Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 14, NWS Topeka, KS
NWS Topeka, KS issued this river flood warning at Apr 27, 2016, 3:52 PM CDT for Douglas County, Jefferson County, Kansas. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 27, 2016, 3:52 PM CDT (20:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 28, 2016, 3:24 PM CDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Topeka, KS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Douglas County, KS, Jefferson County, KS
The radar
The Topeka radar (KTWX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Kansas River at Lecompton (LCPK1). The gauge peaked at 17.45 ft at Apr 27, 2016, 8:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 13 ft
- Minor stage
- 17 ft
- Moderate stage
- 23.8 ft
- Major stage
- 27 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06891000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
445 WGUS43 KTOP 272052 FLWTOP BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 352 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 ...The National Weather Service in Topeka, KS has issued a flood warning for the following streams in Kansas... Kansas River at Lecompton affecting Douglas and Jefferson Counties Kansas River at Lawrence affecting Douglas and Jefferson Counties ...Observed flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the following streams in Kansas... ...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the following streams in Kansas... Pottawatomie Creek near Scipio affecting Anderson and Franklin Counties PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be washed out under the water. Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio and local media. && KSC003-059-280452- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160428T1503Z/ /SIPK1.2.ER.160427T1512Z.160428T0000Z.160428T0303Z.NO/ 352 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 ...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... ...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... The Flood Warning continues for The Pottawatomie Creek near Scipio. * At 3:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.3 feet. * Flood stage is 23.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage tonight. * Impact...At 25.6 feet...Farmers fields to the south of the creek near Ohio Road floods. && LAT...LON 3835 9527 3844 9512 3841 9507 3831 9525 $$ KSC045-087-280452- /O.NEW.KTOP.FL.W.0014.160427T2052Z-160428T2024Z/ /LCPK1.1.ER.160427T2004Z.160428T0600Z.160428T0824Z.NO/ 352 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The National Weather Service in Topeka, KS has issued a * Flood warning for The Kansas River at Lecompton. * Until Thursday afternoon. * At 3:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.1 feet. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.2 feet by early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning. * Impact...At 16.5 feet...Low lying farm fields begin to flood along the Kansas River. && LAT...LON 3909 9563 3907 9534 3902 9534 3905 9563 $$ KSC045-087-280452- /O.NEW.KTOP.FL.W.0015.160427T2111Z-160429T1130Z/ /LWRK1.1.ER.160427T2111Z.160428T1200Z.160428T2330Z.NO/ 352 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The National Weather Service in Topeka, KS has issued a * Flood warning for The Kansas River at Lawrence. * until Friday morning. * At 2:50 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.8 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 19.5 feet by Thursday morning.The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday evening. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...Lowlands outside of the levee on the north side of the river begin to flood. Burcham Park is closed due to flooding on the south side of the river. && LAT...LON 3907 9534 3900 9506 3894 9506 3897 9527 3902 9534 $$
3 follow-up statements
389 WGUS83 KTOP 280140 FLSTOP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following streams in Kansas... Salt Creek near Lyndon affecting Osage County Soldier Creek near Delia affecting Jackson and Shawnee Counties ...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas... Black Vermillion River at Frankfort affecting Marshall County Cottonwood River near Emporia affecting Lyon County Kansas River at Lecompton affecting Douglas and Jefferson Counties Kansas River at Lawrence affecting Douglas and Jefferson Counties Marais Des Cygnes River above Reading affecting Lyon and Osage Counties Neosho River near Emporia 3nw affecting Lyon County Neosho River Near Neosho Rapids affecting Lyon County Pottawatomie Creek near Scipio affecting Anderson and Franklin Counties ...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas.. Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County Marais Des Cygnes River near Quenemo affecting Franklin and Osage Counties PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be washed out under the water. Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio and local media. && KSC059-139-280940- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160429T0427Z/ /QNMK1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.160427T2257Z.160428T1027Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Marais Des Cygnes River near Quenemo. * until Thursday evening. * At 5:57 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.3 feet. