Severe Thunderstorm Warning 88, NWS Dodge City, KS

417 
WWUS53 KDDC 162323
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
623 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

KSC025-162332-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170517T0000Z/
Clark KS-
623 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL CLARK COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3747 9973 3753 9997 3780 9980 3776 9962
      3762 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 2322Z 216DEG 21KT 3760 9980 

$$

KSC057-097-170000-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170517T0000Z/
Ford KS-Kiowa KS-
623 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FORD AND WEST CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTIES...

At 622 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 3 miles southwest of
Ford, or 16 miles southeast of Dodge City, moving northeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Bucklin, Ford and Kingsdown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A tornado watch remains in effect for the warned area. Tornadoes can
develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. Although a tornado is not
immediately likely, if one is spotted act quickly and move to a place
of safety inside a sturdy structure, such as a basement or small
interior room.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3747 9973 3753 9997 3780 9980 3776 9962
      3762 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 2322Z 216DEG 21KT 3760 9980 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

SUGDEN

567 
WWUS53 KDDC 162327
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
627 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

KSC057-097-170000-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170517T0000Z/
Ford KS-Kiowa KS-
627 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FORD AND WEST CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTIES...

At 627 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near Ford, or
16 miles southeast of Dodge City, moving northeast at 25 mph.

This is a very dangerous storm.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and two inch hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect 
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. 
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Bucklin, Ford and Kingsdown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A tornado watch remains in effect for the warned area. Tornadoes can
develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. Although a tornado is not
immediately likely, if one is spotted act quickly and move to a place
of safety inside a sturdy structure, such as a basement or small
interior room.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3747 9973 3757 9989 3780 9980 3776 9962
      3762 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 216DEG 21KT 3762 9978 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...80MPH
 
$$

SUGDEN

790 
WWUS53 KDDC 162341
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
641 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

KSC057-097-162351-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170517T0000Z/
Ford KS-Kiowa KS-
641 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN FORD AND WEST
CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3747 9973 3757 9989 3780 9980 3776 9962
      3762 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 216DEG 21KT 3769 9972 

$$

SUGDEN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
600 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 333 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

Main short term concern is severe weather tonight. Supercell thunderstorms
have developed this afternoon across the OK/TX panhandles. Some activity
has also developed over southwest Kansas to the southwest of Dodge
City. The 19Z KDDC RAOB shows plenty of CAPE and shear for supercells.
The sounding is definitely favorable for supercells with giant hail
(2-4"). The low levels of the sounding right now are not favorable
for tornadoes. This could change as low level SRH increases in association
with a developing LLJ later tonight. In addition, inter-storm dynamics
could change low level shear if current activity kicks out an OFB for
later development to utilize. It is not exactly clear how this will
evolve. The ARW shows a quick evolution to a linear line by early evening.
The HRRRX shows more discrete supercells with a much higher threat
of hail and tornadoes. Mesoanalysis shows strengthening sig torn near
the Oklahoma border over the next few hours. A tornado was just reported
in the OK panhandle. Putting this all together, the highest tornado
threat is expected to be south of Highway 50 and near the Oklahoma
border. Meade, Clark, and Comanche counties will be the most under
the gun for the largest hail and the strongest tornado chances. The
atmosphere will have to change significant through in the next few
hours as the 19Z RAOB is not particularly supportive of large tornadoes.
....However....Low level winds are backing and dewpoints are increasing
across the CWFA, so that change might have just started to occur. Regardless
of this, be sure to pay attention to the weather and take action if
needed!

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 333 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

SW Kansas will be in between systems Wednesday. Another synoptic wave
moving through may bring another round of severe convection Thursday.
Details are unclear at this point in time. This system will exit eventually
with a drier regime by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

Scattered thunderstorms will continue through about 03z.
Otherwise, VFR is expected to prevail at all airports through
Wednesday. Strong shortwave over NE New Mexico at 06z Wed will
strengthen to a 550 dm closed low near Scott City by 12z Wed. Dry
slot will end convective coverage from west to east overnight as
this occurs. After 15z Wed, behind this departing system, expect
strong west winds at all airports, averaging 25-35 kts with gusts
as high as 40 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  55  80  51  78 /  40  10   0  30
GCK  53  79  49  72 /  10  10   0  30
EHA  51  79  50  73 /  10   0   0  30
LBL  54  81  53  79 /  20   0   0  20
HYS  58  76  50  71 /  70  20   0  20
P28  60  82  54  84 /  50  10   0  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Turner

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
813 AM CDT Tue May 16 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-171315-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
813 AM CDT Tue May 16 2017 /713 AM MDT Tue May 16 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Large hail, strong winds, heavy rain, and tornadoes will be possible
this afternoon and evening. Pay attention to the weather and take action
if needed!

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Elevated risk
* Hail: Significant risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Significant risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Severe thunderstorms could be possible on Thursday.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Significant risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
535 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     HAIL             4 NE HAYNE              37.14N 100.76W
05/16/2017  E1.75 INCH       SEWARD             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
539 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0537 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     6 SSW MINNEOLA          37.36N 100.04W
05/16/2017                   CLARK              KS   STORM CHASER

            BRIEF CONE FUNNEL.

&&

GT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
550 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             6 S MINNEOLA            37.35N 100.01W
05/16/2017  E2.50 INCH       CLARK              KS   STORM CHASER

&&

GT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
551 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 PM     HAIL             8 S MINNEOLA            37.33N 100.01W
05/16/2017  E2.75 INCH       CLARK              KS   STORM CHASER

&&

GT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
556 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S MINNEOLA            37.43N 100.01W
05/16/2017                   CLARK              KS   STORM CHASER

            REPORT OF SEVERAL POWER POLES SNAPPED.

&&

GT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
557 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     HAIL             MINNEOLA                37.44N 100.02W
05/16/2017  E2.75 INCH       CLARK              KS   PUBLIC

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

GT