Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 769

May 18, 20175 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 18, 2017, 7:19 PM CDT for 5 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 26 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2017, 7:19 PM CDT (00:19 UTC)
Expired
May 18, 2017, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Alfalfa County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Major County, OK, Woods County, OK

The radar

The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2017-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 11 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2017-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 349 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
11 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-229 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
808 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
93 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
349 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
249 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

161 
ACUS11 KWNS 190020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190019 
OKZ000-KSZ000-190045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0769
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0719 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

Areas affected...northwest and north-central OK

Concerning...Tornado Watch 235...

Valid 190019Z - 190045Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 235 continues.

SUMMARY...Large hail and severe gusts will become the main threats
with storms over northern OK this evening.

DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows several strong/severe thunderstorms
across northwestern OK and farther east near I-35 in north-central
OK.  OK mesonet surface observations show considerable cooling of
the boundary layer has occurred due to widespread convection. 
Surface temperatures are near 70 degrees F and dewpoints in the
lower to middle 60s.  As a result, moderate buoyancy still resides
across the discussion area despite lessening boundary layer
instability.  While a tornado is possible over the next 30 minutes,
it appears the primary severe hazards will continue to transition to
hail (possibly wind-driven) and severe gusts with the stronger
storms.

..Smith.. 05/19/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON   36189757 36089960 37069862 36909735 36389728 36189757

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 7:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Jefferson, Johnston, Love, Murray, Pontotoc62 min
May 18, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Atoka, Bryan, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 26 more6 hr
May 18, 9:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer and 4 more94 min
May 19, 10:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Jefferson, Love, Marshall94 min
May 19, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Ottawa, Sequoyah92 min
May 19, 3:26 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Choctaw and 19 more11 hr
May 19, 3:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGrant, Kay92 min
May 19, 4:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Grant, Kay4 hr
May 19, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Choctaw and 24 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.