Alert archive / Alabama / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 613

April 30, 201722 counties in Alabama; 8 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 30, 2017, 10:06 AM CDT for 22 counties in Alabama; 8 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 30, 2017, 10:06 AM CDT (15:06 UTC)
Expired
Apr 30, 2017, 11:30 AM CDT
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 30 counties

Autauga County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Colbert County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Shelby County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL, Chickasaw County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lee County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Union County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 110 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2017-04-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 53 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2017-04-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
53 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-333 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
867 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
224 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

881 
ACUS11 KWNS 301506
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301506 
ALZ000-MSZ000-301630-

Mesoscale Discussion 0613
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1006 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

Areas affected...northeast Mississippi through central and northern
Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 181...

Valid 301506Z - 301630Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 181 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for mainly isolated damaging wind and a few
tornadoes is expected to persist across the remainder of WW 181
including eastern MS and southeast LA. Based on current trends, a
downstream tornado watch will probably be needed prior to 16Z that
would include northeast MS and portions of central and northern AL.

DISCUSSION...Line of strong to severe storms continues advancing
east at 35-40 kt through MS with embedded organized structures
evident including meso-vortices as well as a book-end vortex and
bowing segment over central MS. The 12Z RAOB from Birmingham AL
showed limited instability, substantial capping inversion and weak
0-6 km vertical shear. However, winds aloft will gradually
strengthen farther east today as a mid-level jet rotates newd
through the eastern periphery of upper low circulation. Though
widespread multi-layer clouds will slow diabatic warming of boundary
layer, at least weak theta-e advection along the strong southerly
low-level jet and some cloud breaks should contribute to 500-1000
J/kg MLCAPE and weakening convective inhibition. These processes
might be sufficient to sustain a severe threat farther east into AL
into the afternoon.

..Dial.. 04/30/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   33868929 34758890 34808762 34168667 32798611 32198662
            32238807 33528824 33868929

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 10:36 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Blount, Chilton, Choctaw and 27 more8 hr
Apr 30, 1:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Cleburne, DeKalb, Etowah, Jackson, Madison and 1 more54 min
Apr 30, 1:36 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa and 10 more5 hr
Apr 30, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne and 8 more2 hr
Apr 30, 12:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Panola, Quitman, Sunflower and 3 more96 min
Apr 30, 1:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDeSoto, Tunica6 hr
Apr 30, 1:14 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Claiborne, Jefferson, Wilkinson91 min
Apr 30, 1:49 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Claiborne, Franklin, Issaquena, Jefferson, Sharkey and 3 more7 hr
Apr 30, 2:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeSoto, Marshall, Tate, Tunica92 min
Apr 30, 5:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeSoto, Tunica64 min
Apr 30, 6:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Amite, Claiborne, Franklin, Issaquena, Jefferson and 4 more93 min
Apr 30, 6:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmite, Attala, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw and 50 more2 hr
Apr 30, 7:32 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAmite, Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay and 42 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.