Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Kansas City, MO

Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

542 
WGUS63 KEAX 291437
FFAEAX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
937 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

...Additional rounds of storms are expected today over already
saturated grounds which will lead to continued flooding and a
threat for flash flooding...


KSZ025-102>105-MOZ001>006-011>017-020>025-028>033-037-292200-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-170630T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Atchison KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-Atchison MO-
Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-
Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-Caldwell-Livingston-
Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-Randolph-Jackson-
Including the cities of Atchison, Wathena, Elwood, Troy, 
Highland, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth, Lansing, 
Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe, Shawnee, 
Lenexa, Tarkio, Rockport, Fairfax, Maryville, Grant City, Albany,
Stanberry, King City, Bethany, Princeton, Mercer, Mound City, 
Oregon, Maitland, Forest City, Craig, Savannah, 
Country Club Villa, Maysville, Stewartsville, Osborn, Union Star,
Clarksdale, Gallatin, Jamesport, Trenton, Milan, Green City, 
Kirksville, St. Joseph Airport, St. Joseph, Cameron, Plattsburg, 
Lathrop, Hamilton, Braymer, Polo, Breckenridge, Chillicothe, 
Brookfield, Marceline, Macon, La Plata, Parkville, Platte City, 
Riverside, Weatherby Lake, Weston, Gladstone, Liberty, 
Excelsior Springs, Richmond, Lawson, Carrollton, Salisbury, 
Brunswick, Keytesville, Moberly, Kansas City, and Independence
937 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kansas and Missouri, including the following 
  areas, in Kansas, Atchison KS, Doniphan, Johnson KS, 
  Leavenworth, and Wyandotte. In Missouri, Adair, Andrew, 
  Atchison MO, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Clay, 
  Clinton, Daviess, De Kalb, Gentry, Grundy, Harrison, Holt, 
  Jackson, Linn MO, Livingston, Macon, Mercer, Nodaway, Platte, 
  Randolph, Ray, Sullivan, and Worth. 

* Through Friday morning

* In Harrison County the Bethany City Reservoir levels are within
  couple feet from over topping the dam. This dam is located on 
  the north side of Bethany and if water levels continue to rise 
  there is a risk of flooding along the low lying areas of the 
  East Fork Big Creek basin. This could have effects on the 
  western portions of Bethany as the water travels down the East 
  Fork Big Creek. 

* Additional rounds of thunderstorms will lead to periods of 
  heavy rainfall, which could result in flash flooding from this 
  morning through Friday morning. Rainfall totals will approach 
  2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. This 
  rainfall will fall on already saturated ground where 
  widespread 4 to 8 inches has already fallen. 

* Excessive rainfall may result in flooding of low-lying or poor 
  drainage areas...creeks and streams...as well as urban areas. 
  In addition to the flash flood hazard, rising river levels are 
  also likely. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

127 
WGUS63 KEAX 292145
FFAEAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
445 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

...Additional rounds of storms are expected tonight over already 
saturated grounds which will lead to continued flooding and a 
threat for flash flooding...

KSZ057-MOZ038-039-043-044-301200-
/O.EXA.KEAX.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-170630T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Miami-Lafayette-Saline-Cass-Johnson MO-
Including the cities of Paola, Osawatomie, Louisburg, Odessa, 
Higginsville, Lexington, Concordia, Marshall, Belton, Raymore, 
Harrisonville, Pleasant Hill, and Warrensburg
445 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Kansas City/Pleasant Hill has
expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of east central Kansas 
  and Missouri, including the following areas, in east central 
  Kansas, Miami. In Missouri, Cass, Johnson MO, Lafayette, and 
  Saline. 

* Through Friday morning

* Additional rounds of thunderstorms will lead to periods of 
  heavy rainfall, which could result in flash flooding from this 
  morning through Friday morning. Rainfall totals will approach 
  2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. This 
  rainfall will fall on already saturated ground where 
  widespread 4 to 8 inches has already fallen. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

KSZ025-102>105-MOZ001>004-006-011>017-020>025-028>033-037-301200-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-170630T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Atchison KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-Atchison MO-
Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Mercer-Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-
Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-
Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-Randolph-Jackson-
Including the cities of Atchison, Wathena, Elwood, Troy, 
Highland, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth, Lansing, 
Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe, Shawnee, 
Lenexa, Tarkio, Rockport, Fairfax, Maryville, Grant City, Albany,
Stanberry, King City, Princeton, Mercer, Mound City, Oregon, 
Maitland, Forest City, Craig, Savannah, Country Club Villa, 
Maysville, Stewartsville, Osborn, Union Star, Clarksdale, 
Gallatin, Jamesport, Trenton, Milan, Green City, Kirksville, 
St. Joseph Airport, St. Joseph, Cameron, Plattsburg, Lathrop, 
Hamilton, Braymer, Polo, Breckenridge, Chillicothe, Brookfield, 
Marceline, Macon, La Plata, Parkville, Platte City, Riverside, 
Weatherby Lake, Weston, Gladstone, Liberty, Excelsior Springs, 
Richmond, Lawson, Carrollton, Salisbury, Brunswick, Keytesville, 
Moberly, Kansas City, and Independence
445 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kansas and Missouri, including the following 
  areas, in Kansas, Atchison KS, Doniphan, Johnson KS, 
  Leavenworth, and Wyandotte. In Missouri, Adair, Andrew, 
  Atchison MO, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Clay, 
  Clinton, Daviess, De Kalb, Gentry, Grundy, Holt, Jackson, Linn 
  MO, Livingston, Macon, Mercer, Nodaway, Platte, Randolph, Ray, 
  Sullivan, and Worth. 

