River Flood Warning 46, NWS Jackson, MS

511 
WGUS84 KJAN 211441
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
941 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-222041-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0046.170622T0945Z-170623T1800Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.170622T0945Z.170622T1800Z.170623T0600Z.NO/
941 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* from late tonight to Friday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
  will continue to rise to near 20.5 feet  early tomorrow afternoon. 
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowland approximately
  5 miles up and downstream of the gage site.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Parking areas flood along the creek.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flooding occurs along lowland near the 
  river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  12.1 Wed 09 AM  20.3  19.3  14.4  20.5 01 PM 06/22


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$

953 
WGUS84 KJAN 220153
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
853 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC035-230753-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0046.170622T1440Z-170623T1800Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.170622T1440Z.170622T1800Z.170623T0600Z.NO/
853 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* from Thursday morning to Friday afternoon.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 20.5 feet  early tomorrow
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowland approximately
  5 miles up and downstream of the gage site.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Parking areas flood along the creek.



&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  16.1 Wed 08 PM  19.6  19.3  14.4  20.5 01 PM 06/22


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$

189 
WGUS84 KJAN 221551
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1051 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for all 
forecast points today.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-231200-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-170623T1200Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.170623T0000Z.170623T0000Z.170623T0000Z.NO/
1051 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* until Friday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowland approximately
  5 miles up and downstream of the gage site.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  19.3 Thu 10 AM  18.7  15.1  12.5  20.0 07 PM 06/22


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$

MSC067-232150-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.170622T0815Z.170623T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1051 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet early 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.6 Thu 10 AM  15.8  14.1  13.2  16.0 01 PM 06/23


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

093 
WGUS84 KJAN 230102
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
802 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC035-230132-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-170623T1200Z/
/BKNM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 19.5 feet just
  after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowland approximately
  5 miles up and downstream of the gage site.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Parking areas flood along the creek.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flooding occurs along lowland near the 
  river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  19.3 Thu 07 PM  18.7  15.1  12.5              


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
646 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY STARTING TODAY...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:

Locally heavy rain and inclement weather conditions in association
with Tropical Storm Cindy will bring sub-VFR flight categories to
most sites across the region through tomorrow, but starting now
at HKS/JAN/GTR/NMM/MEI/PIB/HBG. During the worst of the weather
flight cats will be in the IFR range at times with building east
to southeast winds through the day in all areas occasionally
gusting over 25 mph at times through tomorrow. /BB/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Through Thursday night:

Tropical Storm Cindy continues to spin south of the LA coast this
morning with the forecast track changing little from the previous
update. Even though the overall system continues to have quite a
subtropical look to it (with a good bit of the rain and
associated thunderstorms displaced well to the north and east of
the center) the low level circulation has gotten better defined
overnight.

Through the night a large rain shield with perhaps a stray rumble
of thunder or two has migrated north from the Pine Belt toward
central MS. Rain has been locally heavy and totals near the
Highway 98 corridor already range from 2 to 3 inches. Rainfall
rates have been too low thus far to prompt flash flood warnings,
but it may not take long before those are necessary. Latest model
consensus suggests the solid rain shield with heavy rain potential
will build north through mainly the eastern half of the region
through today in tandem with strongest moisture advection and
additional lifting aid from the right entrance region of an upper
level jet streak. Interesting that some model solutions have a
tough time through today generating much precip getting to the
ground over many western zones of the forecast area. This is
certainly plausible due to at least weak low level divergence in
wind fields as flow nearer the coast peels back toward the low
center in the Gulf. All the above taken into account went into the
decision to expand the going flash flood watch for far southern
zones through tomorrow up through portions of south central and
eastern Mississippi (excluding the Jackson Metro area). Some
adjustment of this watch could certainly be needed but the current
layout right now is the best thinking for area flooding rain
potential through tomorrow.

Another aspect of the forecast to watch for today into tonight
will be the slow creep of surface based instability north into the
region on the tail of the widespread rain shield shifting to the
north. Low to mid layer wind shear supportive of tornado
generation will be building into the region at this time as well
although instability in our area this afternoon through tonight
will likely be too low to expect more than a marginal risk of this
activity. Of course the flooding and tornado risks will be
highlighted in the HWO/graphics. We will also be monitoring the
strength of east to southeast surface winds as the day progresses.
Current thinking is that these winds in our region will largely
remain below advisory strength (and certainly below tropical storm
strength).

