Severe Thunderstorm Warning 321, NWS Springfield, MO

381 
WWUS53 KSGF 190415
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1115 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

MOC015-190424-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0321.000000T0000Z-170819T0430Z/
Benton MO-
1115 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3843 9263 3835 9263 3835 9269 3823 9270
      3822 9276 3819 9277 3823 9297 3827 9307
      3853 9307 3858 9306 3863 9288
TIME...MOT...LOC 0414Z 311DEG 33KT 3834 9279 

$$

MOC141-190430-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0321.000000T0000Z-170819T0430Z/
Morgan MO-
1115 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT
FOR MORGAN COUNTY...

At 1114 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Versailles,
moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Lake of The Ozarks...             Versailles...
Stover...                         Laurie...
Sunrise Beach...                  Barnett...
Gravois Mills...                  Rocky Mount...
Florence...                       

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

If on or near Lake of the Ozarks, get away from the water and move 
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 
15 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you 
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter 
now!  Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3843 9263 3835 9263 3835 9269 3823 9270
      3822 9276 3819 9277 3823 9297 3827 9307
      3853 9307 3858 9306 3863 9288
TIME...MOT...LOC 0414Z 311DEG 33KT 3834 9279 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Griffin

410 
WWUS53 KSGF 190428
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1128 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

MOC141-190437-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0321.000000T0000Z-170819T0430Z/
Morgan MO-
1128 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MORGAN COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
1130 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire. A Severe 
Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for southeastern Morgan 
County.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Springfield...



LAT...LON 3843 9263 3835 9263 3835 9269 3823 9270
      3822 9276 3819 9277 3823 9297 3827 9307
      3853 9307 3858 9306 3863 9288
TIME...MOT...LOC 0427Z 311DEG 33KT 3827 9269 

$$

Griffin

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
610 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

A weak shortwave moving across the area this afternoon was trying
to aid in developing some showers and storms across along I-49.
This activity may increase in coverage and intensity as we go
through the afternoon hours as noted by the HRRR. The short term
models have struggled with this development through the morning
hours however but will keep monitoring this through the afternoon.
MLCAPE values of around 2000 j/kg and 25kts 0-6km shear could
allow for some stronger storms to develop in the near term along
the MO/AR border in sw MO.

Short and medium range models do continue to show a complex of
storms developing and moving across the Ozarks late this evening
into overnight. A few models like the GFS and ECMWF have rainfall
developing as early as 21z along the I-49 corridor with the
rainfall spreading east overnight. Other models hold all the rain
off until after midnight. Overall, thinking that mid evening will
be the best timing for rain and storms to develop and move east
with initiation along I-49 seeming the best potential location.

Current forecasts from both SPC and WPC indicate slight risks for
severe storms and flooding rain respectively across southeastern
Kansas and western into central Missouri respectively.

The flooding potential will be contingent on training storm
development. If this occurs some locations could see 2 to 3 inches
of rainfall.

Current mesoscale date across eastern Kansas and western Missouri
has nearly 3000j/kg of cape across the area with dewpoints in the
low to middle 70's with several shortwaves expected to move
across the area this evening and overnight. there will be the
potential for some strong to severe storm development. Primary
concerns will be damaging winds but hail to quarters in size will
also be possible.

Some showers and storms are expected to linger across the
southwestern half of the Ozarks through much of the day though
coverage and duration should be limited. Despite the cloud cover
expected for tomorrow, temperatures should climb into the middle
to upper 80s similar to todays forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

The unsettled and active patter will continue to bring shower and
thunderstorm chances to the Ozarks Saturday night through the
middle of next week. The upper level flow pattern will transition
from southwesterly flow this weekend to northwesterly flow aloft
for the middle of the week with upper level ridging moving over
the area by the end of the week.

In general, there is potential for showers and thunderstorms
nearly each day through Wednesday. By next weekend, there is the
potential for additional rainfall but this is quite a was out in
the extended forecast.

Another note on next week's forecast will be the near normal
temperatures expected to start next week with highs around 90 and
heat index values around the 100 degree make Monday and Tuesday.
The pattern changes previously discussed will change by the end of
the week and temperatures by Wednesday through the end of next
week will again be 5 to 10 degrees below normal for August with
highs in the lower 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 603 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

Scattered convection had developed over western Missouri and
southeast Kansas late this afternoon and was pushing east-
southeast. Storms may affect the BBG site by 00z-01z and will need
to monitor storms to the northwest of SGF, but these have been
trending downward. Have put in VCTS wording for SGF by 01z. In
addition, there is convection developing over northern Missouri,
which could affect the area later this evening and overnight, but
confidence is low on affecting terminals at this time.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
946 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200300-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
946 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Scattered strong to severe storms will be possible over central
  Missouri late this evening into the early portion of the
  overnight hours. Large hail up to golf ball size and damaging
  thunderstorm winds in excess of 60 mph will be possible with the
  stronger storms. Heavy rain will accompany the stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

  Periodic scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
  from Sunday through middle of next week.

  Heat index values will warm into the middle and upper 90s by
  later this weekend and early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
536 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0529 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ESE RICHARDS          37.90N 94.50W
08/18/2017                   VERNON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROADWAY ON HIGHWAY O
            JUST EAST OF HIGHWAY H.

&&

SSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
550 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SELIGMAN                36.53N 93.94W
08/18/2017                   BARRY              MO   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE WAS BLOWN OVER ONTO STATE HIGHWAY 37.

&&

SSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
936 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     HAIL             CAMDENTON               38.01N 92.74W
08/18/2017  E1.00 INCH       CAMDEN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DCRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
945 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0944 PM     HAIL             CAMDENTON               38.01N 92.74W
08/18/2017  E1.25 INCH       CAMDEN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DCRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1002 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0944 PM     HAIL             1 ENE LINN CREEK        38.04N 92.70W
08/18/2017  E1.50 INCH       CAMDEN             MO   PUBLIC

            PING PONG HAIL PICTURE ON SOCIAL MEDIA NEAR
            LINN CREEK.

&&

MG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1028 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

MOZ055-056-190430-
Benton MO-Morgan MO-
1028 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BENTON AND MORGAN
COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 PM CDT...

At 1028 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Sedalia, moving southeast at 35 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Versailles...                     Cole Camp...
Stover...                         Barnett...
Syracuse...                       Ionia...
Mora...                           Florence...
Brandon...                        Crockerville...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3868 9284 3860 9284 3843 9263 3835 9264
      3835 9269 3830 9269 3838 9307 3848 9347
      3851 9345 3851 9330 3854 9329 3853 9307
      3869 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 292DEG 32KT 3860 9322

Burchfield