Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 78, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 16, 2017Lane County, Ness County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 16, 2017, 4:40 PM CDT for Lane County, Ness County, Kansas. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 16, 2017, 4:40 PM CDT (21:40 UTC)
Expired: May 16, 2017, 5:30 PM CDT
In force: 50 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 2.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Lane County, KS, Ness County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 16, 2:16 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 93 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -432 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2110 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 281 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 261 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

154 
WUUS53 KDDC 162140 RRA
SVRDDC
KSC101-135-162230-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0078.170516T2140Z-170516T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
440 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Central Ness County in west central Kansas...
  Northeastern Lane County in west central Kansas...

* Until 530 PM CDT

* At 440 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles southeast
  of Pendennis, or 13 miles northeast of Dighton, moving north at 35
  mph.

  HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Ness City, Dighton, Ransom, Utica, Alamota, Arnold, Brownell,
  Shields, Beeler, Pendennis and The Laird Elevator.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 10011 3868 9973 3837 9975 3842 10054
      3870 10060
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 199DEG 32KT 3858 10026 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RBURG

2 follow-up statements

236 
WWUS53 KDDC 162202
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
502 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

KSC101-135-162230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0078.000000T0000Z-170516T2230Z/
Ness KS-Lane KS-
502 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL NESS AND NORTHEASTERN LANE COUNTIES...

At 502 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles south of
Brownell, or 10 miles northeast of Ness City, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Ness City, Dighton, Ransom, Utica, Alamota, Arnold, Brownell,
Shields, Beeler, Pendennis and The Laird Elevator.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 10011 3868 9973 3837 9975 3842 10054
      3870 10060
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 193DEG 32KT 3856 9976 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RBURG

311 
WWUS53 KDDC 162222
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
522 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

KSC101-135-162231-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0078.000000T0000Z-170516T2230Z/
Ness KS-Lane KS-
522 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL NESS AND NORTHEASTERN
LANE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 530 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
and gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 10011 3868 9973 3837 9975 3842 10054
      3870 10060
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 199DEG 32KT 3872 9969 

$$

RBURG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 16, 3:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 16, 3:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
333 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

...updated discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 333 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

Main short term concern is severe weather tonight. Supercell thunderstorms
have developed this afternoon across the OK/TX panhandles. Some activity
has also developed over southwest Kansas to the southwest of Dodge
City. The 19Z KDDC RAOB shows plenty of CAPE and shear for supercells.
The sounding is definitely favorable for supercells with giant hail
(2-4"). The low levels of the sounding right now are not favorable
for tornadoes. This could change as low level SRH increases in association
with a developing LLJ later tonight. In addition, inter-storm dynamics
could change low level shear if current activity kicks out an OFB for
later development to utilize. It is not exactly clear how this will
evolve. The ARW shows a quick evolution to a linear line by early evening.
The HRRRX shows more discrete supercells with a much higher threat
of hail and tornadoes. Mesoanalysis shows strengthening sig torn near
the Oklahoma border over the next few hours. A tornado was just reported
in the OK panhandle. Putting this all together, the highest tornado
threat is expected to be south of Highway 50 and near the Oklahoma
border. Meade, Clark, and Comanche counties will be the most under
the gun for the largest hail and the strongest tornado chances. The
atmosphere will have to change significant through in the next few
hours as the 19Z RAOB is not particularly supportive of large tornadoes.
....However....Low level winds are backing and dewpoints are increasing
across the CWFA, so that change might have just started to occur. Regardless
of this, be sure to pay attention to the weather and take action if
needed!

