Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Louisville, KY

703 
WWUS53 KLMK 272156
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
556 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

KYC079-151-272206-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170327T2200Z/
Garrard KY-Madison KY-
556 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL GARRARD AND
CENTRAL MADISON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 600 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and have exited the warned area. Therefore the warning will
be allowed to expire.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
central Kentucky.

Report severe weather to local law enforcement, post your report to
the National Weather Service Louisville Facebook page, or tweet your
report using hashtag L, M, K, spotter.

LAT...LON 3759 8442 3771 8453 3789 8433 3772 8414
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 231DEG 16KT 3776 8427 

$$

EER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
352 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.Short Term...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 330 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

...Severe Storms Possible Late This Afternoon and Evening...

Strong to severe storms are likely this afternoon with much of the
area under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch through this evening.  These
storms are courtesy of a low pressure system moving northeast
through southern IN/northern KY.  1000-2000 j/kg of CAPE has
developed south of the warm front which was over southern IN as of
315pm EDT. 30-40 kts deep layer shear is supportive of both discrete
cells which we're seeing on radar in our region currently and will
be supportive of the line of storms over western KY which is progged
to move east through the region between 5pm-midnight tonight.

========================
Storm Threats & Timing
========================

Cellular convection will pose a large hail/damaging wind/isld
tornado threat between now and 8pm EDT.

Expect mainly a damaging wind threat with the line of storms but
small hail and a brief spin-up will be possible as well between 5pm
and midnight EDT.

=========================

Convection should decrease after midnight with elevated showers and
perhaps an isld t-storm during the early morning hours in the wake
of the evening complex.  Overnight lows will range through the 50s.

For Tuesday, expect some lingering rain showers mainly east of I-65
before the area becomes totally dry late in the day.  High
temperatures will be in the 60s.  Lows Tues night will range through
the upper 40s/lower 50s.

&&

.Long Term...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Expect dry weather on Wednesday before the pattern turns active
again for the latter portion of the week.  A strong low pressure
system will bring the chance for showers/storms to the region
beginning on Thu/Fri.  Depending on exact evolution and timing, some
of these storms could be on the strong side.  Thu looks to the be
the warmest day in the long term period with highs in the mid to
upper 70s across much of the area.

For the weekend, expect dry weather and slightly cooler temps with
highs dropping back into the 60s.  Another low pressure system looks
to approach the area again by the beginning of the work week next
week.

&&

.Aviation...(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Main threat for this afternoon and early evening is the threat of
thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to severe. A warm and
moist airmass is moving into the region ahead of a surface low
moving into the mid Mississippi River Valley. Showers and storms are
already ongoing across SE Missouri/W Tennessee/N Mississippi and
will quickly move into our area this afternoon.

BWG will see the first round of storms as early as 2 PM CDT, with
the best threat lasting until 8 PM CDT. Lightning, brief heavy rain,
gusty winds, and hail are the main threats. Expect reduced
visibilities and ceilings at times.

SDF/LEX timing for the biggest threat should occur between 5 PM and
10 PM EDT. Lightning, brief heavy rain, and gusty winds are the main
threats. Expect reduced visibilities and ceilings at times.

Main storm threat diminishes around the latter part of the timing
windows mentioned above, however may be followed by shower activity
into the overnight. A return to dry conditions should return shortly
after midnight as a weak cold front swings through and winds veer
to the SW and W. Concerned about some low ceilings as we move toward
dawn on Tuesday and will advertise fuel-alternate prevailing. Can't
rule out IFR toward dawn but will hold off mention until confidence
is higher.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

Short Term...AMS
Long Term...AMS
Aviation...BJS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
355 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

INZ084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-
282000-
Crawford-Perry-Harrison-Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-
Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-
Franklin-Scott-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-
Nelson-Washington-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-
Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-
Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-
Clinton-
Including the cities of English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany,
Jeffersonville, Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg,
Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville,
La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort,
Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles,
Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg,
Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville,
Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave,
Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Russellville,
Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow,
Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville,
and Albany
355 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017 /255 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017/

