River Flood Warning 202, NWS Kansas City, MO

069 
WGUS43 KEAX 221455
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
955 AM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017


...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Missouri...

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Missouri...

  Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC053-195-231455-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0185.170822T1733Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.170822T1733Z.170825T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.

* until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 30.5 feet by Thursday evening.
* At 29.0 feet...Livestock in pastures along the river may be 
  endangered. Extensive damage also occurs to cropland and pasture.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   20.5   Tue 09 AM   30.5 Thursday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC033-231455-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0202.170822T2150Z-170824T2258Z/
/CAXM7.2.ER.170822T2150Z.170823T1200Z.170823T2258Z.UU/
955 AM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.

* from this afternoon to Thursday afternoon.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* At 19.8 feet...South Main Street along with Stonewall Street and 
  Wabash Road on the south side of Carrollton are overtopped by flood
  waters. Flood waters also threaten businesses in low-lying areas 
  near the creek.
* At 19.1 feet...Water reaches the bottom of the South Main Street 
  bridge over Wakenda Creek.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the 
  creek begins.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Wakenda Creek
  Carrollton      16   11.4   Tue 09 AM   20.0 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359

  

$$

171 
WGUS83 KEAX 221855
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
155 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017



...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Little Platte River at Smithville affecting Clay and Platte 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis 
  Counties.

  Crooked River near Richmond affecting Ray County.

  Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.

  Little Blue River near Lake City affecting Jackson County.

  Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC101-159-231855-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0203.000000T0000Z-170825T1113Z/
/VLYM7.3.ER.170822T0953Z.170823T1200Z.170824T1113Z.NO/
155 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Friday morning.
* At  1:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.6 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday 
  morning.
* At 31.0 feet...Extensive flooding of rural property and many roads 
  occurs.
* At 25.0 feet...County Highway E near Valley City and Highway 23 
  near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to 
  flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Valley City     22   26.8   Tue 01 PM   31.6 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348

  

$$

MOC053-195-231855-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0185.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.170823T1200Z.170825T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
155 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until further notice.
* At  1:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* At 29.0 feet...Livestock in pastures along the river may be 
  endangered. Extensive damage also occurs to cropland and pasture.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   23.3   Tue 02 PM   30.6 early Friday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC177-231854-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0186.000000T0000Z-170824T1848Z/
/RICM7.2.ER.170823T0528Z.170823T1200Z.170823T1848Z.NO/
155 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Crooked River near Richmond.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  1:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Wednesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 21.2 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...Water begins to overtop a gravel road about 1 mile 
  south of the F and B Highway intersection.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying rural roads along with cropland and 
  woodlands flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Crooked River
  Richmond        20   18.5   Tue 01 PM   21.2 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3935 9407 3938 9402 3932 9389 3928 9392

  

$$

MOC053-231854-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0211.000000T0000Z-170824T1120Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.170822T1638Z.170823T0600Z.170823T1120Z.NO/
155 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lamine River near Otterville.
* until Thursday morning.
* At  1:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.8 feet by 
  early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from 
  Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be 
  overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Lamine River
  Otterville      15   16.6   Tue 01 PM   19.8 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294

  

$$

MOC095-231854-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0197.000000T0000Z-170824T0452Z/
/LKCM7.1.ER.170822T0701Z.170822T1845Z.170823T0452Z.NO/
155 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River near Lake City.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  1:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying areas adjacent to the river begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Little Blue River
  Lake City       18   22.4   Tue 02 PM   21.9 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3905 9438 3921 9430 3921 9424 3911 9427 3905 9432

  

$$

MOC047-165-221925-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0184.000000T0000Z-170823T1928Z/
/SMHM7.2.ER.170822T0216Z.170822T0745Z.170822T1749Z.NO/
155 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little Platte River at Smithville.
* At  1:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 12:49 PM Tuesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 16.1 feet by 
  Wednesday morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Little Platte River
  Smithville      27   26.1   Tue 01 PM   22.7 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3938 9457 3939 9466 3940 9467 3941 9464 3941 9457

  

$$

MOC033-231854-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0202.170822T2247Z-170824T2237Z/
/CAXM7.2.ER.170822T2247Z.170823T1200Z.170823T2237Z.UU/
155 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* from this afternoon to Thursday afternoon.
* At  1:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 19.8 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* At 19.8 feet...South Main Street along with Stonewall Street and 
  Wabash Road on the south side of Carrollton are overtopped by flood
  waters. Flood waters also threaten businesses in low-lying areas 
  near the creek.
* At 19.1 feet...Water reaches the bottom of the South Main Street 
  bridge over Wakenda Creek.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the 
  creek begins.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Wakenda Creek
  Carrollton      16   13.2   Tue 01 PM   19.8 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359

  

$$

887 
WGUS83 KEAX 221928
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
228 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...