On Thursday our region will likely be in between widespread heavy
rain areas to our west and southwest (associated with the
landfalling center of Cindy) and to our east over AL. In between
we should see some breaks in cloud cover with heating well up into
the 80s in many locations contributing to troubling instability
(surface based CAPE near or better than 2000 j/kg) considering at
least modest low to mid layer shear that is anticipated. The
Storm Prediction Center has highlighted our western and central
zones with a slight risk of severe storms due to the expectation
of at least isolated storms achieving temporary supercell
characteristics and having the ability to perhaps produce a
tornado or two. This risk will be somewhat lesser over eastern
portions of the area, but will still exist there. In addition,
bands of showers and thunderstorms could still be capable of
tremendous rainfall rates in some locations so a background
flooding threat will persist.

Thursday night a good deal of the afternoon showers and storms
will probably diminish over central and eastern zones. However,
the expected movement of Cindy north (just to or west) will
eventually bring a more consolidated band of locally heavy rains
and embedded thunderstorms to portions of the MS Delta before the
night is over. This may enhance flooding potential there and could
definitely require the flash flood watch to get shifted up in the
that neck of the woods as well before the day is out. /BB/

Friday through Tuesday:

Models and their ensembles were showing an active period with
Cindy and its residing moisture in its wake. As progged by NHC,
Tropical Depression Cindy will be tracking across our northwest
delta region on Friday. Models shows that we will have some good
low level shear of around 35 knots, surface base cape around
2500-3000 j/kg. This combined with daytime heating will bring a
risk of some severe weather esp in our northeast counties during
Friday into Friday night period per SPC day 3 outlook. There will
also be the risk of some heavy rainfall from Tropical Depression
Cindy with pwats over 2.5 inches. The primary risks will be
damaging winds and some tornadoes. The tropical system will exit
the region by early Saturday as it gets caught up in mid latitude
westerly flow. Meanwhile a broad latitude upper trough will bring
a front into the region over the weekend. Pwats ahead of the front
will continue to be 2 plus inches which spells the continued risk
of some locally heavy rainfall. As we go into early next week the
cold front will slide across the region by early Monday. It will
leave some dryer air in its wake which sometimes happens in the
wake of a tropical system. Dryer air will push across the region
on Monday night into Tuesday with lower 60s dewpoints. This will
cause nightly lows to dip into the lower to middle 60s for early
next week. Daily highs will be in the 80s./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       79  73  86  75 /  87  76  71  51
Meridian      78  73  83  75 / 100  95  78  56
Vicksburg     80  73  86  76 /  52  58  71  60
Hattiesburg   79  74  85  75 / 100  99  78  61
Natchez       81  74  85  76 /  69  76  72  59
Greenville    82  73  85  75 /  59  40  73  73
Greenwood     80  73  85  76 /  92  61  68  59

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday evening for MSZ031-038-039-
     045-046-050>052-055>058-060>066-072>074.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday evening for LAZ024-026.

AR...None.

&&

BB/17

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-
040>042-047-221045-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southeastern
Arkansas, northwestern Mississippi, and portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday
through Friday night.

MSZ028>033-037-038-043-044-221045-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-
Madison MS-Leake-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Flooding will be possible through tonight as heavy rain associated
with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall
totals during this time of 1 to 2 inches are expected with locally
higher amounts possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday
through Friday night.

MSZ039-045-046-221045-
Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

At least some flooding issues are expected through tonight as
heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north
through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 2 to 3
inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday
through Friday night.

LAZ024>026-MSZ048>050-053-054-059>061-221045-
Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah-
Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...This Afternoon through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Flooding will be possible through tonight as heavy rain associated
with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall
totals during this time of 1 to 2 inches are expected with
locally higher amounts possible.

In addition, isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible
starting this afternoon and going through tonight. The main risk
with any severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado
or two.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Friday night.

MSZ051-052-055>058-062>066-221045-
Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...This Afternoon through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

At least some flooding issues are expected through tonight as
heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north
through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 2 to 3
inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible.

In addition, isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible
starting this afternoon and going through tonight. The main risk
with any severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado
or two.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Friday night.

MSZ072-221045-
Marion-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Flooding issues are expected through tonight as heavy rain
associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area.
Rainfall totals during this time of 2 to 4 inches are expected
with locally higher amounts possible.

In addition, severe thunderstorms will be possible starting later
this morning and going through tonight. The main risk with any
severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Friday night.

MSZ073-074-221045-
Lamar-Forrest-
540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Significant flooding will be possible through tonight as heavy
rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the
area. Rainfall totals during this time of 4 to 6 inches are
expected with locally higher amounts possible.

In addition, severe thunderstorms will be possible starting later
this morning and going through tonight. The main risk with any
severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday
through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual
flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and
portions of northwestern Mississippi.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside
of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into
Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe
thunderstorms will still be possible.

Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes
being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north
central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening.
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during
that time frame.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Friday night.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/tropical
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/