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Thursday morning. * Impact...At 26.1 feet...Farm field along the river just north and east of South Stubbs Road bridge floods. South Stubbs Road remains flooded about 2 miles south of Quenemo. && LAT...LON 3855 9556 3860 9553 3859 9548 3853 9552 $$ KSC111-139-280939- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160428T1346Z/ /RDNK1.2.ER.160427T0421Z.160427T1700Z.160428T0146Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Marais Des Cygnes River above Reading. * until Thursday morning. * At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet. * Flood stage is 19.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this evening. * Impact...At 19.0 feet...Low lying areas along the river flood. && LAT...LON 3856 9602 3860 9596 3853 9586 3849 9592 $$ KSC111-280939- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-160429T0323Z/ /EPRK1.2.ER.160427T2004Z.160428T0600Z.160428T1523Z.UU/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Neosho River near Emporia 3nw. * until Thursday evening. * At 7:14 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.3 feet. * Flood stage is 19.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.7 feet by early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Thursday morning. * Impact...At 19.5 feet...Prairie Street, north of the bridge, floods. && LAT...LON 3844 9625 3847 9621 3842 9605 3838 9606 $$ KSC111-280939- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160429T1531Z/ /NEOK1.2.ER.160427T1412Z.160428T0600Z.160428T2131Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Neosho River Near Neosho Rapids. * until Friday morning. * At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.4 feet. * Flood stage is 22.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.3 feet by early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday afternoon. * Impact...At 23.0 feet...Water overtops Road 145 on the west side of the bridge over the Neosho River. && LAT...LON 3838 9606 3842 9605 3830 9586 3826 9588 $$ KSC003-059-280939- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160428T2304Z/ /SIPK1.2.ER.160427T1512Z.160428T0046Z.160428T1104Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Pottawatomie Creek near Scipio . * until Thursday evening. * At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.6 feet. * Flood stage is 23.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage early Thursday morning. * Impact...At 25.6 feet...Farmers fields to the south of the creek near Ohio Road floods. && LAT...LON 3835 9527 3844 9512 3841 9507 3831 9525 $$ KSC117-280939- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160501T0036Z/ /BLRK1.1.ER.160427T0737Z.160427T1845Z.160430T1236Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids. * until Saturday evening. * At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 27.9 feet. * Flood stage is 26.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will slowly fall to below flood stage Saturday morning. * Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake. && LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669 $$ KSC117-280939- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160428T1824Z/ /FKFK1.1.ER.160426T2241Z.160427T2115Z.160428T0624Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Black Vermillion River at Frankfort. * until Thursday afternoon. * At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.4 feet. * Flood stage is 19.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Thursday morning. * Impacts...At 19.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland areas occurs along the river from Vermillion to the mouth of the Black Vermillion River. && LAT...LON 3972 9643 3967 9639 3957 9656 3963 9657 $$ KSC111-280939- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160429T1308Z/ /EMPK1.1.ER.160427T1551Z.160428T0600Z.160428T1908Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Cottonwood River near Emporia. * until Friday morning. * At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.7 feet. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.0 feet by early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday early afternoon. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...South bank of the Cottonwood River 1 mile south of Emporia floods. && LAT...LON 3843 9635 3838 9606 3836 9606 3835 9613 3838 9635 $$ KSC045-087-280939- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-160429T0027Z/ /LCPK1.1.ER.160427T2004Z.160428T0600Z.160428T1227Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Kansas River at Lecompton. * until Thursday evening. * At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.5 feet. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will remain fairly steady overnight. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning. * Impact...At 16.5 feet...Low lying farm fields begin to flood along the Kansas River. && LAT...LON 3909 9563 3907 9534 3902 9534 3905 9563 $$ KSC045-087-280939- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160429T1108Z/ /LWRK1.1.ER.160427T2116Z.160428T1200Z.160428T2308Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Kansas River at Lawrence. * until Friday morning. * At 7:50 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.4 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.8 feet by Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday evening. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...Lowlands outside of the levee on the north side of the river begin to flood. Burcham Park is closed due to flooding on the south side of the river. && LAT...LON 3907 9534 3900 9506 3894 9506 3897 9527 3902 9534 $$ KSC139-280210- /O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160428T1353Z/ /LNDK1.1.ER.160427T0532Z.160427T1645Z.160428T0026Z.UU/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning is cancelled for The Salt Creek near Lyndon. * At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 8.7 feet. * Flood stage is 10.0 feet. * The creek fell below flood stage at 7:26 PM Wednesday. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 1.2 feet by Friday morning. && LAT...LON 3862 9573 3862 9551 3858 9551 3858 9573 $$ KSC085-177-280210- /O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160428T1118Z/ /DELK1.2.ER.160427T0646Z.160427T1146Z.160427T2343Z.NO/ 840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Flood Warning is cancelled for The Soldier Creek near Delia. * At 8:01 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.2 feet. * Flood stage is 26.0 feet. * The creek fell below flood stage at 6:43 PM Wednesday. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 10.1 feet by Friday morning. && LAT...LON 3931 9594 3931 9588 3914 9580 3913 9585 3923 9591 $$
242 WGUS83 KTOP 280551 FLSTOP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas... Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County Cottonwood River near Emporia affecting Lyon County Kansas River at Lecompton affecting Douglas and Jefferson Counties Kansas River at Lawrence affecting Douglas and Jefferson Counties Marais Des Cygnes River at Ottawa affecting Franklin County Marais Des Cygnes River near Quenemo affecting Franklin and Osage Counties Neosho River near Emporia 3nw affecting Lyon County Neosho River Near Neosho Rapids affecting Lyon County Pottawatomie Creek near Scipio affecting Anderson and Franklin Counties PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be washed out under the water. Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio and local media. && KSC059-281351- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0016.160428T1559Z-160429T0636Z/ /OTWK1.1.ER.160428T1559Z.160428T1800Z.160428T1836Z.NO/ 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Marais Des Cygnes River at Ottawa. * from this morning to late tonight. * At 12:30 AM Thursday the stage was 29.0 feet. * Flood stage is 31.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise to near 31.1 feet by this afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by this afternoon. * Impact...At 31.0 feet...Lowland areas near the river flood. && LAT...LON 3863 9551 3862 9507 3852 9507 3856 9514 3858 9551 $$ KSC059-139-281350- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160429T0427Z/ /QNMK1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.160427T2257Z.160428T1027Z.NO/ 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Marais Des Cygnes River near Quenemo. * until this evening. * At 5:57 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.3 feet. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early this morning. * Impact...At 26.1 feet...Farm field along the river just north and east of South Stubbs Road bridge floods. South Stubbs Road remains flooded about 2 miles south of Quenemo. && LAT...LON 3855 9556 3860 9553 3859 9548 3853 9552 $$ KSC111-281350- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-160429T0323Z/ /EPRK1.2.ER.160427T2004Z.160428T0600Z.160428T1523Z.UU/ 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Neosho River near Emporia 3nw. * until this evening. * At 7:14 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.3 feet. * Flood stage is 19.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.7 feet this morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this morning. * Impact...At 19.5 feet...Prairie Street, north of the bridge, floods. && LAT...LON 3844 9625 3847 9621 3842 9605 3838 9606 $$ KSC111-281350- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160429T1531Z/ /NEOK1.2.ER.160427T1412Z.160428T0600Z.160428T2131Z.NO/ 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Neosho River Near Neosho Rapids. * until Friday morning. * At 12:30 AM Thursday the stage was 23.8 feet. * Flood stage is 22.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.3 feet by early this morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this afternoon. * Impact...At 23.0 feet...Water overtops Road 145 on the west side of the bridge over the Neosho River. && LAT...LON 3838 9606 3842 9605 3830 9586 3826 9588 $$ KSC003-059-281350- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160428T2304Z/ /SIPK1.2.ER.160427T1512Z.160428T0046Z.160428T1104Z.NO/ 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Pottawatomie Creek near Scipio. * until this evening. * At 12:31 AM Thursday the stage was 25.5 feet. * Flood stage is 23.