Alert archive / Indiana / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 92, NWS Northern Indiana
NWS Northern Indiana issued this river flood warning at Jul 10, 2017, 10:53 AM EDT for 5 counties in Indiana. It took effect at Jul 10, 2017, 11:07 PM EDT. It was in force for 70 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 10, 2017, 10:53 AM EDT (14:53 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 10, 2017, 11:07 PM EDT
- Expired
- Jul 13, 2017, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 70 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Northern Indiana
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
Counties Cass County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, Miami County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Whitley County, IN
The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Eel River (IN) at North Manchester (NMCI3). The gauge peaked at 6.58 ft at Jul 9, 2017, 11:00 AM EDT.
- Action stage
- 9 ft
- Minor stage
- 11 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14 ft
- Major stage
- 16 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03328000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
903
WGUS43 KIWX 101453
FLWIWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1053 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
...The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers...
Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
Wabash and Whitley Counties
.Current and forecast rainfall will allow for rises on the Eel River at North Manchester.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC017-085-103-169-183-111453-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0092.170711T0307Z-170714T0100Z/
/NMCI3.2.ER.170711T0307Z.170711T1800Z.170713T0100Z.NO/
1053 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Eel River at North Manchester
* from this evening to Thursday evening.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 6.3 feet and rising.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Monday night and
crest near 12.5 feet around 2 PM Tuesday July 11 and fall below
flood stage around 9 PM Wednesday July 12.
* At 13.0 feet...South Mill Street lumber company built wall to
prevent flooding after December 1990 flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.5 feet which occurred
on Jul 1 2017.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$2 follow-up statements
295
WGUS43 KIWX 110133
FLWIWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
933 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
...The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers...
Tippecanoe River near Ora affecting Fulton...Kosciusko...Marshall...
Pulaski and Starke Counties
Kankakee River at Davis affecting La Porte...Starke and St. Joseph
Counties
Auglaize River near Fort Jennings affecting Allen...Paulding and
Putnam Counties
Ottawa River near Kalida affecting Putnam County
Blanchard River at Ottawa affecting Putnam County
Saint Marys River near Decatur affecting Adams...Allen and Van Wert
Counties
Tiffin River near Stryker affecting Defiance...Fulton and Williams
Counties
...Flooding severity forecast to increase from Moderate to Moderate
for the following rivers in Indiana
Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
Wabash and Whitley Counties
.Recent and forecasted heavy rainfall will send several rivers into flood stage through at least the middle of the week.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC017-085-103-169-183-120133-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0092.170711T0913Z-170714T0000Z/
/NMCI3.2.ER.170711T0913Z.170711T1800Z.170713T0000Z.NO/
933 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Eel River at North Manchester
* from late tonight to Thursday evening.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 5.6 feet and falling.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Tuesday
morning and crest near 12.5 feet around 2 PM Tuesday July 11 and
fall below flood stage around 8 PM Wednesday July 12.
* At 13.0 feet...South Mill Street lumber company built wall to
prevent flooding after December 1990 flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.5 feet which occurred
on Jul 1 2017.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$
INC049-085-099-131-149-120132-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0093.170712T1200Z-170716T0600Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.170712T1200Z.170713T1800Z.170715T0600Z.NO/
933 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Tippecanoe River near Ora
* from Wednesday morning to late Saturday night.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 11.6 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday morning
and crest near 12.3 feet around 8 PM Thursday July 13 and fall
below flood stage around 2 AM Saturday July 15.
* At 12.5 feet...Flooding begins to affect residences near the river.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.1 feet which occurred
on Jun 29 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4109 8658 4116 8660 4117 8656 4117 8653
4115 8657 4108 8655
$$
INC091-141-149-120132-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0094.170712T0300Z-170714T1200Z/
/DAVI3.1.ER.170712T0300Z.170712T0600Z.170713T1200Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2017
The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Kankakee River at Davis
* from Tuesday evening to Friday morning.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 8.6 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday night and
crest near 10.1 feet around 1 AM Wednesday July 12 and fall below
flood stage around 7 AM Thursday July 13.
