Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 49, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jun 21, 2017, 10:46 AM CDT for Leake County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jun 23, 2017, 3:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 21, 2017, 10:46 AM CDT (15:46 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 23, 2017, 3:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Jun 26, 2017, 9:39 AM CDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Leake County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tuscolameta Creek at Walnut Grove (WTGM6).
- Action stage
- 24 ft
- Minor stage
- 25 ft
- Moderate stage
- 31.5 ft
- Major stage
- 33 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02483000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
615
WGUS44 KJAN 211546
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1046 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017
...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is being used in the
forecasts for today.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC099-222146-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0048.170624T1800Z-170625T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170624T1800Z.170624T1800Z.170625T0600Z.NO/
1046 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Saturday afternoon to Sunday afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 10.4 Wed 10 AM 11.1 12.5 12.9 13.0 01 PM 06/24
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-222146-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0049.170624T1200Z-170625T0600Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170624T1200Z.170624T1200Z.170624T1800Z.NO/
1046 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Saturday morning to late Saturday night.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 14.7 Wed 10 AM 17.7 24.3 25.0 25.0 07 AM 06/24
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$12 follow-up statements
151
WGUS84 KJAN 220151
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
851 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi..
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC079-230751-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0049.170624T1200Z-170625T0600Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170624T1200Z.170624T1200Z.170624T1800Z.NO/
851 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Saturday morning to late Saturday night.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 15.3 Wed 08 PM 17.7 24.3 25.0 25.0 07 AM 06/24
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$129
WGUS84 KJAN 220952
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
452 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC079-231552-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.170623T0430Z-170625T0224Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0430Z.170624T0000Z.170624T1424Z.NO/
452 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from this evening to Saturday evening.
* At 4:00 AM Thursday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tonight and will
continue to rise to near 25.5 feet tomorrow evening. The river
will fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 19.8 Thu 04 AM 25.3 25.2 20.4 25.5 07 PM 06/23
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$666
WGUS84 KJAN 221529
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1029 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for all forecast
points today.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC099-232129-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0048.170624T1200Z-170626T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170624T1200Z.170624T1200Z.170626T0600Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017
...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Saturday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 11.5 Thu 10 AM 12.6 13.0 13.0 13.0 07 AM 06/24
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-232128-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.170623T0300Z-170626T0000Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0300Z.170624T0000Z.170625T1200Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from this evening to Sunday evening.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tonight and will
continue to rise to near 25.5 feet tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 23.2 Thu 10 AM 25.4 25.4 25.0 25.5 07 PM 06/23
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$747
WGUS84 KJAN 230107
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
807 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC079-240707-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.170623T0800Z-170626T0000Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0800Z.170624T0000Z.170625T1200Z.NO/
807 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from late tonight to Sunday evening.
* At 7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
will continue to rise to near 25.5 feet tomorrow evening. The
river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 24.4 Thu 07 PM 25.2 25.4 25.0 25.5 07 PM 06/23
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$015
WGUS84 KJAN 231410
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
910 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is being used in the
river forecasts for today.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC099-242010-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0048.170626T0600Z-170626T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170626T0600Z.170626T0600Z.170626T0600Z.NO/
910 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from late Sunday night to Monday afternoon.
* At 8:45 AM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 12.2 Fri 09 AM 12.7 12.9 12.9 13.0 01 AM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-242009-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170626T0600Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0600Z.170625T1800Z.NO/
910 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until late Sunday night.
* At 8:00 AM Friday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.8 feet just
after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 25.4 Fri 08 AM 25.7 25.1 24.3 25.8 01 AM 06/24
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$608
WGUS84 KJAN 232003
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
303 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for forecast
points today.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC079-250203-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1200Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0600Z.170627T0000Z.NO/
303 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 2:00 PM Friday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet just
after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Agricultural land along the river is
flooding.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 25.9 Fri 02 PM 26.9 26.9 26.1 27.0 01 AM 06/24
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$267
WGUS84 KJAN 240101
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
801 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC099-250701-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0048.170626T0600Z-170626T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170626T0600Z.170626T0600Z.170626T0600Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from late Sunday night to Monday afternoon.
