River Flood Warning 116, NWS Kansas City, MO

878 
WGUS83 KEAX 291955
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
255 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...

  Stranger Creek at Easton affecting Atchison and Leavenworth 
  Counties.

  Stranger Creek near Tonganoxie affecting Leavenworth County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

KSC005-103-301955-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0116.170630T1106Z-170701T2000Z/
/ESTK1.1.ER.170630T1106Z.170630T1800Z.170630T2000Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Stranger Creek at Easton.
* from Friday morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At  2:30 PM Thursday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
  rise to near 17.5 feet by early Friday afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Water enters low-lying fields south of Easton.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Stranger Creek
  Easton          17   10.3   Thu 02 PM   17.5 early Friday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3947 9519 3948 9511 3920 9500 3918 9511

  

$$

KSC103-301955-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0117.170630T1113Z-170701T1822Z/
/TNGK1.1.ER.170630T1113Z.170630T1200Z.170630T1822Z.UU/
255 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Stranger Creek near Tonganoxie.
* from Friday morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At  2:30 PM Thursday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
  rise to near 23.4 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below
  flood stage by early Friday afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Low-lying farmland along the creek floods.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Stranger Creek
  Tonganoxie      23    5.3   Thu 02 PM   23.4 Friday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3918 9511 3920 9500 3901 9496 3900 9508

  

$$

061 
WGUS83 KEAX 300218
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Kansas...

  102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.

  Stranger Creek at Easton affecting Atchison and Leavenworth 
  Counties.

  Stranger Creek near Tonganoxie affecting Leavenworth County.

  Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.

  Grand River near Pattonsburg affecting Daviess and Gentry Counties.

  Grand River near Gallatin affecting Daviess and Livingston Counties.

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Carroll...Chariton...Linn and 
  Livingston Counties.

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton Counties.

  Missouri River at Napoleon affecting Jackson...Lafayette and Ray 
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Waverly affecting Carroll...Lafayette and Saline 
  Counties.

  Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline 
  Counties.

  Missouri River at Boonville affecting Cooper and Howard Counties.

  Platte River At Sharps Station affecting Platte County.

  Platte River near Platte City affecting Platte County.

  Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.

  Missouri River at Glasgow affecting Chariton...Howard and Saline 
  Counties.
  
  Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC003-147-300248-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-170701T1407Z/
/MYVM7.2.ER.170629T0421Z.170629T0715Z.170629T1434Z.UU/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The 102 River at Maryville.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  9:34 AM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 9.0 feet by Saturday 
  morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

102 River
  Maryville       18   11.7   Thu 08 PM   10.9 early Friday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488

  

$$

MOC003-021-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-170701T2313Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.170630T0600Z.170630T2313Z.NR/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The 102 River at Rosendale.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  7:54 PM Thursday the stage was 21.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.3 feet by 
  early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
  of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of 
  Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is 
  overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

102 River
  Rosendale       18   21.5   Thu 08 PM   22.3 early Friday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486

  

$$

MOC061-075-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-170701T1901Z/
/PATM7.3.ER.170629T0915Z.170630T0600Z.170630T1901Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Pattonsburg.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 33.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 33.5 feet by 
  early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Friday afternoon.
* At 32.0 feet...The business section of old town of Pattonsburg 
  begins to flood.
* At 30.0 feet...Nearly all agricultural land and secondary roads in 
  the Grand River floodplain flood.
* At 25.0 feet...Low-lying farmland begins to flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Pattonsburg     25   33.2   Thu 08 PM   33.5 early Friday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4004 9400 3996 9410 4014 9445 4020 9433

  

$$

MOC061-117-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-170702T1013Z/
/GAZM7.1.ER.170629T1332Z.170630T0600Z.170701T1013Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Gallatin.
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 31.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.6 feet by 
  early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday morning.
* At 26.0 feet...Low-lying woodlands and farmland along the river 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Gallatin        26   31.5   Thu 09 PM   31.6 early Friday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3996 9410 4004 9399 3983 9363 3974 9367

  

$$

MOC115-117-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-170703T0154Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.170629T1517Z.170630T0600Z.170702T0154Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Chillicothe.
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 32.1 feet by 
  early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday evening.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 24.0 feet...Low-lying cropland floods.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Chillicothe     24   30.3   Thu 09 PM   32.1 early Friday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367