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 91 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT /10 PM
CDT/ THIS EVENING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening.
The most likely hazard is damaging winds, but there is some potential
for large hail and brief spin-up tornadoes, especially in central
Kentucky along and west of Interstate 65.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms will be possible again Thursday into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size and wind damage
today and tonight.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

INZ076>079-083-282000-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison,
and Jasper
355 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening.
The most likely hazard is damaging winds, but there is some
potential for large hail as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms will be possible again Thursday into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size and wind damage
today and tonight.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

AMS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
425 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

KYZ065-066-077-272045-
Taylor-Casey-Adair-
425 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL TAYLOR...CENTRAL
CASEY AND NORTHEASTERN ADAIR COUNTIES...

At 424 PM EDT/324 PM CDT/, a strong thunderstorm was located 10 miles
southeast of Campbellsville, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Liberty, Knifley, Bass, Clementsville, Feathersburg, Middleburg,
Lanhamtown, Beech Bottom, Casey Creek and Elk Horn.

LAT...LON 3732 8530 3742 8506 3741 8505 3742 8505
      3747 8493 3733 8478 3719 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 240DEG 31KT 3727 8517

DM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
326 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

KYZ026-027-061-062-070>072-272115-
Grayson-Warren-Logan-Simpson-Edmonson-Butler-Ohio-
326 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT LOGAN...SIMPSON...
BUTLER...WESTERN GRAYSON...WARREN...SOUTHERN OHIO AND EDMONSON
COUNTIES...

At 322 PM CDT, radar indicated thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from 7 miles northeast of Central City to 7 miles
east of Dunmor to 9 miles east of Clarksville. Movement was east at
40 to 50 mph.

Brief wind gusts to 40 mph, with isolated gusts of 40 to 50 mph,
along with small hail are possible with the strongest cells in this
line. Dangerous cloud to ground lightning is also occurring with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Bowling Green, Russellville, Leitchfield, Hartford, Morgantown,
Brownsville, Plum Springs, Memphis Junction, Mount Victor and
Crestmoor.

LAT...LON 3738 8709 3745 8710 3759 8646 3758 8647
      3757 8638 3721 8609 3665 8647 3664 8706
      3690 8706 3707 8700 3711 8689 3714 8693
      3718 8689 3724 8691 3727 8698 3735 8701
      3737 8707 3733 8710 3734 8714
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 256DEG 42KT 3739 8707 3706 8689 3651 8719

TWF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
436 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

KYZ055-056-067-272100-
Boyle-Lincoln-Garrard-
436 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN...GARRARD
AND CENTRAL BOYLE COUNTIES...

At 435 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located 8 miles southwest
of Danville and 6 miles southeast of Danville, moving northeast at
20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Danville, Stanford, Lancaster, Mccreary, Junction City, Hustonville,
Boneyville, Alum Springs, Caldwell Manor and Marksbury.

LAT...LON 3742 8476 3748 8486 3755 8485 3753 8490
      3754 8495 3771 8477 3773 8469 3774 8470
      3774 8469 3775 8470 3776 8469 3777 8471
      3778 8470 3775 8461 3774 8461 3775 8459
      3773 8458 3774 8456 3772 8449 3761 8441
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 232DEG 17KT 3753 8484

DM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
451 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     HAIL             BEAVER DAM              37.41N 86.88W
03/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       OHIO               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

MRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
500 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     HAIL             3 SSE RADCLIFF          37.78N 85.91W
03/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       HARDIN             KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            .

&&

KDW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
507 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

INZ090-KYZ025-028-029-272130-
Harrison-Bullitt-Meade-Hardin-
507 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HARRISON...
SOUTHEASTERN MEADE...NORTH CENTRAL HARDIN AND WEST CENTRAL BULLITT
COUNTIES...

At 507 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Brandenburg,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Muldraugh, West Point, Elizabeth, Ekron, Laconia, Cupio, Rosewood,
Evans Landing, New Boston and Rock Haven.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3815 8595 3809 8591 3807 8592 3803 8592
      3800 8595 3800 8593 3801 8591 3803 8590
      3804 8588 3799 8584 3783 8608 3793 8621
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 228DEG 27KT 3793 8608

SCHOETTMER