Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS Springfield, MO

673 
WWUS53 KSGF 070645
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1245 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2017

MOC065-070715-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-170307T0715Z/
Dent MO-
1245 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CST
FOR SOUTHERN DENT COUNTY...

At 1245 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles southeast
of Salem, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Montauk State Park...             Salem...
Bunker...                         Montauk...
Turtle...                         Boss...
Jadwin...                         Howes Mill...
Darien...                         Stone Hill...
Gladden...                        

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 300 AM CST for south central
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3751 9131 3750 9121 3742 9121 3743 9174
      3755 9175 3762 9154 3770 9133 3770 9130
      3769 9115 3759 9116 3759 9131
TIME...MOT...LOC 0645Z 274DEG 37KT 3759 9136 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Frye

857 
WWUS53 KSGF 070706
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
106 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2017

MOC065-070716-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-170307T0715Z/
Dent MO-
106 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN DENT COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 115 AM CST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and have exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 300 AM CST for south central
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3751 9131 3750 9121 3742 9121 3743 9174
      3755 9175 3762 9154 3770 9133 3770 9130
      3769 9115 3759 9116 3759 9131
TIME...MOT...LOC 0706Z 270DEG 49KT 3759 9103 

$$

Frye

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1101 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 235 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Strong southerly flow continues to push relatively warm and moist
air into the area ahead of a dry line and cold front to our west.
Low level mixing this afternoon has limited dewpoints a bit, but
much of the area is still on track to see low to perhaps mid 60s
dewpoints by this evening. This will result in a moderately
unstable airmass across the region, setting the stage for severe
weather this evening into the overnight hours.

The first opportunity for severe weather will occur during the
early to mid evening hours, particularly west of Highway 65.
As height falls overspread the frontal zone, a few supercells may
develop across the warm sector, perhaps affecting the western
portions of the forecast area. Development of these discrete
supercells is still in question, but should they form, large hail
and tornadoes will be possible given very favorable shear
profiles.

Later this evening, additional development along the front will
grow upscale into a large linear complex, which will eventually
sweep east-southeast through the area from mid to late evening
into the predawn hours on Tuesday. Wind gusts to 70 MPH and large
hail appear likely with this activity. In addition, low level
shear vectors will be favorable for QLCS/mesovortex tornadoes with
the line, particularly where line segments are able to surge to
the east or east-northeast.

The discrete supercell threat will be greatest from 6-7 PM through
9-10 PM across the western CWA. By 10 PM, the line of
thunderstorms should be moving into southeastern Kansas and
western Missouri, with the line reaching a BBG to SGF to VIH line
between 11 and midnight. The line should then sweep across the
eastern half or so of the CWA through 3 AM.

Precipitation should clear the area by sunrise tomorrow, with
cooler and much drier air building into the area for Tuesday.
Gusty west to northwest winds will combine with RH between 15 and
20 percent to result in widespread elevated to significant fire
weather conditions on Tuesday. Winds will be strongest north of
I-44, and a Red Flag Warning will be in effect for this area from
11 AM through 7 PM Tuesday.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 235 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Zonal to slightly northwest flow will keep things dry and mild
through Thursday, with rain chances returning to the region from
Friday into the weekend. Temperatures will be cooler over the
weekend, though still at or just a hair above average. Fire
weather will again be a concern on Wednesday, with winds becoming
southerly and RH dropping to around 20 percent during the
afternoon. More appreciable moisture will finally build into the
area by Thursday ahead of the next storm system.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1056 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Line of convection was quickly shifting east across the forecast
area late this evening. Very strong winds are accompanying the
linear convection with wind gusts of 60-70+ mph. The line has
shifted through JLN and should see a few hours of gusty winds
continuing there. Convection was just now shifting into SGF and
will continue into the first hour or two of the 06z TAFS and it
should push into BBG by 07-09z. There will be a brief period of
MVFR to possible IFR with the convection, but should clear rapidly
behind the line of convection. Should be clear sky for the
remainder of the period, but will see westerly surface wind gusts
pick back up by mid to late morning and continuing through the
afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 235 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

A Red Flag Warning is in effect for areas along and north of I-44
on Tuesday, as very dry air builds into the region along with
gusty west to northwest winds. Right now, it looks like sustained
wind speeds may just touch Red Flag criteria on Tuesday; however,
very low RH is expected, with afternoon values between 15 and 20
percent.

Winds will become southerly on Wednesday, with RH expected to be
around 20 percent during the afternoon. Some parts of southeast
Kansas and western Missouri may again flirt with Red Flag
criteria.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CST Tuesday for MOZ055>058-
     066>070-077>081-088>090-094.

KS...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CST Tuesday for KSZ073-097-
     101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Boxell
LONG TERM...Boxell
AVIATION...Lindenberg
FIRE WEATHER...Boxell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
921 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-080330-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
921 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

Elevated Tornado risk.
Elevated Hail risk.
Significant Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Significant Lightning risk.
Elevated Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

A line of severe thunderstorms over western Missouri and southeast
Kansas will continue to move quickly to the east and southeast
through the outlook area over the next six hours.

Damaging winds of 60 to 80 mph are expected with storms as they
move into central and southwest Missouri.

A few scattered storms are also developing ahead of the line in
Arkansas. These should also be monitored for severe development as
they move northeast into southern Missouri.

All modes of severe weather will be possible including tornadoes,
hail and damaging winds, but short term emphasis will be on
damaging winds and possible tornadoes with the line of storms
moving into southwest and west central Missouri.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Behind the frontal passage, a mild and very dry air mass will
return to the region Tuesday. Elevated to significant fire
weather conditions will be possible Tuesday and to a lesser
extent on Wednesday. A Red Flag Warning has been issued for areas
along and north of the Interstate 44 corridor for Tuesday.

Thunderstorms will again be possible late in the week into the
first part of the weekend as a front sets up in the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will continue to be needed over the next few
hours.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1135 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW I-44 NEAR MILE MA 37.23N 93.34W
03/06/2017                   GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED AT COLGATE AND DIVISION,
            SPRINGFIELD, MO. LARGE TREE DOWN WITH POWER
            OUTAGE AT COLGATE AND DIVISION IN
            SPRINGFIELD PER HAM RADIO.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1138 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1133 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MACKS CREEK             37.97N 92.97W
03/06/2017                   CAMDEN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HWY W, CARPORTS DAMAGED, MOBILE HOME
            DESTROYED, ONE SPOTTER REPORTS IT LOOKS LIKE
            A WAR ZONE.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1141 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1139 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW SPRINGFIELD       37.21N 93.29W
03/06/2017                   GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CONFIRMED REPORT OF PARTIAL ROOF COLLAPSE.
            COMMERCIAL BUILDING WITH UNKNOWN OCCUPANCY
            AT THIS TIME.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1143 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE SPRINGFIELD       37.21N 93.28W
03/06/2017                   GREENE             MO   PUBLIC

            REPORTED AT NATIONAL AND CHESTNUT,
            SPRINGFIELD, MO.LARGE TREE REPORTED ON
            CORNER OF NATIONAL/CHESTNUT, STORM SPOTTER
            CONFIRMED TREE IS DOWN.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1145 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW I-44 NEAR MILE MAR 37.22N 93.31W
03/06/2017                   GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RESIDENCE WITH TREE ON ROOF.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1205 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1111 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW I-44 NEAR MILE MA 37.64N 92.70W
03/06/2017                   LACLEDE            MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            HOUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. UNSPECIFIED
            SEVERITY. TIME ESTIMATED. .

&&

DSA