Flash Flood Warning 33, NWS Kansas City, MO

672 
WGUS73 KEAX 220416
FFSEAX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1116 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

MOC047-220845-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-170822T0845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clay MO-
1116 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT FOR
CLAY COUNTY...

At 1114 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
heavy rain have ended across the warned area. Radar estimates that 
most of Clay county has seen between 3 and 6 inches of rain. Flash 
flooding is occurring or expected to begin shortly.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Kansas City, Liberty, Gladstone, Excelsior Springs, Smithville,
Kearney, Lawson, Pleasant Valley, Glenaire, Holt, Missouri City,
Excelsior Estates, Mosby and Prathersville.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 in Missouri between mile markers 14 and 31.
 Interstate 435 between mile markers 40 and 50.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3946 9460 3946 9455 3945 9455 3945 9421
      3921 9421 3921 9423 3924 9425 3924 9429
      3920 9432 3923 9460

$$

CDB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
649 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 340 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

Main concerns in the near term remain focused on heavy rain and
possible flash flooding as a very moist atmosphere remains in
place. Main focus for convection this afternoon looks to be a
remnant convergent line/outflow boundary now stretching from
central Missouri west into northeastern Kansas. Storms have
been developing along this feature this afternoon with primary
impacts felt across the northern Metro so far. Convection
allowing models indicate this activity will start sliding east in
a couple of hours with attention then shifting to our north where
a cold front is set to arrive later tonight. All available
guidance shows this boundary lighting up with convection later
this evening with activity slowly settling south during the
overnight and early morning hours. Overall concerns earlier today
for flash flooding seem a bit suppressed due to faster system
movement as seen on today's model runs, however convection
currently impacting the northern Metro and precip from earlier
today has undoubtedly further primed soils for possible flash
flooding later tonight. As a result, no planned changes to the
flash flood watch with this afternoon's fcst package. With PWAT
values anywhere between 2-3 standard deviations above normal,
along with a southwesterly directed low-level jet overnight and
decent upper divergence in the right entrance region of an upper
jetstreak to our north, the atmosphere appears more than set for
heavy rain production. The only caveat that remains to be seen is
whether the faster system movement leads to less residence time
over primed basins, and thus lower precip totals than previously
forecast. Lets hope this is the case but current radar trends and
recent reports across the north side of the Metro offer
decreasing hope to this scenario and as a result, it could very
well be a busy night across the area. If there's one bit of good
news is that ongoing precip and convective overturning from
earlier convection has helped to stabilize the environment to some
degree. While a few stray severe storms cannot be ruled out, the
overall threat this evening and overnight will be focused on hydro
concerns.

Precip to quickly come to an end late Tuesday morning and
afternoon from north to south. Cool high pressure will quickly
build into the region during the afternoon tomorrow with dry
conditions persisting right through mid/late week. Unseasonably
cool air will filter into our region with high temps from
Wednesday through Friday struggling to reach the 80 degree mark.
High pressure across the Great Lakes and a southwestward extending
surface ridge axis look to keep our region dry through late week
before rain chances reappear as we head into the weekend.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 649 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

Another round of thunderstorms is developing west of STJ and the
KC area and will likely expand in coverage and track across much
of the region this evening and overnight. Could see off-and-on
storms for more than 6 hours in many locations before clearing out
from north to south around sunrise.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flash Flood Watch from 10 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday
     morning for KSZ025-057-060-102>105.

MO...Flash Flood Watch from 10 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday
     morning for MOZ012>016-020>024-028>032-037>039-043>045-053-
     054.

&&

Discussion...32
Aviation...Hawblitzel

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
315 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-220815-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
315 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
 this evening, some which could become strong to severe. Strong
 winds, hail and perhaps even an isolated tornado are possible with
 the afternoon round especially along and north of Highway 36, and
 strong winds are possible with the late evening-overnight round
 throughout the outlook area.

 In addition to the severe threat, flooding will be a concern this
 evening and tonight throughout the outlook area. Several inches of
 rain are possible, and may fall very rapidly in stronger storms.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

 No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
714 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

MOZ046-220045-
Cooper MO-
714 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN COOPER COUNTY UNTIL
745 PM CDT...

At 714 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Bunceton, or 10 miles southeast of Boonville, moving
east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Prairie Home.

LAT...LON 3886 9253 3871 9261 3876 9278 3893 9272
      3890 9251
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 285DEG 24KT 3883 9266

CDB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
716 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 E PILOT GROVE         38.87N 92.85W
08/21/2017  E70 MPH          COOPER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
742 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 SW NELSON             38.90N 93.13W
08/21/2017                   PETTIS             MO   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN, POWER LINES DOWN AND ROOF
            TORN OFF A BARN.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
802 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

MOZ028-029-220145-
Platte MO-Clay MO-
802 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN CLAY AND SOUTHEASTERN
PLATTE COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

At 801 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ferrelview, or near Weatherby Lake, moving east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Kansas City, Liberty, Gladstone, Smithville, Kearney, Parkville,
Platte City, North Kansas City, Riverside, Weatherby Lake, Claycomo,
Pleasant Valley, Lake Waukomis, Glenaire, Ferrelview, Avondale,
Platte Woods, Oakview, Northmoor and Houston Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 in Missouri between mile markers 5 and 25.
 Interstate 29 between mile markers 0 and 18.
 Interstate 635 between mile markers 10 and 12.
 Interstate 435 between mile markers 23 and 55.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3942 9474 3936 9436 3914 9448 3915 9450
      3915 9452 3912 9457 3914 9459 3915 9459
      3916 9460 3916 9463 3926 9483
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 287DEG 18KT 3930 9474

CDB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
823 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CUMMINGS                39.46N 95.24W
08/21/2017                   ATCHISON           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER FLOWING OVER ROADWAYS.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
852 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

KSZ103>105-MOZ028-220230-
Johnson KS-Wyandotte KS-Leavenworth KS-Platte MO-
852 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WYANDOTTE...LEAVENWORTH...JOHNSON
AND SOUTHEASTERN PLATTE COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

At 851 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lawrence, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Overland Park, Olathe, Shawnee, Lenexa, Leavenworth, Leawood, Prairie
Village, Gardner, Lansing, Merriam, Mission, Bonner Springs, De Soto,
Parkville, Tonganoxie, Basehor, Edwardsville, Fairway, Mission Hills
and Riverside.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 70 in Missouri near mile marker 0.
 Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 410 and 423.
 Interstate 35 in Missouri near mile marker 0.
 Interstate 35 in Kansas between mile markers 210 and 235.
 Interstate 29 between mile markers 3 and 8.
 Interstate 635 between mile markers 0 and 12.
 Interstate 435 between mile markers 0 and 25, and between mile
markers 76 and 83.
 Kansas Turnpike between mile markers 206 and 226.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3936 9518 3924 9460 3880 9461 3880 9505
      3898 9506 3899 9508 3896 9508 3896 9509
      3897 9511 3897 9513 3898 9516 3896 9517
      3897 9519
TIME...MOT...LOC 0151Z 275DEG 34KT 3901 9523

CDB