  

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-170704T0838Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.170629T1734Z.170701T0000Z.170703T0838Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Sumner.
* until late Monday night.
* At  8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 33.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 35.3 feet by 
  Friday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to 
  flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Sumner          26   33.3   Thu 09 PM   35.3 Friday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330

  

$$

MOC033-041-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-170704T2306Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170702T0600Z.170703T2306Z.UU/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Brunswick.
* until Tuesday evening.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 23.5 
  feet early Sunday morning.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying areas along the east bank of the Grand 
  River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge begin to flood.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along the west 
  bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge about 1 
  mile west of Brunswick.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Brunswick       19                      23.5 early Sunday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313 3945 9327

  

$$

MOC095-107-177-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0119.170630T2308Z-170702T0600Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.170630T2308Z.170701T0000Z.170701T0600Z.UU/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Napoleon.
* from Friday evening to late Saturday night.
* At  9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 17.1 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall below
  flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying areas unprotected by levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Napoleon        17   11.8   Thu 09 PM   17.1 Friday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3916 9415 3922 9417 3925 9386 3918 9384 3911 9405

  

$$

MOC033-107-195-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0120.170630T2217Z-170703T0712Z/
/WVYM7.1.ER.170630T2217Z.170701T1200Z.170702T0712Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Waverly.
* from Friday afternoon to late Sunday night.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 21.3 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Sunday morning.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Waverly         20   14.6   Thu 08 PM   21.3 Saturday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3925 9386 3933 9331 3928 9327 3922 9330 3918 9384

  

$$

MOC033-041-195-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0121.170701T0055Z-170703T1108Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.170701T0055Z.170701T1200Z.170702T1108Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River At Miami.
* from Friday evening to Monday morning.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 19.7 
  feet Saturday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Miami           18                      19.7 Saturday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327

  

$$

MOC041-089-195-010217-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0122.170701T0200Z-170704T0742Z/
/GLZM7.2.ER.170701T0200Z.170702T0000Z.170703T0742Z.UU/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Glasgow.
* from Friday evening to late Monday night.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday before midnight and 
  continue to rise to near 27.5 feet by Saturday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Many agricultural levees are overtopped. Widespread 
  flooding of rural areas occurs. Secondary roads and homes behind 
  levees may be inundated.
* At 25.0 feet...Farmland along the river floods.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Glasgow         25   18.2   Thu 08 PM   27.5 Saturday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3935 9314 3939 9305 3924 9279 3906 9287 3907 9296

  

$$

MOC053-089-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0123.170701T1134Z-170704T1300Z/
/BOZM7.1.ER.170701T1134Z.170702T0600Z.170703T1300Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Boonville.
* from Saturday morning to Tuesday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 23.1 feet by early Sunday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 21.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Boonville       21   12.7   Thu 08 PM   23.1 early Sunday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3908 9297 3902 9255 3894 9259 3896 9286 3903 9298

  

$$

MOC021-010217-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-170703T2136Z/
/AGYM7.2.ER.170629T1716Z.170701T1200Z.170702T2136Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Platte River near Agency.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.8 feet by 
  Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  afternoon.
* At 25.0 feet...Flooding begins at the east border of Agency.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Agency          20   24.7   Thu 08 PM   27.8 Saturday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472

  

$$

MOC165-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0109.170701T0000Z-170705T0713Z/
/SSTM7.2.ER.170701T0000Z.170703T1200Z.170704T0713Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Platte River At Sharps Station.
* from Friday evening to late Tuesday night.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 29.9 feet by Monday morning. The river will fall below
  flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* At 29.0 feet...Backwater from the Platte River floods Highway KK 
  along the Little Platte River at the location 0.2 miles east of 
  Highway B.
* At 26.0 feet...Low-lying rural land along the river begins to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Sharps Station  26   12.2   Thu 08 PM   29.9 Monday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3941 9474 3941 9464 3935 9476 3939 9479

  

$$

MOC165-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0110.170701T0800Z-170705T1320Z/
/PLCM7.1.ER.170701T0800Z.170703T1800Z.170704T1320Z.UU/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Platte River near Platte City.
* from late Friday night to Wednesday morning.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 23.7 
  feet early Monday afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding occurs at Humphreys Access Area which is 
  located 5 miles downstream from Platte City. 300 acres of pasture 
  are also flooded.
* At 20.0 feet...Cropland near State Highway 92 near Platte City 
  begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Platte City     20                      23.7 early Monday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9479 3935 9476 3927 9481 3929 9484 3933 9483

