Severe Thunderstorm Warning 60, NWS Louisville, KY

342 
WWUS53 KLMK 272225
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
625 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

KYC005-073-211-272245-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0060.000000T0000Z-170327T2245Z/
Shelby KY-Anderson KY-Franklin KY-
625 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY...NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

At 624 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles northwest of
Lawrenceburg, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Frankfort, Bryant, Benson, Farmdale, Capital City Airport, Broadville
Manor, Avenstoke, Harvieland, Alton and Graefenburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 8486 3815 8485 3814 8487 3810 8487
      3809 8486 3810 8484 3808 8483 3807 8484
      3807 8511 3814 8517 3829 8493
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 251DEG 19KT 3812 8502 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SCHOETTMER

476 
WWUS53 KLMK 272247
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
647 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

KYC005-073-211-272257-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0060.000000T0000Z-170327T2245Z/
Shelby KY-Anderson KY-Franklin KY-
647 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY...
NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been allowed to expire.  However small
hail, gusty winds and heavy rain are still possible with this
thunderstorm.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
central Kentucky.

Report severe weather to local law enforcement, post your report to
the National Weather Service Louisville Facebook page, or tweet your
report using hashtag L, M, K, spotter.

LAT...LON 3817 8486 3815 8485 3814 8487 3810 8487
      3809 8486 3810 8484 3808 8483 3807 8484
      3807 8511 3814 8517 3829 8493
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 251DEG 19KT 3816 8488 

$$

SCHOETTMER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
521 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.Forecast Update...
Issued at 520 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Latest RAP mesoanalysis has not been handling the amount of
available CAPE well, as we've had several hail reports, mostly
quarter sized or less, though cannot rule out some larger hail in
the pre-frontal airmass from FTK east to KLEX over the next few
hours.

The other area of concern is with the more linear feature moving
near the I-65 corridor in Central KY this hour.  This area has the
most potential instability to work with, as temperatures are well
into the 70s along our border with TN. Seeing some bowing segments
within this line and have issue warnings accordingly. HPX radar was
showing winds closer to 70 mph with this line, but have not had any
reports near that level just yet.

&&

.Short Term...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 330 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

...Severe Storms Possible Late This Afternoon and Evening...

Strong to severe storms are likely this afternoon with much of the
area under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch through this evening.  These
storms are courtesy of a low pressure system moving northeast
through southern IN/northern KY.  1000-2000 j/kg of CAPE has
developed south of the warm front which was over southern IN as of
315pm EDT. 30-40 kts deep layer shear is supportive of both discrete
cells which we're seeing on radar in our region currently and will
be supportive of the line of storms over western KY which is progged
to move east through the region between 5pm-midnight tonight.

========================
Storm Threats & Timing
========================

Cellular convection will pose a large hail/damaging wind/isld
tornado threat between now and 8pm EDT.

Expect mainly a damaging wind threat with the line of storms but
small hail and a brief spin-up will be possible as well between 5pm
and midnight EDT.

=========================

Convection should decrease after midnight with elevated showers and
perhaps an isld t-storm during the early morning hours in the wake
of the evening complex.  Overnight lows will range through the 50s.

For Tuesday, expect some lingering rain showers mainly east of I-65
before the area becomes totally dry late in the day.  High
temperatures will be in the 60s.  Lows Tues night will range through
the upper 40s/lower 50s.

.Long Term...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Expect dry weather on Wednesday before the pattern turns active
again for the latter portion of the week.  A strong low pressure
system will bring the chance for showers/storms to the region
beginning on Thu/Fri.  Depending on exact evolution and timing, some
of these storms could be on the strong side.  Thu looks to the be
the warmest day in the long term period with highs in the mid to
upper 70s across much of the area.

For the weekend, expect dry weather and slightly cooler temps with
highs dropping back into the 60s.  Another low pressure system looks
to approach the area again by the beginning of the work week next
week.

&&

.Aviation...(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Main threat for this afternoon and early evening is the threat of
thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to severe. A warm and
moist airmass is moving into the region ahead of a surface low
moving into the mid Mississippi River Valley. Showers and storms are
already ongoing across SE Missouri/W Tennessee/N Mississippi and
will quickly move into our area this afternoon.

