Severe Thunderstorm Warning 319, NWS Springfield, MO

322 
WWUS53 KSGF 190248
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
948 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

MOC029-190300-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0319.000000T0000Z-170819T0300Z/
Camden MO-
948 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL CAMDEN COUNTY...

At 947 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Camdenton,
moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. Hail to the size of half dollars 
         was reported in Camdenton.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Lake of The Ozarks...             Lake of The Ozarks State Park...
Osage Beach...                    Camdenton...
Linn Creek...                     Old Linn Creek...
Freedom...                        

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

If on or near Lake Of The Ozarks, get away from the water and move 
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 
15 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you 
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter 
now!  Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3797 9258 3798 9274 3811 9276 3813 9260
      3807 9257
TIME...MOT...LOC 0247Z 261DEG 16KT 3803 9269 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Burchfield

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
610 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

A weak shortwave moving across the area this afternoon was trying
to aid in developing some showers and storms across along I-49.
This activity may increase in coverage and intensity as we go
through the afternoon hours as noted by the HRRR. The short term
models have struggled with this development through the morning
hours however but will keep monitoring this through the afternoon.
MLCAPE values of around 2000 j/kg and 25kts 0-6km shear could
allow for some stronger storms to develop in the near term along
the MO/AR border in sw MO.

Short and medium range models do continue to show a complex of
storms developing and moving across the Ozarks late this evening
into overnight. A few models like the GFS and ECMWF have rainfall
developing as early as 21z along the I-49 corridor with the
rainfall spreading east overnight. Other models hold all the rain
off until after midnight. Overall, thinking that mid evening will
be the best timing for rain and storms to develop and move east
with initiation along I-49 seeming the best potential location.

Current forecasts from both SPC and WPC indicate slight risks for
severe storms and flooding rain respectively across southeastern
Kansas and western into central Missouri respectively.

The flooding potential will be contingent on training storm
development. If this occurs some locations could see 2 to 3 inches
of rainfall.

Current mesoscale date across eastern Kansas and western Missouri
has nearly 3000j/kg of cape across the area with dewpoints in the
low to middle 70's with several shortwaves expected to move
across the area this evening and overnight. there will be the
potential for some strong to severe storm development. Primary
concerns will be damaging winds but hail to quarters in size will
also be possible.

Some showers and storms are expected to linger across the
southwestern half of the Ozarks through much of the day though
coverage and duration should be limited. Despite the cloud cover
expected for tomorrow, temperatures should climb into the middle
to upper 80s similar to todays forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

The unsettled and active patter will continue to bring shower and
thunderstorm chances to the Ozarks Saturday night through the
middle of next week. The upper level flow pattern will transition
from southwesterly flow this weekend to northwesterly flow aloft
for the middle of the week with upper level ridging moving over
the area by the end of the week.

In general, there is potential for showers and thunderstorms
nearly each day through Wednesday. By next weekend, there is the
potential for additional rainfall but this is quite a was out in
the extended forecast.

Another note on next week's forecast will be the near normal
temperatures expected to start next week with highs around 90 and
heat index values around the 100 degree make Monday and Tuesday.
The pattern changes previously discussed will change by the end of
the week and temperatures by Wednesday through the end of next
week will again be 5 to 10 degrees below normal for August with
highs in the lower 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 603 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

Scattered convection had developed over western Missouri and
southeast Kansas late this afternoon and was pushing east-
southeast. Storms may affect the BBG site by 00z-01z and will need
to monitor storms to the northwest of SGF, but these have been
trending downward. Have put in VCTS wording for SGF by 01z. In
addition, there is convection developing over northern Missouri,
which could affect the area later this evening and overnight, but
confidence is low on affecting terminals at this time.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
806 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
806 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Hail risk.
  Limited Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Flooding risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Scattered thunderstorms with heavy rain will continue along the
  Missouri Arkansas border through mid to late evening. Additional
  scattered storms will move into central Missouri by late evening
  into the overnight hours. A few of these storms may produce
  small hail to the size of nickels and wind gusts of 40 to 50
  mph. Heavy rain will accompany the storms. Some localized
  flooding will continue from earlier heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

  Periodic scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
  from Sunday through middle of next week.

  Heat index values will warm into the middle and upper 90s by
  later this weekend and early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
456 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S RICHARDS            37.86N 94.56W
08/18/2017                   VERNON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLASH FLOODING ONGOING ON A SECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 300 IN
            WESTERN RURAL VERNON COUNTY. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
            DIRECTOR IS OBSERVING SEVERAL INCHES OF FAST MOVING WATER
            OF THIS SECTION OF 300.

&&

DCRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
533 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0529 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W RICHARDS            37.90N 94.60W
08/18/2017                   VERNON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROADWAY AT 200 RD AND
            KATY TRACK ROAD.

&&

SSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
534 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0529 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE RICHARDS          37.90N 94.53W
08/18/2017                   VERNON             MO   PUBLIC

            WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROADWAY AT 600 ROAD
            AND KATY TRACK ROAD.

&&

SSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
536 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0529 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ESE RICHARDS          37.90N 94.50W
08/18/2017                   VERNON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROADWAY ON HIGHWAY O
            JUST EAST OF HIGHWAY H.

&&

SSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
550 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SELIGMAN                36.53N 93.94W
08/18/2017                   BARRY              MO   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE WAS BLOWN OVER ONTO STATE HIGHWAY 37.

&&

SSL