Severe Thunderstorm Warning 320, NWS Springfield, MO

180 
WWUS53 KSGF 190314
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1014 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

MOC029-169-190323-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0320.000000T0000Z-170819T0345Z/
Pulaski MO-Camden MO-
1014 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN PULASKI AND EAST
CENTRAL CAMDEN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3804 9218 3802 9219 3802 9240 3803 9251
      3813 9253 3815 9218
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 264DEG 24KT 3805 9242 

$$

MOC131-190345-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0320.000000T0000Z-170819T0345Z/
Miller MO-
1014 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MILLER COUNTY...

At 1013 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of
Iberia, or 12 miles southeast of Osage Beach, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. This storm has a history of 
         producing large hail in Linn Creek. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Lake of The Ozarks State Park...  Iberia...
Brumley...                        

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy
structure and stay away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 9218 3802 9219 3802 9240 3803 9251
      3813 9253 3815 9218
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 264DEG 24KT 3805 9242 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Burchfield

990 
WWUS53 KSGF 190335
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1035 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

MOC131-190345-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0320.000000T0000Z-170819T0345Z/
Miller MO-
1035 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MILLER COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 1045 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3804 9218 3802 9219 3802 9240 3803 9251
      3813 9253 3815 9218
TIME...MOT...LOC 0335Z 264DEG 24KT 3806 9224 

$$

Burchfield

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
610 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

A weak shortwave moving across the area this afternoon was trying
to aid in developing some showers and storms across along I-49.
This activity may increase in coverage and intensity as we go
through the afternoon hours as noted by the HRRR. The short term
models have struggled with this development through the morning
hours however but will keep monitoring this through the afternoon.
MLCAPE values of around 2000 j/kg and 25kts 0-6km shear could
allow for some stronger storms to develop in the near term along
the MO/AR border in sw MO.

Short and medium range models do continue to show a complex of
storms developing and moving across the Ozarks late this evening
into overnight. A few models like the GFS and ECMWF have rainfall
developing as early as 21z along the I-49 corridor with the
rainfall spreading east overnight. Other models hold all the rain
off until after midnight. Overall, thinking that mid evening will
be the best timing for rain and storms to develop and move east
with initiation along I-49 seeming the best potential location.

Current forecasts from both SPC and WPC indicate slight risks for
severe storms and flooding rain respectively across southeastern
Kansas and western into central Missouri respectively.

The flooding potential will be contingent on training storm
development. If this occurs some locations could see 2 to 3 inches
of rainfall.

Current mesoscale date across eastern Kansas and western Missouri
has nearly 3000j/kg of cape across the area with dewpoints in the
low to middle 70's with several shortwaves expected to move
across the area this evening and overnight. there will be the
potential for some strong to severe storm development. Primary
concerns will be damaging winds but hail to quarters in size will
also be possible.

Some showers and storms are expected to linger across the
southwestern half of the Ozarks through much of the day though
coverage and duration should be limited. Despite the cloud cover
expected for tomorrow, temperatures should climb into the middle
to upper 80s similar to todays forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

The unsettled and active patter will continue to bring shower and
thunderstorm chances to the Ozarks Saturday night through the
middle of next week. The upper level flow pattern will transition
from southwesterly flow this weekend to northwesterly flow aloft
for the middle of the week with upper level ridging moving over
the area by the end of the week.

In general, there is potential for showers and thunderstorms
nearly each day through Wednesday. By next weekend, there is the
potential for additional rainfall but this is quite a was out in
the extended forecast.

Another note on next week's forecast will be the near normal
temperatures expected to start next week with highs around 90 and
heat index values around the 100 degree make Monday and Tuesday.
The pattern changes previously discussed will change by the end of
the week and temperatures by Wednesday through the end of next
week will again be 5 to 10 degrees below normal for August with
highs in the lower 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 603 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

Scattered convection had developed over western Missouri and
southeast Kansas late this afternoon and was pushing east-
southeast. Storms may affect the BBG site by 00z-01z and will need
to monitor storms to the northwest of SGF, but these have been
trending downward. Have put in VCTS wording for SGF by 01z. In
addition, there is convection developing over northern Missouri,
which could affect the area later this evening and overnight, but
confidence is low on affecting terminals at this time.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
946 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200300-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
946 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Scattered strong to severe storms will be possible over central
  Missouri late this evening into the early portion of the
  overnight hours. Large hail up to golf ball size and damaging
  thunderstorm winds in excess of 60 mph will be possible with the
  stronger storms. Heavy rain will accompany the stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

  Periodic scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
  from Sunday through middle of next week.

  Heat index values will warm into the middle and upper 90s by
  later this weekend and early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
533 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0529 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W RICHARDS            37.90N 94.60W
08/18/2017                   VERNON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROADWAY AT 200 RD AND
            KATY TRACK ROAD.

&&

SSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
534 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0529 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE RICHARDS          37.90N 94.53W
08/18/2017                   VERNON             MO   PUBLIC

            WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROADWAY AT 600 ROAD
            AND KATY TRACK ROAD.

&&

SSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
536 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0529 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ESE RICHARDS          37.90N 94.50W
08/18/2017                   VERNON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROADWAY ON HIGHWAY O
            JUST EAST OF HIGHWAY H.

&&

SSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
550 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SELIGMAN                36.53N 93.94W
08/18/2017                   BARRY              MO   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE WAS BLOWN OVER ONTO STATE HIGHWAY 37.

&&

SSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
936 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     HAIL             CAMDENTON               38.01N 92.74W
08/18/2017  E1.00 INCH       CAMDEN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DCRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
945 PM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0944 PM     HAIL             CAMDENTON               38.01N 92.74W
08/18/2017  E1.25 INCH       CAMDEN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DCRAMER