Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 47, NWS Jackson, MS

June 21, 2017Clarke County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jun 21, 2017, 9:39 AM CDT for Clarke County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jun 22, 2017, 2:08 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2017, 9:39 AM CDT (14:39 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 22, 2017, 2:08 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 26, 2017, 9:58 AM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Clarke County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Chickasawhay River at Enterprise (ENSM6). The gauge peaked at 28.32 ft at Jun 24, 2017, 9:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate10203006/2106/2206/2306/2406/2506/2606/27
Action stage
24 ft
Minor stage
25 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
41 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02477000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

370 
WGUS44 KJAN 211439
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
939 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-222039-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0047.170623T1200Z-170626T0020Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T1200Z.170624T1200Z.170625T1220Z.NO/
939 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* from Friday morning to Sunday evening.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Friday morning and
  will continue to rise to near 27.5 feet  Saturday morning. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  11.2 Wed 09 AM  17.0  25.0  27.5  27.5 07 AM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
11 follow-up statements
371 
WGUS84 KJAN 220155
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
855 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC023-230755-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.170623T1942Z-170626T0020Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T1942Z.170624T1800Z.170625T1220Z.NO/
855 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* from Friday afternoon to Sunday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Friday 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 27.5 feet  early 
  Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  12.4 Wed 08 PM  15.3  23.1  27.2  27.5 01 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
911 
WGUS84 KJAN 220949
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
449 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-231549-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.170622T1908Z-170625T0051Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170622T1908Z.170623T1200Z.170624T1251Z.NO/
449 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* from this afternoon to Saturday evening.
* At  4:00 AM Thursday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this afternoon and
  will continue to rise to near 28.0 feet tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  18.2 Thu 04 AM  28.0  25.2  18.3  28.0 07 AM 06/23


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
590 
WGUS84 KJAN 230123
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
823 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC023-240723-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170625T2315Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T0730Z.170624T0000Z.170625T1115Z.NO/
823 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 28.0 feet  
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  23.1 Thu 08 PM  26.5  27.5  24.9  28.0 07 PM 06/23


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
396 
WGUS84 KJAN 231537
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1037 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for river
forecast points today.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-242137-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will once again begin rising from water
  coming from Jasper County. The river will rise to near 16.0 feet  
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.1 Fri 10 AM  15.0  15.8  15.5  16.0 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-242136-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170626T1640Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170624T0336Z.170625T0000Z.170626T0440Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Monday morning.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tonight and will 
  continue to rise to near 28.0 feet tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  23.7 Fri 10 AM  26.8  27.0  23.7  28.0 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
078 
WGUS84 KJAN 240104
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-250704-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM Friday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet  
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.0 Fri 08 PM  15.0  15.8  15.5  16.0 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-250704-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170627T0336Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T0000Z.170626T1536Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Monday evening.
* At 7:00 PM Friday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet  
  tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water is beginning to overflow the banks from  
  the confluence of the Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately  
  3 miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  25.3 Fri 07 PM  28.1  29.0  25.6  29.5 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
671 
WGUS84 KJAN 241538
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1038 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-252138-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170627T0800Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T1200Z.170626T2000Z.NO/
1038 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until late Monday night.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet  
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  27.3 Sat 10 AM  29.5  26.3  21.3  29.5 07 AM 06/25


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
396 
WGUS84 KJAN 250110
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
810 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-260710-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170630T0112Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170629T1312Z.NO/
810 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Thursday evening.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  16.6 Sat 08 PM  16.3  15.4  15.8    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-260710-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170627T0800Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T1200Z.170626T2000Z.NO/
810 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until late Monday night.
* At 7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet  
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  28.2 Sat 07 PM  29.5  26.3  21.3  29.5 07 AM 06/25


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
533 
WGUS84 KJAN 250117
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
817 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-260717-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170630T0112Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170629T1312Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Thursday evening.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  16.6 Sat 08 PM  16.3  15.4  15.8    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-260717-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170627T0800Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T1200Z.170626T2000Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until late Monday night.
* At 8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet  
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  28.3 Sat 08 PM  29.5  26.3  21.3  29.5 07 AM 06/25


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
626 
WGUS84 KJAN 251543
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1043 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-262030-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170626T2030Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T0315Z.170626T0830Z.NO/
1043 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 27.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  27.4 Sun 10 AM  24.3  20.0  16.7             


