Tornado Warning 27, NWS Lubbock, TX

360 
WWUS54 KLUB 102049
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
349 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2017

TXC075-101-102100-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170510T2100Z/
Childress TX-Cottle TX-
349 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL CHILDRESS AND NORTHEASTERN COTTLE COUNTIES...
    
At 348 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 9 miles south of Childress, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
south central Childress and northeastern Cottle Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3420 10026 3433 10036 3443 10014 3427 10004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 244DEG 18KT 3429 10021 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.75IN

$$

01

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
210 PM CDT Wed May 10 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Hi-res models are generally in good agreement with thunderstorms
across mainly the northeastern third of the forecast area this
afternoon. This area is downstream from a large upper low centered
over New Mexico, has a healthy amount of low level moisture that
remains in place despite the early morning MCS that moved across
the area, and has an elevated mixed layer spreading northward from
the Permian Basin. Dry low level air working northward will help
concentrate chances to the northeast, although low level moisture
may hang on across the far southeast part of the forecast area.
Models have been consistent in moving storms out of the area by
00Z. That timing seems about right, but with the upper low still
the west it seems prudent to hang onto a 20-30 percent chance
mention this evening.

The upper low is progged to move across the Panhandle on Thursday.
There could be a few showers try to develop as far south as the
northern row of the forecast area, but all the guidance is keeping
precip to the north of us, and we will maintain a dry forecast at
this time. The low moving out onto the High Plains will usher a
cold front south through the forecast area during the day, setting
up a pretty good gradient in the high temperature forecast with
lower 70s northwest to upper 80s southeast.

With the upper low moving to our east Friday, a quieter period
will be ushered in. Surface ridging will settle in across the area
Friday with light north winds favoring cooler than normal
temperatures in line with MOS guidance. However, a quick rebound
to above normal temperatures is expected for the weekend as upper
level ridging moves overhead.

Finally, there remains the possiblity of an active dryline Sunday
through Wednesday with the ridge moving to the east and cyclonic
flow moving over the west. There is no strong signal in the models
yet, so will continue to favor slight chance wording for mainly
the eastern half of the area.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1140 AM CDT Wed May 10 2017

TXZ021>044-111645-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1140 AM CDT Wed May 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across
the southeastern Texas Panhandle, the Rolling Plains, and
northeastern South Plains mainly after 1 pm. These storms will
bring the threat of large hail up to baseball size, damaging
winds to 75 mph, and a few tornadoes. Locally heavy rainfall with
localized street flooding will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across
portions of the area mainly in the afternoon and evening hours
starting Sunday afternoon through Wednesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and
evening across the southeastern Texas Panhandle, Rolling Plains,
and northeastern South Plains.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
247 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0243 PM     HAIL             6 NNW MATADOR           34.10N 100.86W
05/10/2017  E1.25 INCH       MOTLEY             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700188

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
334 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     WALL CLOUD       8 E CEE VEE             34.23N 100.30W
05/10/2017                   COTTLE             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700189

JM