Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 15
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 15, 2016, 12:02 PM CST for 33 counties in Alabama; 10 counties in Florida. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 15, 2016, 12:02 PM CST (18:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 15, 2016, 8:54 PM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 43 counties
Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Coffee County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Dale County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pike County, AL, Russell County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Escambia County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
55 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 12:06 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Washington | 39 min |
| Feb 15, 12:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh, Monroe | 23 min |
| Feb 15, 12:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Clarke, Monroe | 36 min |
| Feb 15, 12:32 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Wilcox | 43 min |
| Feb 15, 12:36 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Washington | 39 min |
| Feb 15, 12:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Mobile | 34 min |
| Feb 15, 12:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh | 46 min |
| Feb 15, 12:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Mobile, Washington | 28 min |
| Feb 15, 1:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Monroe | 30 min |
| Feb 15, 1:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia | 28 min |
| Feb 15, 1:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Wilcox | 35 min |
| Feb 15, 1:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Washington | 47 min |
| Feb 15, 1:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Washington | 44 min |
| Feb 15, 1:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia | 27 min |
| Feb 15, 1:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Monroe, Wilcox | 49 min |
| Feb 15, 1:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh | 42 min |
| Feb 15, 1:46 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Washington | 44 min |
| Feb 15, 2:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Clarke, Monroe | 39 min |
| Feb 15, 2:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh | 38 min |
| Feb 15, 2:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Clarke, Monroe, Wilcox | 49 min |
| Feb 15, 2:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Crenshaw | 40 min |
| Feb 15, 2:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 38 min |
| Feb 15, 3:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Crenshaw | 24 min |
| Feb 15, 3:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Monroe | 29 min |
| Feb 15, 3:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Mobile, Monroe, Washington, Wilcox | 41 min |
| Feb 15, 3:21 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Escambia | 39 min |
| Feb 15, 3:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia | 52 min |
| Feb 15, 3:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Greene, Hale, Marengo, Sumter | 57 min |
| Feb 15, 3:56 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia | 49 min |
| Feb 15, 3:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Clarke, Escambia, Mobile, Monroe, Washington | 31 min |
| Feb 15, 4:04 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia | 26 min |
| Feb 15, 4:05 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Elmore, Macon, Montgomery | 25 min |
| Feb 15, 4:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Crenshaw | 50 min |
| Feb 15, 4:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Bibb, Dallas, Perry | 43 min |
| Feb 15, 4:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Mobile and 3 more | 32 min |
| Feb 15, 4:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia | 44 min |
| Feb 15, 4:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Crenshaw | 36 min |
| Feb 15, 4:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Montgomery | 48 min |
| Feb 15, 5:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Escambia | 12 min |
| Feb 15, 5:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Butler, Covington, Crenshaw | 50 min |
| Feb 15, 5:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington, Crenshaw | 23 min |
| Feb 15, 5:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Coffee | 44 min |
| Feb 15, 5:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Bullock, Macon, Montgomery, Pike | 55 min |
| Feb 15, 5:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington, Escambia | 31 min |
| Feb 15, 6:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 28 min |
| Feb 15, 6:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Coffee, Geneva | 41 min |
| Feb 15, 6:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Barbour | 54 min |
| Feb 15, 6:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Coffee, Dale | 38 min |
| Feb 15, 6:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Bullock, Macon, Russell | 46 min |
| Feb 15, 6:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 60 min |
| Feb 15, 6:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Lee, Russell | 32 min |
| Feb 15, 7:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Barbour | 16 min |
| Feb 15, 7:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Bay, Calhoun, Gulf, Jackson, Washington | 62 min |
| Feb 15, 7:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Henry, Houston | 54 min |
| Feb 15, 8:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Gadsden, Jackson | 42 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1152 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 485 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 523 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
590 WWUS20 KWNS 151800 SEL5 SPC WW 151800 ALZ000-FLZ000-CWZ000-160300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 15 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1200 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM NOON UNTIL 900 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND...AND HAIL...EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MOBILE ALABAMA TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MARIANNA FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 14... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 11:50 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Choctaw and 22 more | 115 min |
| Feb 15, 1:51 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Butler and 28 more | 114 min |
| Feb 15, 4:24 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Butler, Clarke, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 15, 5:27 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Amite, Copiah, Covington, Forrest, Jasper, Jefferson Davis and 14 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 15, 7:41 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Amite, Claiborne, Copiah, Covington, Forrest and 10 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 15, 9:30 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Amite, Attala, Choctaw, Claiborne, Clarke and 39 more | 8 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2016Tornado Watches in Florida, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.