* At 6:45 PM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 12.2 Fri 07 PM 12.6 12.9 12.9 13.0 01 AM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-250701-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1200Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170625T1200Z.170627T0000Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM Friday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet by Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Agricultural land along the river is
flooding.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 26.3 Fri 07 PM 26.6 27.0 26.1 27.0 07 AM 06/25
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-250701-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.170626T1800Z-170627T1800Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170626T1800Z.170626T1800Z.170627T0600Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Monday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 6:45 PM Friday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along
the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Yockanookany River
Ofahoma 19 13.9 Fri 07 PM 14.7 16.7 18.9 19.0 01 AM 06/27
&&
LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
3280 8964 3271 8964
$$254
WGUS84 KJAN 241628
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County
Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC099-252228-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0048.170624T1625Z-170628T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170624T1007Z.170624T1800Z.170628T0600Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from this morning to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.5 feet this
evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 13.4 Sat 11 AM 13.5 13.5 13.3 13.5 07 PM 06/24
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-252227-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170629T2100Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.170624T1533Z.170626T1200Z.170629T0900Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River At Edinburg
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Water is partially covering several county
roads and dirt roads near the river.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas
south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south
of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Edinburg 20 20.0 Sat 11 AM 21.5 22.5 21.9 22.5 07 AM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
3273 8932 3268 8946
$$
MSC079-252227-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.170624T0723Z.170626T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until further notice.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Carthage 17 18.1 Sat 11 AM 18.9 20.5 20.3 20.5 07 AM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
3266 8952 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-252227-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1307Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0830Z.170627T0107Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 26.5 Sat 11 AM 26.5 26.1 20.7 Crested
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-252227-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.170625T1030Z-170629T1030Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T1030Z.170626T1800Z.170628T2230Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late tonight to late Wednesday night.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
will continue to rise to near 20.5 feet Monday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along
the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Yockanookany River
Ofahoma 19 18.0 Sat 11 AM 19.1 20.4 20.3 20.5 07 PM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
3280 8964 3271 8964
$$406
WGUS84 KJAN 250108
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County
Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC099-260708-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-170628T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170624T1007Z.170625T0600Z.170628T0600Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet just
after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside
Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 13.6 Sat 08 PM 13.8 13.6 13.3 13.8 01 AM 06/25
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-260708-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170629T2100Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.170624T1533Z.170626T1200Z.170629T0900Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River At Edinburg
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Water is partially covering several county
roads and dirt roads near the river.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas
south of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Edinburg 20 20.2 Sat 08 PM 21.5 22.5 21.9 22.5 07 AM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
3273 8932 3268 8946
$$
MSC079-260708-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.170624T0723Z.170626T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along
and near the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Carthage 17 18.1 Sat 08 PM 18.9 20.5 20.3 20.5 07 AM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
3266 8952 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-260708-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1323Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0830Z.170627T0123Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below
flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 26.4 Sat 07 PM 26.3 25.9 21.1 Falling
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-260707-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.170625T0600Z-170629T1030Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T0600Z.170626T1800Z.170628T2230Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late tonight to late Wednesday night.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after
midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 20.5 feet early
Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along
the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Yockanookany River
Ofahoma 19 18.8 Sat 08 PM 19.1 20.4 20.3 20.5 01 PM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
3280 8964 3271 8964
$$
MSC049-121-260707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0059.170626T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.170626T1800Z.170628T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River At Jackson
* from Monday afternoon until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Monday
afternoon and will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet early
Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Farmland in southern Rankin County begins to
flood and water begins to affect home access near the river in the
Byram area.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is
occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams
in the Jackson area.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Roads near the river in Lefleurs Bluff State
Park begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Jackson 28 25.2 Sat 07 PM 26.2 27.7 28.7 29.0 01 AM 06/28
&&
LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
3213 9020 3198 9012
$$013
WGUS84 KJAN 251452
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
952 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC079-262052-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1236Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0830Z.170627T0036Z.NO/
952 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to gradually fall and
fall below flood stage late Monday evening.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 26.3 Sun 09 AM 25.9 21.6 16.9
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$567
WGUS84 KJAN 260104
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County
Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC099-270704-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-170629T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170624T1007Z.170626T0600Z.170628T1200Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is near crest, and will then begin falling.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside
Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 13.6 Sun 07 PM 13.7 13.4 13.0 Near Crest
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-270704-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170628T1200Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.170624T1533Z.170626T1800Z.170628T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River At Edinburg
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet early
tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas
south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south
of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Edinburg 20 20.4 Sun 07 PM 20.4 20.2 19.6 20.5 01 PM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
3273 8932 3268 8946
$$
MSC079-270703-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-170701T0800Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.170624T0723Z.170627T0600Z.170630T2000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until late Friday night.
