Jul 19, 12:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 7 more5 hr
Jul 19, 2:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Howard, Winneshiek2 hr
Jul 19, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd, Howard and 2 more6 hr
Jul 19, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCLyon, Plymouth, Sioux, Woodbury6 hr
Jul 19, 6:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd, Howard and 2 more58 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.