* At 10.0 feet...Flooding of low lying agricultural areas begins.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.4 feet which occurred
on Nov 4 2016.
&&
LAT...LON 4145 8667 4144 8661 4130 8673 4131 8679
4143 8670
$$
OHC003-125-137-120132-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0095.170711T1500Z-170713T0400Z/
/FTJO1.1.ER.170711T1500Z.170712T0000Z.170712T0400Z.NO/
933 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Auglaize River near Fort Jennings
* from Tuesday morning to late Wednesday night.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 4.6 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday morning
and crest near 13.6 feet around 8 PM Tuesday July 11 and fall
below flood stage around 12 AM Wednesday July 12.
* At 13.0 feet...Minor flooding begins in the northwest Ohio counties
of northwest Allen, northeast Van Wert, and southwest Putnam. Farm
land nearest the Auglaize river will be affected by flood water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet which occurred
on Dec 7 2011.
&&
LAT...LON 4081 8440 4101 8426 4100 8422 4092 8423
4081 8433
$$
OHC137-120132-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0096.170712T0000Z-170712T0600Z/
/KALO1.1.ER.170712T0000Z.170712T0000Z.170712T0000Z.NO/
933 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Ottawa River near Kalida
* from Tuesday evening to late Tuesday night.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 5.7 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage around
8 PM Tuesday July 11.
* At 19.0 feet...Properties along lowland portions of the Ottawa
River near Kalida become impacted by flood waters. Water begins to
approach State Route 115 near the southeast village limits of
Kalida.
&&
LAT...LON 4101 8425 4099 8420 4096 8417 4095 8420
4098 8421 4099 8429
$$
OHC137-120132-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0097.170712T1500Z-170714T0936Z/
/OTTO1.1.ER.170712T1500Z.170713T0000Z.170713T0936Z.NO/
933 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Blanchard River at Ottawa
* from Wednesday morning to late Thursday night.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 10.6 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday morning
and crest near 23.5 feet around 8 PM Wednesday July 12 and fall
below flood stage around 5 AM Thursday July 13.
* At 23.0 feet...Lowland flooding occurs mainly in south Ottawa.
Flood water also gets into low farmlands.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 feet which occurred
on Dec 30 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4103 8429 4107 8429 4108 8404 4100 8401
4104 8416
$$
INC001-003-OHC161-120132-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0098.170711T1145Z-170713T1000Z/
/DCRI3.1.ER.170711T1145Z.170711T1800Z.170712T1000Z.NO/
933 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Saint Marys River near Decatur
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday morning.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 14.6 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday morning
and crest near 18.0 feet around 2 PM Tuesday July 11 and fall
below flood stage around 6 AM Wednesday July 12.
* At 18.5 feet...County Road 225 North...just north of Pleasant Mills
Indiana is closed by flood water. Low land areas of Kekionga Park
on the southeast side of Decatur begin flooding. Flooding is
limited to farm land in Pleasant Mills Indiana and Wilshire Ohio.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.0 feet which occurred
on Jan 21 2017.
&&
LAT...LON 4093 8506 4094 8504 4084 8491 4082 8494
$$
OHC039-051-171-120132-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0099.170711T1024Z-170715T1200Z/
/STRO1.1.ER.170711T1024Z.170712T0000Z.170714T1200Z.NO/
933 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017
The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Tiffin River near Stryker
* from Tuesday morning to Saturday morning.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 8.9 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday morning
and crest near 13.0 feet around 8 PM Tuesday July 11 and fall
below flood stage around 8 AM Friday July 14.
* At 13.0 feet...Flood waters begin to affect some farm buildings
near Stryker and flood some secondary roads.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.1 feet which occurred
on Dec 17 2011.