* Through Friday morning

* Additional rounds of thunderstorms will lead to periods of 
  heavy rainfall, which could result in flash flooding from this 
  morning through Friday morning. Rainfall totals will approach 
  2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. This 
  rainfall will fall on already saturated ground where 
  widespread 4 to 8 inches has already fallen. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MOZ005-301200-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-170630T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Harrison-
Including the city of Bethany
445 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of north central Missouri, including the following 
  area, Harrison. 

* Through Friday morning

* In Harrison County the Bethany City Reservoir levels are 
  within couple feet from over topping the dam. This dam is 
  located on the north side of Bethany and if water levels 
  continue to rise there is a risk of flooding along the low 
  lying areas of the East Fork Big Creek basin. This could have 
  effects on the western portions of Bethany as the water 
  travels down the East Fork Big Creek. 

* Additional rounds of thunderstorms will lead to periods of 
  heavy rainfall, which could result in flash flooding from this 
  morning through Friday morning. Rainfall totals will approach 
  2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. This 
  rainfall will fall on already saturated ground where 
  widespread 4 to 8 inches has already fallen. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

856 
WGUS63 KEAX 301157
FFAEAX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
657 AM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017



KSZ025-057-102>105-MOZ001>006-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>039-043-
044-301300-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-170630T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Atchison KS-Miami-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Holt-Andrew-
De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-Caldwell-
Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Cass-Johnson MO-
Including the cities of Atchison, Paola, Osawatomie, Louisburg, 
Wathena, Elwood, Troy, Highland, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth, 
Lansing, Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe, 
Shawnee, Lenexa, Tarkio, Rockport, Fairfax, Maryville, 
Grant City, Albany, Stanberry, King City, Bethany, Princeton, 
Mercer, Mound City, Oregon, Maitland, Forest City, Craig, 
Savannah, Country Club Villa, Maysville, Stewartsville, Osborn, 
Union Star, Clarksdale, Gallatin, Jamesport, Trenton, Milan, 
Green City, Kirksville, St. Joseph Airport, St. Joseph, Cameron, 
Plattsburg, Lathrop, Hamilton, Braymer, Polo, Breckenridge, 
Chillicothe, Brookfield, Marceline, Macon, La Plata, Parkville, 
Platte City, Riverside, Weatherby Lake, Weston, Gladstone, 
Liberty, Excelsior Springs, Richmond, Lawson, Carrollton, 
Salisbury, Brunswick, Keytesville, Moberly, Kansas City, 
Independence, Odessa, Higginsville, Lexington, Concordia, 
Marshall, Belton, Raymore, Harrisonville, Pleasant Hill, 
and Warrensburg
657 AM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Kansas and Missouri has
been cancelled. Heavy rain fell across a good portion of eastern
Kansas and northern Missouri over the past 24 hours. But, now the
rain and lingering storms are settling well to the south of the
watch area. Therefore, the flash flood watch is being allowed to
expire. Though, run off from the excessive rainfall may continue 
to lead to flooding issues across the region today. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1054 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 310 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

Deepening surface trough over the western High Plains has made for a
tight surface pressure gradient over the Central Plains and the Mid-
Lower Missouri River Valley. Gusty southerly winds have responded
through the day to the tightening gradient and have persisted in the
20 to 30 mph range, with gusts approaching 40 mph. This has caused a
nice moistening of the lower atmosphere over northern Missouri and
southern Iowa, and primed the area for robust convective development
later this evening, likely in the next hour or two. Visible
satellite imagery indicates some agitated and deepening cumulus in
the vicinity of a subtle boundary characterized by surface wind
shift of around 20-30 degrees in southern Iowa and northern
Missouri. Hi-res models indicate scattered to numerous thunderstorms
oriented SW to NE through northern Missouri and southern/central
Iowa later this afternoon and this evening. Despite surface winds
being a bit veered (south/southwest) good veering-with-height
through 500 mb where flow is out of the west/northwest around 50 kts
is creating a wind profile conducive to high shear. The
aforementioned warm/moist surface, beneath fairly steep low/mid
level lapse rates is yielding ML CAPE values in the 3000 to 3500
J/kg range. Deep layer shear values approaching 40 kts across the
area will combine with the high instability to bring an environment
conducive to supercellular development. Initial development should
be semi-discrete, but due to storm coverage, interference could
diminish tornado concerns and on a larger scale perhaps the overall
organization of any storm that forms. Expect upgrowth to a MCS,
which will bring more of a wind threat and heavy rain threat to
northern Missouri. In the meantime, with semi-discrete convection
all hazards would be possible with large hail and strong winds being
the primary concerns. One thing to consider with this event would be
the potential for some mesovortex tornadoes after sunset across the
area. Significant Tornado Parameter will max out in the 3 to 5
range, and that's being driven by 0-1 SRH values remaining in the
200 to 300 m2/s2 range after dark. Even with upscale growth there
will still be ample low level shear to produce an embedded tornado
or two within the MCS activity.