  

$$

KSC005-103-300248-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-170701T2000Z/
/ESTK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Stranger Creek at Easton.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 12.9 feet. The 
  river will continue to fall to 8.4 feet by Saturday morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Stranger Creek
  Easton          17    5.0   Thu 08 PM   12.8 early Friday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3947 9519 3948 9511 3920 9500 3918 9511

  

$$

KSC103-300248-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-170701T1822Z/
/TNGK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Stranger Creek near Tonganoxie.
* At  9:01 PM Thursday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  20.4 feet early Friday afternoon.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Stranger Creek
  Tonganoxie      23    8.7   Thu 09 PM   20.4 early Friday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3918 9511 3920 9500 3901 9496 3900 9508

  

$$

MOC005-087-300248-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-170701T1200Z/
/FFXM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* At  8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 11.0 feet. The 
  river will continue to fall to 9.2 feet by Saturday morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Tarkio River
  Fairfax         17    9.0   Thu 08 PM   10.5 early Friday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546

  

$$

MOC033-010217-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0124.170630T0723Z-170702T0220Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.170630T0723Z.170630T1800Z.170701T0220Z.UU/
918 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* from late tonight to Saturday evening.
* At  9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 17.2 feet by early Friday afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the 
  creek begins.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Wakenda Creek
  Carrollton      16   14.7   Thu 09 PM   17.2 early Friday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359

  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
646 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 415 CDT THU JUN 29 2017

Last night's activity is still making its way through the
northeastern part of the forecast area. These training storms
dropped an excessive amount of water across northern MO. Areas from
Burlington Junction, MO to Bethany, MO have received anywhere from 9-
11 inches of rain with surrounding areas in the 6-9 inch range. As a
result, flooding is an issue, so an Areal Flood warning is in
effect across this area until about 3:30 PM this afternoon. The
activity in the northeastern part of the forecast area should
continue to weaken and move southeast, exiting the area within the
next few hours. To our west, another cluster of storms has taken
shape. This is in response to another upper level shortwave moving
through in conjunction with the low level jet. This activity has
already begin moving into northeastern KS and northwestern MO and
is expected to move east through about dawn and then dissipate.
Another MCS is projected to move through northern KS and northern
MO later this morning as another shortwave, currently over
western KS, moves through. This will be in conjunction with a
developing surface low in southeastern KS and its associated warm
front. The storm system should move along the warm front, making
it near the KS/MO border around 9 AM. It should continue moving
east, north of the MO River, through late morning. Don't
anticipate much in the way of severe weather, but can't rule out
the potential for isolated hail and damaging winds. The bigger
concern will be the additional rainfall in an area that is already
experiencing flash and river flooding.

This afternoon, it looks like we may have similar set up to
yesterday afternoon/evening. It will, however, be contingent on
this morning's systems. A boundary with warm front characteristics
seems to be the main focus for severe storm development this
afternoon and is likely to set up somewhere across northeastern KS
and northern MO, likely a little further south than yesterday's
activity. At the same time another shortwave is projected to move
overhead. All of the ingredients for severe weather will be
available again today. SB CAPE will range from 2000-4000 J/kg, 0-6
km shear around 40 kts, with dewpoints in the low 70s again.
General model consensus depicts storms starting to develop this
afternoon (roughly 1-3 pm time frame) in northwest MO/northeast KS
and then moving southeast, potentially reaching the northern side
of the KC metro in the 4-6 PM time frame. All hazards, hail,
damaging winds, and a few tornadoes are possible, especially in
the SPC Enhanced Risk area. Further into the evening, as storms
move southeast, they will eventually form a line as the main upper
trough and surface cold front moves in, and low level jet ramps
up again. Widespread flash flooding and river flooding may be the
biggest concern, not only in northern MO, but also the KC Metro
and areas closer to the MO River because these storms will likely
not be moving very fast and PWAT values will be approaching 2
inches. Therefore, with what has already fallen and what is
projected to fall, a Flash Flood Watch has been issued until 7 AM
Friday morning, for most of our counties north of the MO River and
the KC Metro.