&&
LAT...LON 4130 8444 4149 8446 4159 8439 4159 8429
4130 8438
$$583
WGUS43 KIWX 110927
FLWIWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
527 AM EDT Tue Jul 11 2017
...Flooding forecast for the following rivers in Indiana...Ohio...
Tippecanoe River near Ora affecting Fulton...Kosciusko...Marshall...
Pulaski and Starke Counties
Ottawa River near Kalida affecting Putnam County
Auglaize River near Fort Jennings affecting Allen...Paulding and
Putnam Counties
Blanchard River at Ottawa affecting Putnam County
Saint Marys River near Decatur affecting Adams...Allen and Van Wert
Counties
Tiffin River near Stryker affecting Defiance...Fulton and Williams
Counties
.Heavy rainfall over the past 24 hours will cause minor flooding on
some rivers in the area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC049-085-099-131-149-120927-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0093.170712T1200Z-170716T0600Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.170712T1200Z.170713T1800Z.170715T0600Z.NO/
527 AM EDT Tue Jul 11 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tippecanoe River near Ora
* from Wednesday morning to late Saturday night.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.8 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday morning
and crest near 12.3 feet around 8 PM Thursday July 13 and fall
below flood stage around 2 AM Saturday July 15.
* At 12.5 feet...Flooding begins to affect residences near the river.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.1 feet which occurred
on Jun 29 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4109 8658 4116 8660 4117 8656 4117 8653
4115 8657 4108 8655
$$
OHC003-125-137-120926-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0095.170711T1215Z-170713T1430Z/
/FTJO1.1.ER.170711T1215Z.170712T0000Z.170712T1430Z.NO/
527 AM EDT Tue Jul 11 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Auglaize River near Fort Jennings
* until Thursday morning.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday morning
and crest near 15.6 feet around 8 PM Tuesday July 11 and fall
below flood stage around 10 AM Wednesday July 12.
* At 16.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins along the Auglaize River
with secondary roads and agricultural lands as well as homes
nearest the river being affected by flood waters. Some evacuations
of people and property may be necessary.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.1 feet which occurred
on Jun 28 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4081 8440 4101 8426 4100 8422 4092 8423
4081 8433
$$
OHC137-120600-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0096.170712T0000Z-170712T0600Z/
/KALO1.1.ER.170712T0000Z.170712T0000Z.170712T0000Z.NO/
527 AM EDT Tue Jul 11 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ottawa River near Kalida
* from this evening to late tonight.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage around
8 PM Tuesday July 11.
* At 19.0 feet...Properties along lowland portions of the Ottawa
River near Kalida become impacted by flood waters. Water begins to
approach State Route 115 near the southeast village limits of
Kalida.
&&
LAT...LON 4101 8425 4099 8420 4096 8417 4095 8420
4098 8421 4099 8429
$$
OHC137-120926-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0097.170712T1200Z-170714T1600Z/
/OTTO1.1.ER.170712T1200Z.170713T0000Z.170713T1600Z.NO/
527 AM EDT Tue Jul 11 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blanchard River at Ottawa
* from Wednesday morning to Friday afternoon.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.3 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday morning
and crest near 23.7 feet around 8 PM Wednesday July 12 and fall
below flood stage around 12 PM Thursday July 13.
* At 23.0 feet...Lowland flooding occurs mainly in south Ottawa.
Flood water also gets into low farmlands.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 feet which occurred
on Dec 30 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4103 8429 4107 8429 4108 8404 4100 8401
4104 8416
$$
INC001-003-OHC161-120926-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0098.170711T1800Z-170712T1800Z/
/DCRI3.1.ER.170711T1800Z.170711T1800Z.170711T1800Z.NO/
527 AM EDT Tue Jul 11 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Saint Marys River near Decatur
* from this afternoon to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.4 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage around