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
678 
WGUS84 KJAN 260058
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
758 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-270658-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170629T0300Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170628T1500Z.NO/
758 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 7:45 PM Sunday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.7 feet  
  tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.4 Sun 08 PM  15.2  15.5  13.3  15.7 07 PM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-261840-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170626T1840Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T0315Z.170626T0640Z.NO/
758 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water is beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  25.9 Sun 07 PM  24.2  20.1  16.8    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
678 
WGUS84 KJAN 261458
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
958 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-261528-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170626T1840Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T0315Z.170626T0352Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* At  9:00 AM Monday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 10:52 PM Sunday.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 18.3 feet tomorrow 
  morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  22.1 Mon 09 AM  18.3  15.5  14.0  BLO FS 


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 21, 6:46 AM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 6:46 AM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
646 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY STARTING TODAY...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:

Locally heavy rain and inclement weather conditions in association
with Tropical Storm Cindy will bring sub-VFR flight categories to
most sites across the region through tomorrow, but starting now
at HKS/JAN/GTR/NMM/MEI/PIB/HBG. During the worst of the weather
flight cats will be in the IFR range at times with building east
to southeast winds through the day in all areas occasionally
gusting over 25 mph at times through tomorrow. /BB/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Through Thursday night:

Tropical Storm Cindy continues to spin south of the LA coast this
morning with the forecast track changing little from the previous
update. Even though the overall system continues to have quite a
subtropical look to it (with a good bit of the rain and
associated thunderstorms displaced well to the north and east of
the center) the low level circulation has gotten better defined
overnight.

Through the night a large rain shield with perhaps a stray rumble
of thunder or two has migrated north from the Pine Belt toward
central MS. Rain has been locally heavy and totals near the
Highway 98 corridor already range from 2 to 3 inches. Rainfall
rates have been too low thus far to prompt flash flood warnings,
but it may not take long before those are necessary. Latest model
consensus suggests the solid rain shield with heavy rain potential
will build north through mainly the eastern half of the region
through today in tandem with strongest moisture advection and
additional lifting aid from the right entrance region of an upper
level jet streak. Interesting that some model solutions have a
tough time through today generating much precip getting to the
ground over many western zones of the forecast area. This is
certainly plausible due to at least weak low level divergence in
wind fields as flow nearer the coast peels back toward the low
center in the Gulf. All the above taken into account went into the
decision to expand the going flash flood watch for far southern
zones through tomorrow up through portions of south central and
eastern Mississippi (excluding the Jackson Metro area). Some
adjustment of this watch could certainly be needed but the current
layout right now is the best thinking for area flooding rain
potential through tomorrow.

Another aspect of the forecast to watch for today into tonight
will be the slow creep of surface based instability north into the
region on the tail of the widespread rain shield shifting to the
north. Low to mid layer wind shear supportive of tornado
generation will be building into the region at this time as well
although instability in our area this afternoon through tonight
will likely be too low to expect more than a marginal risk of this
activity. Of course the flooding and tornado risks will be
highlighted in the HWO/graphics. We will also be monitoring the
strength of east to southeast surface winds as the day progresses.
Current thinking is that these winds in our region will largely
remain below advisory strength (and certainly below tropical storm
strength).

On Thursday our region will likely be in between widespread heavy
rain areas to our west and southwest (associated with the
landfalling center of Cindy) and to our east over AL. In between
we should see some breaks in cloud cover with heating well up into
the 80s in many locations contributing to troubling instability
(surface based CAPE near or better than 2000 j/kg) considering at
least modest low to mid layer shear that is anticipated. The
Storm Prediction Center has highlighted our western and central
zones with a slight risk of severe storms due to the expectation
of at least isolated storms achieving temporary supercell
characteristics and having the ability to perhaps produce a
tornado or two. This risk will be somewhat lesser over eastern
portions of the area, but will still exist there. In addition,
bands of showers and thunderstorms could still be capable of
tremendous rainfall rates in some locations so a background
flooding threat will persist.