* At 6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet early
Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along
and near the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Carthage 17 18.8 Sun 07 PM 19.6 20.0 19.6 20.0 01 AM 06/27
&&
LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
3266 8952 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-270703-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1236Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0830Z.170627T0036Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below
flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 26.0 Sun 07 PM 25.9 21.6 16.9 Falling
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-270703-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-170629T0936Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T0500Z.170627T0000Z.170628T2136Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet
tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along
the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Yockanookany River
Ofahoma 19 19.7 Sun 07 PM 20.3 20.4 19.7 20.5 07 PM 06/26
&&
LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
3280 8964 3271 8964
$$
MSC049-121-270703-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0059.170626T1800Z-170630T2100Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.170626T1800Z.170628T1200Z.170630T0900Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River At Jackson
* from Monday afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow
afternoon and will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Farmland in southern Rankin County begins to
flood and water begins to affect home access near the river in the
Byram area.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is
occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams
in the Jackson area.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Jackson 28 26.8 Sun 07 PM 27.7 28.6 29.0 29.0 07 AM 06/28
&&
LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
3213 9020 3198 9012
$$393
WGUS84 KJAN 261439
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
939 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Mississippi...
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC079-261509-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1236Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0830Z.170626T0926Z.NO/
939 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove.
* At 9:00 AM Monday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 4:26 AM Monday.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 17.0 feet tomorrow
morning.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 24.0 Mon 09 AM 17.0 15.4 14.7 BLO FS
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 21, 6:46 AM CDT, 4 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 6:46 AM CDT, 4 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
646 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017
...IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY STARTING TODAY...
.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion
&&
.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
Locally heavy rain and inclement weather conditions in association
with Tropical Storm Cindy will bring sub-VFR flight categories to
most sites across the region through tomorrow, but starting now
at HKS/JAN/GTR/NMM/MEI/PIB/HBG. During the worst of the weather
flight cats will be in the IFR range at times with building east
to southeast winds through the day in all areas occasionally
gusting over 25 mph at times through tomorrow. /BB/
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Through Thursday night:
Tropical Storm Cindy continues to spin south of the LA coast this
morning with the forecast track changing little from the previous
update. Even though the overall system continues to have quite a
subtropical look to it (with a good bit of the rain and
associated thunderstorms displaced well to the north and east of
the center) the low level circulation has gotten better defined
overnight.
Through the night a large rain shield with perhaps a stray rumble
of thunder or two has migrated north from the Pine Belt toward
central MS. Rain has been locally heavy and totals near the
Highway 98 corridor already range from 2 to 3 inches. Rainfall
rates have been too low thus far to prompt flash flood warnings,
but it may not take long before those are necessary. Latest model
consensus suggests the solid rain shield with heavy rain potential
will build north through mainly the eastern half of the region
through today in tandem with strongest moisture advection and
additional lifting aid from the right entrance region of an upper
level jet streak. Interesting that some model solutions have a
tough time through today generating much precip getting to the
ground over many western zones of the forecast area. This is
certainly plausible due to at least weak low level divergence in
wind fields as flow nearer the coast peels back toward the low
center in the Gulf. All the above taken into account went into the
decision to expand the going flash flood watch for far southern
zones through tomorrow up through portions of south central and
eastern Mississippi (excluding the Jackson Metro area). Some
adjustment of this watch could certainly be needed but the current
layout right now is the best thinking for area flooding rain
potential through tomorrow.
