Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Springfield, MO

106 
WWUS53 KSGF 070539 RRA
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1139 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

MOC009-043-109-119-209-070549-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-170307T0545Z/
Christian MO-Stone MO-McDonald MO-Barry MO-Lawrence MO-
1139 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL CHRISTIAN...
NORTHERN STONE...EASTERN MCDONALD...BARRY AND SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1145 PM CST...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty 
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms. Severe 
thunderstorm warnings remain further east with these storms.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 300 AM CST for southwestern
Missouri.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Springfield.

LAT...LON 3650 9447 3675 9415 3675 9407 3683 9406
      3702 9382 3701 9322 3650 9396
TIME...MOT...LOC 0539Z 268DEG 75KT 3709 9249 3683 9283 

$$

Griffin

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
525 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 235 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Strong southerly flow continues to push relatively warm and moist
air into the area ahead of a dry line and cold front to our west.
Low level mixing this afternoon has limited dewpoints a bit, but
much of the area is still on track to see low to perhaps mid 60s
dewpoints by this evening. This will result in a moderately
unstable airmass across the region, setting the stage for severe
weather this evening into the overnight hours.

The first opportunity for severe weather will occur during the
early to mid evening hours, particularly west of Highway 65.
As height falls overspread the frontal zone, a few supercells may
develop across the warm sector, perhaps affecting the western
portions of the forecast area. Development of these discrete
supercells is still in question, but should they form, large hail
and tornadoes will be possible given very favorable shear
profiles.

Later this evening, additional development along the front will
grow upscale into a large linear complex, which will eventually
sweep east-southeast through the area from mid to late evening
into the predawn hours on Tuesday. Wind gusts to 70 MPH and large
hail appear likely with this activity. In addition, low level
shear vectors will be favorable for QLCS/mesovortex tornadoes with
the line, particularly where line segments are able to surge to
the east or east-northeast.

The discrete supercell threat will be greatest from 6-7 PM through
9-10 PM across the western CWA. By 10 PM, the line of
thunderstorms should be moving into southeastern Kansas and
western Missouri, with the line reaching a BBG to SGF to VIH line
between 11 and midnight. The line should then sweep across the
eastern half or so of the CWA through 3 AM.

Precipitation should clear the area by sunrise tomorrow, with
cooler and much drier air building into the area for Tuesday.
Gusty west to northwest winds will combine with RH between 15 and
20 percent to result in widespread elevated to significant fire
weather conditions on Tuesday. Winds will be strongest north of
I-44, and a Red Flag Warning will be in effect for this area from
11 AM through 7 PM Tuesday.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 235 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Zonal to slightly northwest flow will keep things dry and mild
through Thursday, with rain chances returning to the region from
Friday into the weekend. Temperatures will be cooler over the
weekend, though still at or just a hair above average. Fire
weather will again be a concern on Wednesday, with winds becoming
southerly and RH dropping to around 20 percent during the
afternoon. More appreciable moisture will finally build into the
area by Thursday ahead of the next storm system.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 521 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: A strong cold front will move through the taf
sites 04z-08z with a line of thunderstorms. Some severe with
strong winds. Brief mvfr/ifr conditions are expected with heavier
rainshowers. VFR is expected post frontal. Strong south winds
ahead of the front will diminish for a time after the frontal
passage, but moderately strong gusts should pick back up again
toward 15z with sfc heating/mixing.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 235 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

A Red Flag Warning is in effect for areas along and north of I-44
on Tuesday, as very dry air builds into the region along with
gusty west to northwest winds. Right now, it looks like sustained
wind speeds may just touch Red Flag criteria on Tuesday; however,
very low RH is expected, with afternoon values between 15 and 20
percent.

Winds will become southerly on Wednesday, with RH expected to be
around 20 percent during the afternoon. Some parts of southeast
Kansas and western Missouri may again flirt with Red Flag
criteria.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for MOZ055>057-066>069-
     077>081-088>095-101>103.

     Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CST Tuesday for MOZ055>058-
     066>070-077>081-088>090-094.

KS...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for KSZ073-097-101.

     Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CST Tuesday for KSZ073-097-
     101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Boxell
LONG TERM...Boxell
AVIATION...DSA
FIRE WEATHER...Boxell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
921 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-080330-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
921 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

Elevated Tornado risk.
Elevated Hail risk.
Significant Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Significant Lightning risk.
Elevated Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

A line of severe thunderstorms over western Missouri and southeast
Kansas will continue to move quickly to the east and southeast
through the outlook area over the next six hours.

Damaging winds of 60 to 80 mph are expected with storms as they
move into central and southwest Missouri.

A few scattered storms are also developing ahead of the line in
Arkansas. These should also be monitored for severe development as
they move northeast into southern Missouri.

All modes of severe weather will be possible including tornadoes,
hail and damaging winds, but short term emphasis will be on
damaging winds and possible tornadoes with the line of storms
moving into southwest and west central Missouri.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Behind the frontal passage, a mild and very dry air mass will
return to the region Tuesday. Elevated to significant fire
weather conditions will be possible Tuesday and to a lesser
extent on Wednesday. A Red Flag Warning has been issued for areas
along and north of the Interstate 44 corridor for Tuesday.

Thunderstorms will again be possible late in the week into the
first part of the weekend as a front sets up in the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will continue to be needed over the next few
hours.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1008 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W CRESTLINE           37.17N 94.72W
03/06/2017                   CHEROKEE           KS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            HWY 69 N 8 POWER POLES AND LINES DOWN. TIME
            REPORTED TO FIRE DEPT.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1016 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S BEARCREEK           37.64N 93.66W
03/06/2017                   CEDAR              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SPOTTER AT 16780 HWY 32 CLOSE TO COUNTY LINE
            REPORTING TREES DOWN PARTIAL ROOF DAMAGE.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1029 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1026 PM     HAIL             3 S ELKTON              37.80N 93.43W
03/06/2017  U0.75 INCH       POLK               MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            E60 MPH WINDS. TOO MUCH LIGHTNING TO GO OUT
            AND CHECK FOR WIND DAMAGE.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1031 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1029 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 N MOUNT VERNON        37.14N 93.82W
03/06/2017  M52 MPH          LAWRENCE           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            52MPH GUST MEASURED...2 1/2 N OF MT.VERNON,
            LAWRENCE COUNTY.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1035 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1032 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S BOLIVAR             37.59N 93.42W
03/06/2017                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER POLES BROKEN SOUTH SIDE OF BOLIVAR.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1039 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1036 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W WALNUT GROVE        37.41N 93.60W
03/06/2017  E60 MPH          GREENE             MO   PUBLIC

            NO DAMAGE REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

NWS SPRINGFIELD MO
IRIS SYSTEM