2 PM Tuesday July 11.
* At 17.0 feet...Agricultural flooding occurs along the river in
northern...central and eastern Adams County.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.3 feet which occurred
on Mar 14 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 4093 8506 4094 8504 4084 8491 4082 8494
$$
OHC039-051-171-120926-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0099.170711T1800Z-170715T0000Z/
/STRO1.1.ER.170711T1800Z.170713T1200Z.170714T0000Z.NO/
527 AM EDT Tue Jul 11 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tiffin River near Stryker
* from this afternoon to Friday evening.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday afternoon
and crest near 11.3 feet around 8 AM Thursday July 13 and fall
below flood stage around 8 PM Thursday July 13.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding of lowland areas around Stryker can be
expected.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.9 feet which occurred
on Jun 1 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4130 8444 4149 8446 4159 8439 4159 8429
4130 8438
$$
INC017-085-103-169-183-110957-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-170714T0000Z/
/NMCI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
527 AM EDT Tue Jul 11 2017
The Flood Warning for the Eel River near North Manchester is cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 5.9 feet and steady.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 10, 6:09 AM EDT, 4 hours 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 6:09 AM EDT, 4 hours 44 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 609 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017 .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 330 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017 Two rounds of showers and storms are expected today. The first will arrive this morning with isolated heavy rain and gusty winds possible. The second round will arrive this evening with damaging winds...hail...and heavy rain possible. This heavy rain could cause isolated flooding...especially in areas that saw heavy rain on Friday. A brief break is expected on Tuesday but additional storms are expected Wednesday into Thursday. Heat and humidity values will steadily increase through the middle of the week. && .SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight) Issued at 330 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017 MCS rolling across the Upper Midwest as expected this morning, fueled by steep midlevel lapse rates, strong shear, and nearly 3000 J/kg of MUCAPE with excellent LLJ and associated moisture transport. Forward propagating Corfidi vectors and thickness lines continue to suggest more of an eastward turn this morning with main area of convection moving into our CWA around 12Z. (Additional SCT storms will likely continue in our east as well.) MCS maintenance parameters not as favorable over our area with weaker midlevel lapse rates and less supportive mean flow/shear (southerly 0-2 km SR winds also less favorable with eastward hook into our area). While the threat for an organized MCS/significant severe weather event is low, ample 850mb moisture advection (850mb dewpoints near 15C) and still modest lapse rates aloft will support up to 2000 J/kg of MUCAPE with enough flow to support an isolated damaging wind/hail threat. MCS actually already looking a bit ragged on radar mosaic and suspect impinging LLJ will favor additional development ahead of the main line, beginning in our NW in a few hours. While isolated severe threat is possible, heavy rain and flooding will be larger concern. Widespread area of moderate rain seen on radar mosaic and expect this will envelope our CWA later this morning. Atmospheric moisture is not extremely high but PW values are over 1.5 inches and warm cloud depths are around 12 kft. However, HRRR indicating more of a north-south orientation to the line with limited backbuilding/ training potential and upstream rainfall reports so far have not been particularly impressive for most areas. Main concern for flash flooding will be in areas impacting by Friday's rain. Corridor of Friday's rain was intense but also narrow with very little precip on either side. Therefore expect just isolated flooding threat and will hold with just ESF/HWO for now. Question remains what the impact of this morning convection will be on afternoon/evening activity. Typically this morning convection would trash our evening chances but as previously noted, tremendous low level moisture advection anticipated with 40+ kt LLJ sending a pronounced 850mb theta-e ridge into our region from the Central Plains. 850mb dewpoints approach 18C with PW values climbing near 2 inches. While the impact of morning storms remains somewhat unclear, this moisture advection (in concert with midlevel lapse rates climbing to 7 C/km) would suggest enough instability for a second round of strong/severe storms this evening as SBCAPE values potentially climb to near 3000 J/kg by 00Z. And with 40+ kts at 850mb and tremendous veering through the column, it will not take much to produce organized clusters of storms with damaging winds. While the threat of tornadoes is low due to lack of significantly backed near-surface wind/"hockey-stick" hodographs, they cannot be ruled out given good 0-1km shear/helicity and relatively low LCL's in moist environment. Deep layer shear of 35-40 kts also supports potential for supercells, assuming adequate instability, with hail also a concern. Best chances of severe weather likely along and south of US-30 in the 21-06Z timeframe as suggested by the WRF-ARW given potentially less impact from morning activity and better proximity to best moisture plume. However, difficult to rule out the northern counties either. Heavy rain/flooding also obviously a concern if instability field does recover and support widespread/ sustained updrafts. Will defer to day shift to nail down details with benefit of seeing exactly how AM convection evolves but the threat for both severe weather and flooding is certainly there. && .