Another aspect of the forecast to watch for today into tonight
will be the slow creep of surface based instability north into the
region on the tail of the widespread rain shield shifting to the
north. Low to mid layer wind shear supportive of tornado
generation will be building into the region at this time as well
although instability in our area this afternoon through tonight
will likely be too low to expect more than a marginal risk of this
activity. Of course the flooding and tornado risks will be
highlighted in the HWO/graphics. We will also be monitoring the
strength of east to southeast surface winds as the day progresses.
Current thinking is that these winds in our region will largely
remain below advisory strength (and certainly below tropical storm
strength).
On Thursday our region will likely be in between widespread heavy
rain areas to our west and southwest (associated with the
landfalling center of Cindy) and to our east over AL. In between
we should see some breaks in cloud cover with heating well up into
the 80s in many locations contributing to troubling instability
(surface based CAPE near or better than 2000 j/kg) considering at
least modest low to mid layer shear that is anticipated. The
Storm Prediction Center has highlighted our western and central
zones with a slight risk of severe storms due to the expectation
of at least isolated storms achieving temporary supercell
characteristics and having the ability to perhaps produce a
tornado or two. This risk will be somewhat lesser over eastern
portions of the area, but will still exist there. In addition,
bands of showers and thunderstorms could still be capable of
tremendous rainfall rates in some locations so a background
flooding threat will persist.
Thursday night a good deal of the afternoon showers and storms
will probably diminish over central and eastern zones. However,
the expected movement of Cindy north (just to or west) will
eventually bring a more consolidated band of locally heavy rains
and embedded thunderstorms to portions of the MS Delta before the
night is over. This may enhance flooding potential there and could
definitely require the flash flood watch to get shifted up in the
that neck of the woods as well before the day is out. /BB/
Friday through Tuesday:
Models and their ensembles were showing an active period with
Cindy and its residing moisture in its wake. As progged by NHC,
Tropical Depression Cindy will be tracking across our northwest
delta region on Friday. Models shows that we will have some good
low level shear of around 35 knots, surface base cape around
2500-3000 j/kg. This combined with daytime heating will bring a
risk of some severe weather esp in our northeast counties during
Friday into Friday night period per SPC day 3 outlook. There will
also be the risk of some heavy rainfall from Tropical Depression
Cindy with pwats over 2.5 inches. The primary risks will be
damaging winds and some tornadoes. The tropical system will exit
the region by early Saturday as it gets caught up in mid latitude
westerly flow. Meanwhile a broad latitude upper trough will bring
a front into the region over the weekend. Pwats ahead of the front
will continue to be 2 plus inches which spells the continued risk
of some locally heavy rainfall. As we go into early next week the
cold front will slide across the region by early Monday. It will
leave some dryer air in its wake which sometimes happens in the
wake of a tropical system. Dryer air will push across the region
on Monday night into Tuesday with lower 60s dewpoints. This will
cause nightly lows to dip into the lower to middle 60s for early
next week. Daily highs will be in the 80s./17/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson 79 73 86 75 / 87 76 71 51
Meridian 78 73 83 75 / 100 95 78 56
Vicksburg 80 73 86 76 / 52 58 71 60
Hattiesburg 79 74 85 75 / 100 99 78 61
Natchez 81 74 85 76 / 69 76 72 59
Greenville 82 73 85 75 / 59 40 73 73
Greenwood 80 73 85 76 / 92 61 68 59
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday evening for MSZ031-038-039-
045-046-050>052-055>058-060>066-072>074.
LA...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday evening for LAZ024-026.
AR...None.
