Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 91

January 21, 201726 counties in Georgia; 12 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 21, 2017, 3:06 PM EST for 26 counties in Georgia; 12 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 21, 2017, 3:06 PM EST (20:06 UTC)
Expired
Jan 21, 2017, 4:30 PM EST
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 38 counties

Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Burke County, GA, Candler County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Screven County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Aiken County, SC, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Beaufort County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Jasper County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC

The radar

The Charleston,SC radar (KCLX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2017-01-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 138 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2017-01-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
138 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
581 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

535 
ACUS11 KWNS 212006
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212006 
SCZ000-GAZ000-212130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0091
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0206 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

Areas affected...portions of southeast GA into southeast SC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 13...

Valid 212006Z - 212130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 13 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado and damaging wind threat will continue across
WW 13 this afternoon. A greater tornado threat may be developing
across portions southeast GA into southeast SC in the vicinity of
the Savannah River Valley and coastal plain.

DISCUSSION...There has been an increase in coverage and intensity
during the last hour or so of low level rotation signatures near the
Savannah River. Latest surface analysis and investigation of
regional VWP data shows that some backing of low level winds has
enhance 0-1km shear in this vicinity.  This area, indicated by the
black hatched area in the MCD graphic, may have a greater tornado
and widespread wind damage threat than further south along the ling
where low level flow has veered. That aside, damaging winds also
will still be possible within the entire watch area. Some local
aerial extension of the watch my be necessary over parts of SC and
far southeast GA and trends will continue to be monitored closely.

..Leitman.. 01/21/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   32178231 32638201 33088208 33608223 33828202 33868120
            33868098 33678039 33098001 32518013 31668082 31018145
            30858181 30808229 30888301 31408311 31868273 32178231

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 21, 8:41 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Baldwin, Ben Hill, Berrien, Bibb, Bleckley and 53 more94 min
Jan 21, 9:04 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBaker, Baldwin, Ben Hill, Berrien, Bibb, Bleckley and 70 more6 hr
Jan 21, 10:19 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Baldwin, Ben Hill, Bibb, Bleckley, Butts and 50 more86 min
Jan 21, 1:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Baldwin, Ben Hill and 73 more114 min
Jan 21, 1:51 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Bryan, Bulloch, Burke and 19 more4 hr
Jan 21, 2:12 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBerrien, Brooks, Colquitt, Cook, Grady, Lanier and 2 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.