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 333 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

SW Kansas will be in between systems Wednesday. Another synoptic wave
moving through may bring another round of severe convection Thursday.
Details are unclear at this point in time. This system will exit eventually
with a drier regime by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

VFR is expected through TAF pd. Svr tsra will be possible this
afternoon and evening. Highest probs at KLBL and KDDC. Activity will
exit the region late tonight. SW winds 10-25 kt bcmg southerly overnight.
LLWS psbl at KHYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  55  80  51  78 /  60  10   0  30
GCK  53  79  49  72 /  10  10   0  30
EHA  53  79  50  73 /  10   0   0  30
LBL  55  81  53  79 /  20   0   0  20
HYS  58  76  50  71 /  70  20   0  20
P28  60  82  54  84 /  90  10   0  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 8:13 AM CDT, 8 hours 27 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
813 AM CDT Tue May 16 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-171315-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
813 AM CDT Tue May 16 2017 /713 AM MDT Tue May 16 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Large hail, strong winds, heavy rain, and tornadoes will be possible
this afternoon and evening. Pay attention to the weather and take action
if needed!

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Elevated risk
* Hail: Significant risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Significant risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Severe thunderstorms could be possible on Thursday.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Significant risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 16, 4:18 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
418 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0417 PM     HAIL             8 W PLYMELL             37.83N 101.01W
05/16/2017  E2.75 INCH       FINNEY             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLFBALL TO APPROACHING BASEBALL SIZED HAIL.

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 16, 4:19 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
419 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             7 SSW UTICA             38.55N 100.20W
05/16/2017  E1.50 INCH       NESS               KS   PUBLIC

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 16, 4:25 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
425 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0422 PM     HAIL             1 SE CATHERINE          38.92N 99.20W
05/16/2017  E1.00 INCH       ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 16, 4:29 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
429 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     HAIL             HOLCOMB                 37.99N 100.99W
05/16/2017  E1.75 INCH       FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 16, 4:33 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
433 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0332 PM     HAIL             3 ENE SATANTA           37.45N 100.95W
05/16/2017  E2.50 INCH       HASKELL            KS   PUBLIC

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 16, 4:34 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
434 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0434 PM     HAIL             GARDEN CITY             37.98N 100.86W
05/16/2017  E2.00 INCH       FINNEY             KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

GT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 15, 7:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Hamilton, Kearny, Stanton	53 min
May 15, 7:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Morton, Stevens	49 min
May 15, 7:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant, Morton, Stanton, Stevens	53 min
May 15, 8:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Scott	44 min
May 15, 8:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Haskell, Seward	48 min
May 15, 8:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Kearny	54 min
May 15, 8:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Meade	61 min
May 15, 8:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant, Morton, Stevens	58 min
May 15, 8:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Finney, Gray	61 min
May 15, 9:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ford	50 min
May 15, 9:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Haskell, Seward, Stevens	53 min
May 15, 9:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark, Finney, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Hodgeman and 1 more	54 min
May 15, 10:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade, Seward	47 min
May 15, 10:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade, Seward	46 min
May 15, 10:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman and 2 more	53 min
May 15, 11:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Haskell	42 min
May 15, 11:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford, Gray, Meade	35 min
May 15, 11:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ford	67 min
May 16, 2:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade, Seward, Stevens	63 min
May 16, 2:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray, Meade	56 min
May 16, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray	53 min
May 16, 3:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Haskell, Seward	49 min
May 16, 3:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade	24 min
May 16, 3:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman	34 min
May 16, 3:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade	13 min
May 16, 3:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness	51 min
May 16, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade	50 min
May 16, 4:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney	54 min
May 16, 4:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford, Gray, Meade	50 min
May 16, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	57 min
May 16, 4:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa	25 min
May 16, 4:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	51 min
May 16, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade	37 min
May 16, 4:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	50 min
May 16, 4:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa	36 min
May 16, 4:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Lane, Scott	52 min
May 16, 4:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	46 min
May 16, 5:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush	52 min
May 16, 5:09 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade	36 min
May 16, 5:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade, Seward	49 min
May 16, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford	22 min
May 16, 5:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	40 min
May 16, 5:41 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford, Meade	6 hr
May 16, 5:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford, Meade	34 min
May 16, 5:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward	30 min
May 16, 5:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Rush	33 min
May 16, 6:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford, Kiowa	35 min
May 16, 6:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell	29 min
May 16, 6:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Kiowa	46 min
May 16, 6:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Lane, Scott	21 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.