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 330 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017 Bright side to today's very active weather is that most 00Z guidance now suggest enough ridging/subsidence in highly worked-over environment to push boundary south of our area on Tuesday and give a break from busy weather. A few storms possible in our far south Tues afternoon but most of the CWA now appears dry and have cut back PoPs even further. Break will be relatively short-lived though as next trough approaches the northern Lakes and increasing/backing low level flow will send front northward again late Tues night/Wed. Some brief strong storms/heavy rain may be possible early Wed morning (especially in our north) but best isentropic ascent and moisture convergence appear to focus over central MI on Wed with our CWA in capped warm sector. Better chances will arrive Wed night into Thu as cold front finally pushes south and scours out moisture/instability. Severe weather will be possible with this cold front given moderate instability, decent shear, and good forcing. Much will depend on exact timing though, which is a bit uncertain at this range. Dry to end the work week but secondary cold front possible sometime late Saturday per both latest GFS and ECMWF. && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday Morning) Issued at 607 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017 Large area of tsra from srn Lake MI across nrn IL has been movg se and expect this to continue this morning as mucape over nrn IN >1000j/kg and latest VWP suggesting low level warm advection, while not as strong as overnight, was still continuing. Airmass expected to destabilize this aftn in the wake of the morning convection, with redevelopment along frontal boundary extending eastward from low currently over IA which will move east into nrn IL this aftn/eve with these storms also likely impacting the terminals. This low should continue ene tonight across srn MI allowing a frontal boundary to move south into nrn IN in its wake. Expect stratus/br with ifr/mvfr conditions will accompany this front. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...NONE. MI...NONE. OH...NONE. LM...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...AGD SHORT TERM...AGD LONG TERM...AGD AVIATION...JT Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana www.twitter.com/nwsiwx www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 4:56 AM EDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Northern Indiana 456 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-110900- La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke- Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN- Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien- Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance- Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH- 456 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017 /356 AM CDT Mon Jul 10 2017/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Michigan...northern Indiana and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Additional thunderstorms are expected this morning. Widespread severe weather is not anticipated, but an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible with isolated damaging winds...hail...and locally heavy rainfall. Additional thunderstorms are expected to develop this evening. Some of these storms may be severe with damaging winds...hail...and heavy rain. Localized flooding is possible...especially in areas that saw heavy rain on Friday. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Additional thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday and Thursday. Severe weather may be possible but confidence is low at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed. && Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or check our web site at weather.gov/iwx LMZ043-046-110900- New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI- 456 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Thunderstorms are expected this morning and again this evening. Some of the storms may be strong to severe. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Additional thunderstorms are possible Wednesday and Thursday. && Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or check our web site at weather.gov/iwx
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 10, 9:09 AM EDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
909 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2017
INZ018-025-026-101345-
Huntington-Allen-Wells-
909 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2017
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ALLEN...
NORTHEASTERN HUNTINGTON AND NORTHEASTERN WELLS COUNTIES...
At 908 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Huntington,
moving east at 40 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Fort Wayne, Huntington, Ossian, Markle, Roanoke, Zanesville,
Uniondale, Nine Mile, Bowerstown, Yoder, Poe and Mahon.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 469 between mile markers 0 and 10.