  Blue River at Bannister Road affecting Johnson and Jackson Counties.

  Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

KSC091-MOC095-231922-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0195.000000T0000Z-170823T1922Z/
/KCCM7.1.ER.170822T0909Z.170822T1345Z.170822T1922Z.NO/
228 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blue River at Bannister Road.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  1:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 35.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* At 34.0 feet...Woodlands along the river are flooded. Water may 
  also approach flood stage at 71 highway and other downstream 
  locations.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blue River
  Bannister Road  34   35.8   Tue 02 PM   32.2 late this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3885 9463 3896 9458 3894 9453 3884 9459 3880 9463

  

$$

MOC033-231928-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0202.170822T2253Z-170824T2237Z/
/CAXM7.2.ER.170822T2253Z.170823T1200Z.170823T2237Z.UU/
228 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* from this afternoon to Thursday afternoon.
* At  2:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 19.8 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* At 19.8 feet...South Main Street along with Stonewall Street and 
  Wabash Road on the south side of Carrollton are overtopped by flood
  waters. Flood waters also threaten businesses in low-lying areas 
  near the creek.
* At 19.1 feet...Water reaches the bottom of the South Main Street 
  bridge over Wakenda Creek.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the 
  creek begins.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Wakenda Creek
  Carrollton      16   13.5   Tue 02 PM   19.8 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359

  

$$

059 
WGUS83 KEAX 230133
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
833 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017



...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis 
  Counties.

  Fishing River near Mosby affecting Clay and Ray Counties.

  Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.

  Little Blue River near Lake City affecting Jackson County.

  Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC101-159-240133-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0203.000000T0000Z-170825T1342Z/
/VLYM7.3.ER.170822T0953Z.170823T1200Z.170824T1342Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Friday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 28.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.5 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday 
  morning.
* At 31.0 feet...Extensive flooding of rural property and many roads 
  occurs.
* At 25.0 feet...County Highway E near Valley City and Highway 23 
  near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to 
  flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Valley City     22   28.6   Tue 08 PM   31.5 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348

  

$$

MOC053-195-240133-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0185.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.170822T2134Z.170825T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.7 feet by 
  early Friday afternoon then begin falling.
* At 29.0 feet...Livestock in pastures along the river may be 
  endangered. Extensive damage also occurs to cropland and pasture.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   24.6   Tue 08 PM   30.7 early Friday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC047-177-232215-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0183.000000T0000Z-170823T2215Z/
/MBYM7.2.ER.170821T2346Z.170822T0942Z.170822T2215Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fishing River near Mosby.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  4:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...Fields near Mosby flood and a low-water crossing on 
  west road is impassable.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Fishing River
  Mosby           18   19.7   Tue 04 PM   11.7 tonight
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3932 9433 3933 9431 3925 9415 3923 9417

  

$$

MOC053-240133-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0211.000000T0000Z-170824T0912Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.170822T1638Z.170823T0600Z.170823T0912Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lamine River near Otterville.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At  8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.1 feet by 
  early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from 
  Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be 
  overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Lamine River
  Otterville      15   17.9   Tue 08 PM   18.1 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294

  

$$

MOC095-240133-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0197.000000T0000Z-170824T0802Z/
/LKCM7.1.ER.170822T0701Z.170822T1945Z.170823T0802Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Blue River near Lake City.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying areas adjacent to the river begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Little Blue River
  Lake City       18   22.0   Tue 08 PM   19.9 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3905 9438 3921 9430 3921 9424 3911 9427 3905 9432

  

$$

MOC053-240133-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0218.000000T0000Z-170824T0702Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.170823T0018Z.170823T0600Z.170823T0702Z.UU/
833 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.8 feet by 
  early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Wednesday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Petite Saline Creek
  Boonville       16   16.0   Tue 07 PM   16.8 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279

  

$$

MOC033-230203-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0202.000000T0000Z-170824T2237Z/
/CAXM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
833 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 14.1 feet. The 
  river will continue to fall to 4.1 feet by Thursday morning.
* At 19.8 feet...South Main Street along with Stonewall Street and 
  Wabash Road on the south side of Carrollton are overtopped by flood
  waters. Flood waters also threaten businesses in low-lying areas 
  near the creek.
* At 19.1 feet...Water reaches the bottom of the South Main Street 
  bridge over Wakenda Creek.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the 
  creek begins.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Wakenda Creek
  Carrollton      16   14.0   Tue 08 PM   13.2 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359

  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1236 AM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 340 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