BWG will see the first round of storms as early as 2 PM CDT, with
the best threat lasting until 8 PM CDT. Lightning, brief heavy rain,
gusty winds, and hail are the main threats. Expect reduced
visibilities and ceilings at times.

SDF/LEX timing for the biggest threat should occur between 5 PM and
10 PM EDT. Lightning, brief heavy rain, and gusty winds are the main
threats. Expect reduced visibilities and ceilings at times.

Main storm threat diminishes around the latter part of the timing
windows mentioned above, however may be followed by shower activity
into the overnight. A return to dry conditions should return shortly
after midnight as a weak cold front swings through and winds veer
to the SW and W. Concerned about some low ceilings as we move toward
dawn on Tuesday and will advertise fuel-alternate prevailing. Can't
rule out IFR toward dawn but will hold off mention until confidence
is higher.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

Update...RJS
Short Term...AMS
Long Term...AMS
Aviation...BJS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
355 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

INZ084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-
282000-
Crawford-Perry-Harrison-Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-
Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-
Franklin-Scott-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-
Nelson-Washington-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-
Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-
Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-
Clinton-
Including the cities of English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany,
Jeffersonville, Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg,
Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville,
La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort,
Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles,
Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg,
Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville,
Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave,
Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Russellville,
Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow,
Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville,
and Albany
355 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017 /255 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017/

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 91 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT /10 PM
CDT/ THIS EVENING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening.
The most likely hazard is damaging winds, but there is some potential
for large hail and brief spin-up tornadoes, especially in central
Kentucky along and west of Interstate 65.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms will be possible again Thursday into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size and wind damage
today and tonight.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

INZ076>079-083-282000-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison,
and Jasper
355 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening.
The most likely hazard is damaging winds, but there is some
potential for large hail as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms will be possible again Thursday into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size and wind damage
today and tonight.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

AMS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
558 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

INZ076-077-084-272230-
Crawford-Orange-Washington-
558 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL CRAWFORD...
SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

At 558 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Paoli, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Salem, Paoli, Stampers Creek, Campbellsburg, Livonia, Saltillo,
Smedley, Prowsville, Chambersburg and Bacon.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3878 8619 3861 8601 3835 8653 3852 8660
      3869 8639 3869 8631 3873 8631 3874 8629
      3877 8628 3877 8626 3876 8625 3878 8623
      3877 8622 3878 8621
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 229DEG 35KT 3851 8646

SCHOETTMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
600 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSW BOWLING GREEN     36.95N 86.45W
03/27/2017                   WARREN             KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING THE INTERSECTION AT
            SMALLHOUSE ROAD AND WALNUT.

&&

KDW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
602 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

KYZ030-031-034-272230-
Jefferson-Oldham-Shelby-
602 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN OLDHAM...
NORTHWESTERN SHELBY AND NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES...

At 602 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Jeffersontown,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Louisville, Jeffersontown, St. Matthews, Shelbyville, Lyndon,
Middletown, Douglass Hills, Hurstbourne, Anchorage and Hurstbourne
Acres.

LAT...LON 3810 8560 3823 8567 3839 8539 3821 8524
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 243DEG 26KT 3819 8554

EER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
605 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     HAIL             2 N TAYLORSVILLE        38.07N 85.34W
03/27/2017  U1.00 INCH       SPENCER            KY   PUBLIC

            MAINLY DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL. TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

DM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
606 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW GLASGOW           37.02N 85.93W
03/27/2017                   BARREN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER LINES DOWN ON HAPPY VALLEY ROAD IN
            FRONT OF TAYLOR AUTO SALES.

&&

KDW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
606 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

KYZ063>065-076-077-272245-
Hart-Metcalf-Taylor-Adair-Green-
606 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT GREEN...SOUTHEASTERN
HART...SOUTHWESTERN TAYLOR...METCALFE AND WESTERN ADAIR COUNTIES...

At 605 PM EDT/505 PM CDT/, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were
located along a line extending from 7 miles east of Munfordville to
near Edmonton. Movement was northeast at 40 to 50 mph.

Brief wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Campbellsville, Columbia, Greensburg, Edmonton, Monroe, Pickett,
Curtis, Node, Bliss and Fry.

LAT...LON 3715 8576 3717 8575 3717 8576 3729 8577
      3739 8536 3700 8520 3699 8521 3699 8524
      3689 8574
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 246DEG 42KT 3726 8576 3692 8569

TWF