Interstate 69 in Indiana between mile markers 287 and 299.
LAT...LON 4093 8557 4102 8515 4092 8505 4092 8507
4085 8507 4081 8551
TIME...MOT...LOC 1308Z 253DEG 33KT 4089 8544
MARSILILocal storm report, Jul 10, 9:11 AM EDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
911 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0903 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 N HUNTINGTON 40.90N 85.51W
07/10/2017 HUNTINGTON IN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREE LIMB ON VEHICLE AT HARDEES. DIME SIZED
HAIL ALSO REPORTED.
&&
CRLocal storm report, Jul 10, 9:17 AM EDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
917 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0916 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE RUTLAND 41.21N 86.31W
07/10/2017 MARSHALL IN EMERGENCY MNGR
2 TREE LIMBS DOWN.
&&
CRLocal storm report, Jul 10, 9:33 AM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
933 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0931 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E BOURBON 41.30N 86.11W
07/10/2017 E0.62 INCH MARSHALL IN MESONET
RAINFALL IN 16 MINUTES.
&&
SKIPSpecial weather statement, Jul 10, 9:47 AM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
947 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2017
INZ005-006-008-101445-
Lagrange-Noble-Elkhart-
947 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2017
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ELKHART...
NOBLE AND SOUTHERN LAGRANGE COUNTIES...
At 947 AM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near New Paris to near Syracuse to North
Webster. Movement was east at 45 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.
Locations impacted include...
Kendallville, Ligonier, Lagrange, Albion, Rome City, Topeka,
Millersburg, Benton, Wolcottville, Cromwell, Brimfield, Honeyville,
Brushy Prairie, Big Long Lake, Plato, Bear Lake, Stroh, Mongo,
Indianola and Lisbon.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
LAT...LON 4169 8520 4139 8519 4129 8558 4130 8565
4144 8565 4144 8572 4155 8580 4168 8529
TIME...MOT...LOC 1347Z 248DEG 38KT 4154 8581 4143 8567 4131 8567
MARSILILocal storm report, Jul 10, 10:06 AM EDT, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1006 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1005 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N NORTH WEBSTER 41.35N 85.70W
07/10/2017 M1.00 INCH KOSCIUSKO IN OFFICIAL NWS OBS
&&
SKIPThe office that day
Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 9:23 PM EDT | River Flood Watch | IWX | Fulton, Marshall, Pulaski, Starke | 5 days |
| Jul 10, 12:53 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Miami | 37 min |
| Jul 10, 1:51 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Wells | 24 min |
| Jul 10, 2:22 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Whitley | 23 min |
| Jul 10, 2:55 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Huntington | 35 min |
| Jul 10, 3:11 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Allen, Huntington, Wells | 49 min |
| Jul 10, 4:13 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Allen | 32 min |
| Jul 10, 4:46 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Adams | 29 min |
| Jul 10, 8:51 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Noble | 39 min |
| Jul 10, 9:00 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Fulton, Kosciusko, Marshall | 45 min |
| Jul 10, 9:09 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Huntington | 36 min |
| Jul 10, 9:15 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | IWX | 90 min | |
| Jul 10, 9:20 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, Marshall, Saint Joseph, Whitley | 40 min |
| Jul 10, 9:47 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | LaGrange, Noble | 58 min |
| Jul 10, 9:54 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | IWX | DeKalb, Elkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben | 111 min |
| Jul 10, 10:09 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | IWX | Adams, Allen, Huntington, Wells | 111 min |
| Jul 10, 2:49 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | IWX | Adams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, Fulton, Grant and 10 more | 11 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Fulton | 43 min |
| Jul 10, 6:52 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | White | 53 min |
| Jul 10, 7:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Cass | 50 min |
| Jul 10, 7:48 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Cass | 42 min |
| Jul 10, 7:55 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Miami, Wabash | 50 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Indiana, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.