&&
BB/17Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 5:40 AM CDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036- 040>042-047-221045- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Franklin LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll- Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren- 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southeastern Arkansas, northwestern Mississippi, and portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and west central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and portions of northwestern Mississippi. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe thunderstorms will still be possible. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during that time frame. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday through Friday night. MSZ028>033-037-038-043-044-221045- Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston- Madison MS-Leake- 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight Flooding will be possible through tonight as heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 1 to 2 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and portions of northwestern Mississippi. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe thunderstorms will still be possible. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during that time frame. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday through Friday night. MSZ039-045-046-221045- Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper- 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight At least some flooding issues are expected through tonight as heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 2 to 3 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and portions of northwestern Mississippi. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe thunderstorms will still be possible. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during that time frame. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday through Friday night. LAZ024>026-MSZ048>050-053-054-059>061-221045- Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah- Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS- 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...This Afternoon through Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight Flooding will be possible through tonight as heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 1 to 2 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. In addition, isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible starting this afternoon and going through tonight. The main risk with any severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and portions of northwestern Mississippi. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe thunderstorms will still be possible. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during that time frame. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through Friday night. MSZ051-052-055>058-062>066-221045- Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Lincoln-Lawrence- Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones- 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...This Afternoon through Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight At least some flooding issues are expected through tonight as heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 2 to 3 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. In addition, isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible starting this afternoon and going through tonight. The main risk with any severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and portions of northwestern Mississippi. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe thunderstorms will still be possible. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during that time frame. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through Friday night. MSZ072-221045- Marion- 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today through Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight Flooding issues are expected through tonight as heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 2 to 4 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. In addition, severe thunderstorms will be possible starting later this morning and going through tonight. The main risk with any severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and portions of northwestern Mississippi. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe thunderstorms will still be possible. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during that time frame. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through Friday night. MSZ073-074-221045- Lamar-Forrest- 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today through Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Significant TIMING...Today through Tonight Significant flooding will be possible through tonight as heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Cindy moves north through the area. Rainfall totals during this time of 4 to 6 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. In addition, severe thunderstorms will be possible starting later this morning and going through tonight. The main risk with any severe storms will be damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Flooding is possible for the entire outlook area Thursday through Friday night, but we are most confident in eventual flooding issues by Friday in extreme southeastern Arkansas and portions of northwestern Mississippi. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, are possible for most of the area outside of east central and northeastern Mississippi Thursday into Thursday evening. In the latter areas isolated severe thunderstorms will still be possible. Severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds and brief tornadoes being the main threat, will again be possible portions of north central and northeast Mississippi Friday into Friday evening. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible elsewhere during that time frame. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through Friday night. 50 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *FLOODING* Extreme...Confident in significant flooding. Significant...Significant flooding possible. Elevated...Confident in flooding. Limited...Flooding possible. *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected. Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant severe weather possible. Enhanced...Severe storms expected. Slight...Severe storms possible. Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Tropical page... www.weather.gov/jan/tropical National Hurricane Center Home Page... www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Find NWS JAN on Facebook... www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... Current Watches and Warnings... www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain Observed Precipitation Images... www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps River Forecast Center... www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Significant River Flood Outlook... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml Excessive Rainfall Discussion... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html Day 1 through 7 QPF... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml QPF Discussion... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 21, 7:07 AM CDT, 3 hours 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
707 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 14 ESE PURVIS 31.05N 89.20W
06/21/2017 M3.40 INCH FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR
STORM TOTAL MEASURED THUS FAR IN BROOKLYN IN
ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM CINDY.
&&Local storm report, Jun 21, 7:11 AM CDT, 3 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
711 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 ENE PETAL 31.39N 89.17W
06/21/2017 E35 MPH FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR
LARGE TREE DOWN ON THE OUTSKIRTS OF PETAL.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 4:56 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar, Marion | 3 hr |
| Jun 21, 7:02 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest | 52 hr |
| Jun 21, 9:39 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Clarke | 5 days |
| Jun 21, 10:46 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Neshoba | 6 days |
| Jun 21, 11:31 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lamar, Marion | 3 hr |
| Jun 21, 3:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar, Marion | 3 hr |
| Jun 21, 4:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Forrest, Lamar, Marion | 39 min |
| Jun 21, 5:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence | 60 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.