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this morning. * Impact...At 25.6 feet...Farmers fields to the south of the creek near Ohio Road floods. && LAT...LON 3835 9527 3844 9512 3841 9507 3831 9525 $$ KSC117-281350- /O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160430T2230Z/ /BLRK1.1.ER.160427T0737Z.160427T1845Z.160430T1030Z.NO/ 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids. * until Saturday afternoon. * At 12:15 AM Thursday the stage was 26.3 feet. * Flood stage is 26.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake. && LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669 $$ KSC111-281350- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160429T1308Z/ /EMPK1.1.ER.160427T1551Z.160428T0530Z.160428T1908Z.NO/ 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Cottonwood River near Emporia. * until Friday morning. * At 12:30 AM Thursday the stage was 22.1 feet. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this afternoon. * Impact...At 23.0 feet...North bank of the Cottonwood River begins to flood. Lowland flooding occurs along the Cottonwood River from Plymouth to Neosho Rapids. && LAT...LON 3843 9635 3838 9606 3836 9606 3835 9613 3838 9635 $$ KSC045-087-281350- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-160429T0027Z/ /LCPK1.1.ER.160427T2004Z.160428T0600Z.160428T1227Z.NO/ 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Kansas River at Lecompton. * until this evening. * At 12:30 AM Thursday the stage was 17.1 feet. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by after midnight this morning. The river will fall below flood stage this morning. * Impact...At 16.5 feet...Low lying farm fields begin to flood along the Kansas River. && LAT...LON 3909 9563 3907 9534 3902 9534 3905 9563 $$ KSC045-087-281350- /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160429T1108Z/ /LWRK1.1.ER.160427T2116Z.160428T1200Z.160428T2308Z.NO/ 1251 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Kansas River at Lawrence. * until Friday morning. * At 11:50 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.6 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.8 feet by this morning. The river will fall below flood stage this evening. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...Lowlands outside of the levee on the north side of the river begin to flood. Burcham Park is closed due to flooding on the south side of the river. && LAT...LON 3907 9534 3900 9506 3894 9506 3897 9527 3902 9534 $$
167 WGUS83 KTOP 280801 FLSTOP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 301 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following streams in Kansas... Kansas River at Lecompton affecting Douglas and Jefferson Counties PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be washed out under the water. Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio and local media. && KSC045-087-280831- /O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-160429T0027Z/ /LCPK1.1.ER.160427T2004Z.160428T0100Z.160428T0630Z.NO/ 301 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016 The Flood Warning is cancelled for The Kansas River at Lecompton. * At 2:30 AM Thursday the stage was 16.9 feet. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * Fell below flood stage at 1:30 AM Thursday. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 10.3 feet by Friday morning. && LAT...LON 3909 9563 3907 9534 3902 9534 3905 9563 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 27, 12:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 27, 12:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED National Weather Service Topeka KS 1213 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 ...Update to aviation forecast discussion... .SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight) Issued at 336 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The center of the upper level storm system that brought widespread severe weather and heavy rain to the region late Tuesday continues to spin over north central KS. The large precipitation shield has pushed east of the area but scattered showers remain possible through the morning as ample moisture continues to pump into the upper system with strong forcing for ascent. Instability through the morning will remain on the low end with cooler temperatures and surface dewpoints now in place but very cold temperatures aloft will support a return of instability to far eastern Kansas in advance of a westerly wind shift. By noon, expect this boundary to be roughly along HWY 75 and should push to near the KS/MO border by 3 PM. 1000-1500 J/kg of SBCAPE should exist east of the front. Expect scattered convective development along this front during that time frame. Effective shear may be marginally supportive of supercell structures, particularly given the very steep mid level lapse rates and a good amount of low level CAPE. This presents favorable stretching parameters off the surface but low level shear profiles currently appear weak. This suggests that a few low-topped supercells may develop which would mainly favor a small chance for severe hail to develop in far eastern counties of the forecast area...and slightly better chances with northward extent closer to the upper low center. Farther west, expect a persistent area of showers and perhaps a thunderstorm on the west and southwest side of the upper low...mainly impacting north central KS. This will keep temperatures cooler in this area as well, with highs ranging from the upper 50s in Republic county KS to the lower 70s in Anderson county. A few showers may linger in northern KS through the evening as the upper low slowly migrates east but otherwise expect a drying trend. Throughout the period do not expect much total additional rainfall so impact on ongoing flooding should be minimal. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 336 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016 Thursday will be dry but the next slow moving upper level trough will begin to impact the area by Friday morning as there is strong model agreement in a lead impulse ejecting across the Plains with widespread showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms. Instability is forecast to be quite weak through Friday night. The main trough energy is forecast to move across the region on Saturday though and should bring with it much steeper lapse rates aloft. This may support better instability but with so much widespread precip likely in advance of the system, it seems that there should be plenty of overturning to limit the overall severe threat. Regardless, there is at least some potential for a round of severe storms with the main wave on Saturday...with the intensity of those storms conditional upon the development of a good amount of instability to accompany moderate deep layer shear. Yet another upper level trough comes across the area for the first part of next week with additional rain chances before an upper ridge finally looks to build over the region for a few days by mid-week. High temperatures through the mid/long term look pretty stable, generally in the 60s to low 70s, and somewhat depending on cloud cover and widespread nature of rain. Lows will be mainly in the 40s to low 50s, also dependent upon cloud cover. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon) Issued at 1201 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 The Pacific cold front will be moving through the Topeka area around 18Z causing winds to veer at TOP/FOE with CIGS expected to be near 030-035 through the afternoon. Will be optimistic on CIGS and keep them VFR given continued mixing and drier air moving in. There is some scattered -shra developing in wake of the cold front as the upper system spins across Nebraska so will keep mention through the day with VFR expected after 00Z. && .TOP Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NONE. && SHORT TERM...Barjenbruch LONG TERM...Barjenbruch AVIATION...Omitt
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 27, 3:42 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 342 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-282045- REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY- POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS- WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- 342 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF MAINLY LARGER CREEKS AND RIVERS CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST WARNINGS AND RIVER FORECASTS FOR THE MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS THE HAZARDS. ANY SEVERE RISK SHOULD END BY 6PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. FLOODING OF SOME RIVERS MAY CONTINUE INTO THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR MORE HEAVY RAINS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WHICH COULD CAUSE MORE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO OCCUR AROUND SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 27, 11:29 AM CDT, 4 hours 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1129 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM FLOOD MAPLE HILL 39.08N 96.03W
04/27/2016 WABAUNSEE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATERMAN CROSSING AND HWY 30 LEADING INTO MAPLE HILL HAS
SIGNIFICANT WATER OVER HWY 30. THIS IS DUE TO POOR
DRAINAGE IN THE AREA. ONE WATER RESCUE OCCURRED BY KHP AT
THIS LOCATION. KDOT HAS CLOSED THE ROAD.
&&
BYRNESpecial weather statement, Apr 27, 1:41 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
141 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016
KSZ038-039-055-271915-
WABAUNSEE-OSAGE-SHAWNEE-
141 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WABAUNSEE...
SOUTHWESTERN SHAWNEE AND NORTHWESTERN OSAGE COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM
CDT...
AT 141 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ESKRIDGE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOPEKA...ESKRIDGE...DOVER...SILVER LAKE...AUBURN...HARVEYVILLE...KEENE AND
PAULINE.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 346 AND 355.
KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 158 AND 179.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3874 9598 3874 9612 3881 9621 3916 9585
3897 9561
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 224DEG 33KT 3881 9607
JOHNSONLocal storm report, Apr 27, 2:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
213 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0208 PM HAIL DENISON 39.39N 95.63W
04/27/2016 E1.00 INCH JACKSON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT
ESTIMATED QUARTER SIZE HAIL RELAYED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.
