Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 209

May 11, 20179 counties in Arkansas; 13 parishes in Louisiana; 60 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 11, 2017, 2:43 PM CDT for 9 counties in Arkansas; 13 parishes in Louisiana; 60 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2017, 2:43 PM CDT (19:43 UTC)
Expired
May 12, 2017, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 82 counties

Columbia County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Delta County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Houston County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Walker County, TX, Washington County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 169 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXMadison15 min
May 11, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMilam, Robertson46 min
May 11, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLittle River, Sevier64 min
May 11, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDelta, Hopkins, Lamar36 min
May 11, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXTravis, Williamson40 min
May 11, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith, Upshur, Wood54 min
May 11, 5:26 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVSmith, Upshur, Wood49 min
May 11, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVRed River26 min
May 11, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDFreestone, Limestone54 min
May 11, 6:10 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVGregg, Smith, Upshur50 min
May 11, 6:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLeon57 min
May 11, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Smith, Upshur59 min
May 11, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMilam27 min
May 11, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk62 min
May 11, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Trinity41 min
May 11, 7:08 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVPanola, Rusk19 min
May 11, 7:11 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk24 min
May 11, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVPanola33 min
May 11, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches65 min
May 11, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo64 min
May 11, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson, Washington34 min
May 11, 8:17 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVBossier, Caddo28 min
May 11, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHopkins59 min
May 11, 8:32 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVNacogdoches, Rusk, Shelby43 min
May 11, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNacogdoches, Rusk, San Augustine, Shelby50 min
May 11, 8:52 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVLafayette18 min
May 11, 9:00 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVShelby29 min
May 11, 9:08 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Titus, Wood52 min
May 11, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Sabine43 min
May 11, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Cass, Morris, Titus44 min
May 11, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson, Henderson58 min
May 11, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Smith54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1665 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 12:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more8 hr
May 11, 1:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier2 hr
May 11, 2:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 34 more116 min
May 11, 3:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark and 45 more7 hr
May 11, 5:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Carroll and 56 more56 min
May 11, 6:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Washington83 min
May 11, 6:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo115 min
May 10, 8:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Edwards and 15 more119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.