Main concerns in the near term remain focused on heavy rain and
possible flash flooding as a very moist atmosphere remains in
place. Main focus for convection this afternoon looks to be a
remnant convergent line/outflow boundary now stretching from
central Missouri west into northeastern Kansas. Storms have
been developing along this feature this afternoon with primary
impacts felt across the northern Metro so far. Convection
allowing models indicate this activity will start sliding east in
a couple of hours with attention then shifting to our north where
a cold front is set to arrive later tonight. All available
guidance shows this boundary lighting up with convection later
this evening with activity slowly settling south during the
overnight and early morning hours. Overall concerns earlier today
for flash flooding seem a bit suppressed due to faster system
movement as seen on today's model runs, however convection
currently impacting the northern Metro and precip from earlier
today has undoubtedly further primed soils for possible flash
flooding later tonight. As a result, no planned changes to the
flash flood watch with this afternoon's fcst package. With PWAT
values anywhere between 2-3 standard deviations above normal,
along with a southwesterly directed low-level jet overnight and
decent upper divergence in the right entrance region of an upper
jetstreak to our north, the atmosphere appears more than set for
heavy rain production. The only caveat that remains to be seen is
whether the faster system movement leads to less residence time
over primed basins, and thus lower precip totals than previously
forecast. Lets hope this is the case but current radar trends and
recent reports across the north side of the Metro offer
decreasing hope to this scenario and as a result, it could very
well be a busy night across the area. If there's one bit of good
news is that ongoing precip and convective overturning from
earlier convection has helped to stabilize the environment to some
degree. While a few stray severe storms cannot be ruled out, the
overall threat this evening and overnight will be focused on hydro
concerns.

Precip to quickly come to an end late Tuesday morning and
afternoon from north to south. Cool high pressure will quickly
build into the region during the afternoon tomorrow with dry
conditions persisting right through mid/late week. Unseasonably
cool air will filter into our region with high temps from
Wednesday through Friday struggling to reach the 80 degree mark.
High pressure across the Great Lakes and a southwestward extending
surface ridge axis look to keep our region dry through late week
before rain chances reappear as we head into the weekend.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1235 AM CDT TUE AUG 22 2017

The main threat for all the terminals will be multiple rounds of
thunderstorms that will be moving through the area overnight. The
southern terminals will experience storms with heavy rain that
will at times drop the airfields down into IFR visibilities and
MVFR ceilings. These storms are fixed along a boundary and are
expected to impact the terminals through 9-10z and could go a
couple hours longer if things don't progress. STJ will experience
general thunderstorms and visibility is not expected to drop
quite as much so they will stay in MVFR visibility while these
storms move through. A cold front will push through the area
around 10z clearing out the storms and moving them south at that
time. MVFR ceilings can be expected during the frontal passage
with VFR conditions moving in very quickly behind the boundary.
Winds will also shift to the N-NW after the passage of the front
and may increase to 10-15kts gusting near 20kts.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flash Flood Watch until 10 AM CDT this morning for KSZ025-057-
     060-102>105.

MO...Flash Flood Watch until 10 AM CDT this morning for MOZ012>016-
     020>024-028>032-037>039-043>045-053-054.

&&

Discussion...32
Aviation...Barham

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
315 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-220815-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
315 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
 this evening, some which could become strong to severe. Strong
 winds, hail and perhaps even an isolated tornado are possible with
 the afternoon round especially along and north of Highway 36, and
 strong winds are possible with the late evening-overnight round
 throughout the outlook area.

 In addition to the severe threat, flooding will be a concern this
 evening and tonight throughout the outlook area. Several inches of
 rain are possible, and may fall very rapidly in stronger storms.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

 No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1257 AM CDT TUE AUG 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1256 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE OLATHE            38.87N 94.78W
08/22/2017                   JOHNSON            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL FEET OF STANDING WATER ALONG CREEK
            AT 143RD AND LOCUST.

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LAFLIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
111 AM CDT TUE AUG 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0111 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E KANSAS CITY         39.10N 94.53W
08/22/2017                   JACKSON            MO   PUBLIC

            WATER RESCUE AT 12TH AND JACKSON.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
123 AM CDT TUE AUG 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0123 AM     FLASH FLOOD      HARRISONVILLE           38.65N 94.35W
08/22/2017                   CASS               MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SEVERAL STREETS UNDER 2-3 FEET OF WATER.
            CARS STRANDED.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
146 AM CDT TUE AUG 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0146 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N BELTON              38.84N 94.53W
08/22/2017                   JACKSON            MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            WATER RESCUE.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
205 AM CDT TUE AUG 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WSW RAYTOWN           38.99N 94.52W
08/22/2017                   JACKSON            MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            WATER RESCUE NEAR SWOPE PARK.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
239 AM CDT TUE AUG 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0237 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE BELTON            38.80N 94.50W
08/22/2017                   CASS               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS CLOSED ROADS ACROSS CASS COUNTY.

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