By Friday morning the bulk of the activity will be off to the east,
but another round of thunderstorms will be possible later in the
morning hours as a shortwave trough glides through the area. These
morning showers should be subsevere, but an isolated severe
hailstone could form with this activity. That will then set the
stage for another round of severe thunderstorms on Friday, generally
along a boundary which will set up in northeast Kansas and southeast
Nebraska. Once again, given good instability and shear parameters on
Thursday afternoon severe storms should form in the afternoon with
all hazards possible once again, mainly large hail and damaging
winds. These storms should be a little further south than the round
on Wednesday, which will put the KC Metro area in play for some of
the stronger storms. The best chance for widespread severe storms
will be late in the evening and overnight Thursday once the cold
front pushes through the area. Expect this activity to be more of a
wind and hydro threat to the KC Metro and areas of Missouri south of
the Missouri River through early Friday morning.

The early part of the weekend should be fairly calm and cooler, or
at least drier as the area comes under the influence of the surface
ridge that noses in Friday night. Through the rest of the weekend
and into early next week there will be off-and-on chances for
showers and thunderstorms across the area as the mid level flow
remains zonal and active and the lower levels reload with warm and
moist air. By mid week large scale ridging will dominate the
upstream region, which will cause temperatures to be on the increase
through mid week.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1054 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

Storms will continue to trek north of the terminals tonight, but
will be watching for another area of storms to develop across
north central KS early this morning and push eastward toward all
TAF sites. Still uncertain if this will occur and where exactly it
will track so have stayed with VCTS during the 14z-18z timeframe,
but will refine with future amendments or issuances once storms
develop. VFR conditions are expected through the remainder of
today, until storms begin to redevelop late this afternoon or
early this evening. Winds will remain out of the south southwest
and should begin to drop off to around 12 kts shortly, but will
increase slightly during the daylight hours.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...Leighton
Aviation...Laflin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
451 AM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-291000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
451 AM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Thunderstorms will be possible across northeastern Kansas and
 northern missouri this morning however, these storms are not
 expected to be severe.

 If skies can clear out late this afternoon/evening across northern
 Missouri, severe storms capable of producing large hail, damaging
 winds and even a isolated tornado will be possible.

 The main round of storms is expected to affect the area tonight into
 the overnight hours as a line of storms drops south out of Iowa into
 northern Missouri and northeastern Kansas. the main threat with
 this round of storms will be for severe winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

 Severe storms will again be possible on Thursday across the entire
 outlook area. Strong damaging winds,large hail and even a isolated
 tornado will be possible.

 In addition, localized heavy rain will also be possible this
 afternoon through Friday. The heaviest rains are expected to fall
 over northern Missouri where 3 to 5 inches of rain will be
 possible. This may result in localized flash flooding as well as
 river and stream flooding.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1128 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0632 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE WORTH             40.42N 94.40W
06/28/2017                   WORTH              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER POLES SNAPPED. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1208 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE LA PLATA          40.02N 92.48W
06/28/2017                   MACON              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE DOWN.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1229 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1227 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ALBANY                  40.25N 94.33W
06/29/2017                   GENTRY             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS IN ALBANY FLOODED. HWY 136
            CLOSED ON NORTH SIDE OF ALBANY DUE TO HIGH
            WATER.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
113 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N ALBANY              40.29N 94.33W
06/28/2017                   GENTRY             MO   PUBLIC

            HEAVY DAMAGE TO OUTBUILDINGS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
202 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0201 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MARYVILLE               40.35N 94.87W
06/29/2017                   NODAWAY            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS MUCH OF NODAWAY
            COUNTY. NUMEROUS CLOSED ROADS...WATER RESCUE
            NEAR MARYVILLE AND COWS REPORTED FLOATING
            ACROSS HWY 136.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
205 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

MOZ004-013-290745-
De Kalb MO-Gentry MO-
205 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN GENTRY AND NORTHERN
DEKALB COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

At 204 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
King City, or 10 miles south of Stanberry, moving east at 20 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
King City, Union Star, Weatherby, Mcfall, Fairport and Ford City.

LAT...LON 4014 9421 4004 9422 4003 9421 3989 9420
      3986 9421 3998 9460 4011 9460 4017 9452
TIME...MOT...LOC 0704Z 291DEG 20KT 4006 9452

Blair