The storms and cold front should exit the area by Friday night and
a surface high will work its way south over the area. This will
leave Saturday cooler and dry. Friday's cold front, which will
stall near the MO/AR border, will retreat north as a warm front
Sunday, returning on and off storm chances starting Sunday evening
through Wednesday.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 645 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

Main concern for this forecast period is the on and off storm
chances across the forecast area. The storms this morning should
stick around through late morning/early afternoon, but northwest
MO may not get too much of a break in between the morning
convection and the afternoon convection. Otherwise, most skies
should clear some, allowing for daytime heating and priming the
atmosphere for more development this afternoon. Scattered storms
will likely develop along a boundary in northeast KS/northwest MO
and start off as discrete, before moving southeast in more of a
line. The line of storms looks to cover the entire length of the
forecast area and will take its time moving through. The line
won't completely exit the forecast area until Friday morning. It
is important to note though that IF this morning's activity takes
longer than expected to clear out, the afternoon convection
development could be delayed. Heavy rain is expected with these
storms, so visibilities may drop some when storms move through.
Also, it won't be quite as windy (synoptically) today as it was
yesterday, but most areas will exceed the 12 kt wind threshold
during the afternoon. Finally, a cold front will be moving through
near the end of the period, so winds will start to veer to the
northwest, and ceilings will likely drop to at least MVFR behind
the front for a few hours.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for KSZ025-102>105.

MO...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for MOZ001>006-011>017-
     020>025-028>033-037.

&&

Discussion...Grana
Aviation...Grana

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
426 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-300930-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
426 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Thunderstorms will be possible this morning however, these storms
 are not expected to be severe.

 Several rounds of storms will be possible today. Conditions this
 afternoon and evening will be favorable for severe storms with large
 hail...damaging winds and a few tornadoes possible.

 With several rounds of storms possible today falling across already
 saturated soil there is also a flash flood threat. An additional 2
 to 4 inches of rain with locally higher amounts are possible. There
 will also be flooding along area rivers, creeks and streams.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

 Thunderstorms will continue into Friday morning however the severe
 threat will have diminished by then. However, there may be area and
 river flooding ongoing.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
743 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

MOZ037-043-291330-
Cass MO-Jackson MO-
743 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CASS AND JACKSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 830 AM CDT...

At 742 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Glenaire to near Cleveland. Movement was
east at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Kansas City, Independence, Lee's Summit, Blue Springs, Raytown,
Grandview, Belton, Raymore, Grain Valley, Pleasant Hill, Greenwood,
Peculiar, Sugar Creek, Buckner, Lake Lotawana, Courtney, Lake
Winnebago, Lone Jack, Lake Tapawingo and Sibley.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 70 in Missouri between mile markers 6 and 25.
 Interstate 470 between mile markers 0 and 16.
 Interstate 435 between mile markers 56 and 72.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3872 9461 3915 9451 3912 9446 3917 9440
      3920 9440 3916 9437 3919 9433 3922 9431
      3922 9423 3921 9421 3921 9417 3918 9419
      3917 9414 3870 9423
TIME...MOT...LOC 1242Z 281DEG 14KT 3919 9445 3875 9459

Laflin

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
823 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

MOZ043-053-291400-
Bates MO-Cass MO-
823 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN CASS AND NORTHERN BATES
COUNTIES UNTIL 900 AM CDT...

At 823 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Drexel, or 11 miles northwest of Adrian, moving east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Harrisonville, Adrian, Garden City, Archie, Drexel, Gunn City and
Merwin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3837 9461 3856 9461 3867 9414 3837 9417
TIME...MOT...LOC 1323Z 248DEG 28KT 3848 9455

Laflin

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
824 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE PATTONSBURG        40.08N 94.11W
06/29/2017  M5.20 INCH       DAVIESS            MO   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL UP TO THIS POINT.

&&

STG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
840 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0803 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SE LANCASTER          40.51N 92.50W
06/29/2017  E0.51 INCH       SCHUYLER           MO   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR.

&&

STG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
849 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DENTON                  39.74N 95.27W
06/29/2017  M0.54 INCH       DONIPHAN           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR.

&&

STG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
944 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0804 PM     TSTM WND GST     UNIONVILLE              40.48N 93.00W
06/28/2017  M79 MPH          PUTNAM             MO   MESONET

            DELAYED REPORT.

&&

LAFLIN