Thursday night a good deal of the afternoon showers and storms
will probably diminish over central and eastern zones. However,
the expected movement of Cindy north (just to or west) will
eventually bring a more consolidated band of locally heavy rains
and embedded thunderstorms to portions of the MS Delta before the
night is over. This may enhance flooding potential there and could
definitely require the flash flood watch to get shifted up in the
that neck of the woods as well before the day is out. /BB/

Friday through Tuesday:

Models and their ensembles were showing an active period with
Cindy and its residing moisture in its wake. As progged by NHC,
Tropical Depression Cindy will be tracking across our northwest
delta region on Friday. Models shows that we will have some good
low level shear of around 35 knots, surface base cape around
2500-3000 j/kg. This combined with daytime heating will bring a
risk of some severe weather esp in our northeast counties during
Friday into Friday night period per SPC day 3 outlook. There will
also be the risk of some heavy rainfall from Tropical Depression
Cindy with pwats over 2.5 inches. The primary risks will be
damaging winds and some tornadoes. The tropical system will exit
the region by early Saturday as it gets caught up in mid latitude
westerly flow. Meanwhile a broad latitude upper trough will bring
a front into the region over the weekend. Pwats ahead of the front
will continue to be 2 plus inches which spells the continued risk
of some locally heavy rainfall. As we go into early next week the
cold front will slide across the region by early Monday. It will
leave some dryer air in its wake which sometimes happens in the
wake of a tropical system. Dryer air will push across the region
on Monday night into Tuesday with lower 60s dewpoints. This will
cause nightly lows to dip into the lower to middle 60s for early
next week. Daily highs will be in the 80s./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       79  73  86  75 /  87  76  71  51
Meridian      78  73  83  75 / 100  95  78  56
Vicksburg     80  73  86  76 /  52  58  71  60
Hattiesburg   79  74  85  75 / 100  99  78  61
Natchez       81  74  85  76 /  69  76  72  59
Greenville    82  73  85  75 /  59  40  73  73
Greenwood     80  73  85  76 /  92  61  68  59

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday evening for MSZ031-038-039-
     045-046-050>052-055>058-060>066-072>074.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday evening for LAZ024-026.

AR...None.

&&

BB/17
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 5:40 AM CDT, 3 hours 59 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-
040>042-047-221045-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southeastern
Arkansas, northwestern Mississippi, and portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday
through Friday night.

MSZ028>033-037-038-043-044-221045-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-
Madison MS-Leake-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Flooding will be possible through tonight as heavy rain associated
with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall
totals during this time of 1 to 2 inches are expected with locally
higher amounts possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday
through Friday night.

MSZ039-045-046-221045-
Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

At least some flooding issues are expected through tonight as
heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north
through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 2 to 3
inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday
through Friday night.

LAZ024>026-MSZ048>050-053-054-059>061-221045-
Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah-
Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...This Afternoon through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Flooding will be possible through tonight as heavy rain associated
with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall
totals during this time of 1 to 2 inches are expected with
locally higher amounts possible.

In addition, isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible
starting this afternoon and going through tonight. The main risk
with any severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado
or two.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Friday night.

MSZ051-052-055>058-062>066-221045-
Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...This Afternoon through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

At least some flooding issues are expected through tonight as
heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north
through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 2 to 3
inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible.

In addition, isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible
starting this afternoon and going through tonight. The main risk
with any severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado
or two.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Friday night.

MSZ072-221045-
Marion-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Flooding issues are expected through tonight as heavy rain
associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area.
Rainfall totals during this time of 2 to 4 inches are expected
with locally higher amounts possible.

In addition, severe thunderstorms will be possible starting later
this morning and going through tonight. The main risk with any
severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Friday night.

MSZ073-074-221045-
Lamar-Forrest-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Significant flooding will be possible through tonight as heavy
rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the
area. Rainfall totals during this time of 4 to 6 inches are
expected with locally higher amounts possible.

In addition, severe thunderstorms will be possible starting later
this morning and going through tonight. The main risk with any
severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Friday night.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/tropical
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 21, 7:07 AM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
707 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     HEAVY RAIN       14 ESE PURVIS           31.05N 89.20W
06/21/2017  M3.40 INCH       FORREST            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STORM TOTAL MEASURED THUS FAR IN BROOKLYN IN
            ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM CINDY.

&&
Local storm report, Jun 21, 7:11 AM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
711 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 ENE PETAL             31.39N 89.17W
06/21/2017  E35 MPH          FORREST            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON THE OUTSKIRTS OF PETAL.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 4:56 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Lamar, Marion3 hr
Jun 21, 7:02 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANForrest52 hr
Jun 21, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba6 days
Jun 21, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake5 days
Jun 21, 11:31 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLamar, Marion3 hr
Jun 21, 3:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Lamar, Marion3 hr
Jun 21, 4:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANForrest, Lamar, Marion39 min
Jun 21, 5:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence60 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.