&&
COMITTSpecial weather statement, Apr 27, 2:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
222 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016
KSZ024-026-039-272015-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-SHAWNEE-
222 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SHAWNEE...JEFFERSON AND
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...
AT 220 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING AN AREA OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM TOPEKA NORTHEAST THROUGH MAVETTA AND VALLEY
FALLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOPEKA...VALLEY FALLS...OSKALOOSA...TECUMSEH...SILVER LAKE...MERIDEN...
HOYT...OZAWKIE...NORTONVILLE...WINCHESTER...MAYETTA...DENISON...BERRYTON...
PERRY LAKE...GRANTVILLE AND PAULINE.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 352 AND 355.
KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 172 AND 186.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3887 9570 3887 9572 3888 9572 3911 9589
3954 9562 3953 9557 3942 9557 3942 9518
3935 9518
TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 223DEG 23KT 3902 9572
JOHNSONThe office that day
Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 7:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Douglas, Osage | 32 min |
| Apr 26, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Lyon, Morris, Wabaunsee | 15 min |
| Apr 26, 7:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Republic | 49 min |
| Apr 26, 7:28 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Geary, Pottawatomie, Riley, Wabaunsee | 6 hr |
| Apr 26, 7:42 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TOP | Douglas, Jefferson | 93 min |
| Apr 26, 8:04 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Jackson, Jefferson, Shawnee | 9 hr |
| Apr 26, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Lyon | 38 min |
| Apr 26, 8:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Wabaunsee | 26 hr |
| Apr 26, 8:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TOP | Jackson, Pottawatomie, Shawnee, Wabaunsee | 3 hr |
| Apr 26, 8:15 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TOP | Lyon | 3 hr |
| Apr 26, 8:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Coffey, Osage | 28 min |
| Apr 26, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Anderson, Franklin | 42 min |
| Apr 26, 9:33 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Lyon, Osage | 29 hr |
| Apr 26, 9:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Anderson, Franklin | 21 min |
| Apr 26, 10:01 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TOP | Anderson, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson | 4 hr |
| Apr 26, 10:01 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Jackson, Shawnee | 23 hr |
| Apr 26, 10:39 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Lyon, Morris, Osage, Wabaunsee | 6 hr |
| Apr 26, 10:50 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Osage | 23 hr |
| Apr 26, 10:59 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Shawnee | 23 hr |
| Apr 26, 11:11 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Jackson, Pottawatomie, Shawnee, Wabaunsee | 6 hr |
| Apr 26, 11:15 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Lyon | 6 hr |
| Apr 27, 1:29 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Geary, Pottawatomie, Riley, Wabaunsee | 3 hr |
| Apr 27, 2:25 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Anderson, Coffey | 2 hr |
| Apr 27, 2:41 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Franklin, Osage | 43 hr |
| Apr 27, 4:26 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Anderson, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Geary, Jackson and 6 more | 8 hr |
| Apr 27, 6:39 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Lyon | 33 hr |
| Apr 27, 6:39 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Lyon | 54 hr |
| Apr 27, 8:18 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Anderson, Franklin | 31 hr |
| Apr 27, 9:53 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Lyon | 46 hr |
| Apr 27, 12:33 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Anderson, Coffey, Franklin, Lyon, Osage, Wabaunsee | 6 hr |
| Apr 27, 1:41 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Shawnee | 34 min |
| Apr 27, 1:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Brown, Jackson, Jefferson | 41 min |
| Apr 27, 2:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Brown | 38 min |
| Apr 27, 2:22 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Jefferson, Shawnee | 53 min |
| Apr 27, 2:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Jefferson, Shawnee | 47 min |
| Apr 27, 2:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Douglas, Jefferson | 31 min |
| Apr 27, 3:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Brown | 30 min |
| Apr 27, 3:52 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Douglas, Jefferson | 39 hr |
| Apr 27, 6:31 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TOP | Lyon, Osage, Wabaunsee | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.