Severe Thunderstorm Warning 23, NWS Tallahassee, FL

539 
WWUS52 KTAE 160235
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
935 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

FLC039-063-160245-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160216T0300Z/
GADSDEN FL-JACKSON FL-
935 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN GADSDEN AND
JACKSON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EST FOR SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3083 8450 3085 8479 3138 8464 3144 8463
      3144 8410
TIME...MOT...LOC 0235Z 246DEG 48KT 3125 8452 3086 8470 

$$

GAC007-087-099-131-201-205-253-160300-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160216T0300Z/
GRADY GA-EARLY GA-DECATUR GA-MILLER GA-BAKER GA-MITCHELL GA-
SEMINOLE GA-
935 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EST
FOR NORTHWESTERN GRADY...EAST CENTRAL EARLY...CENTRAL DECATUR...
EASTERN MILLER...BAKER...CENTRAL MITCHELL AND EAST CENTRAL SEMINOLE
COUNTIES...

AT 935 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEWTON TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
WEST BAINBRIDGE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWTON...BAINBRIDGE...BACONTON...WEST BAINBRIDGE...BRINSON...
PATMOS...BETHANY...VADA...BRANCHVILLE...LYNN...HOPEFUL...MACEDONIA...
HOGGARD MILL...RED STORE CROSSROADS...MIMSVILLE...ELMODEL WMA...
COOKTOWN...BOYKIN...STEINHAM STORE AND CYRENE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EST FOR SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3083 8450 3085 8479 3138 8464 3144 8463
      3144 8410
TIME...MOT...LOC 0235Z 246DEG 48KT 3125 8452 3086 8470 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

15-HARRIGAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
843 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...Severe Thunderstorms Possible Until 1 am Tuesday...

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

Ongoing severe weather threat across western portions of our CWA
associated with a squall line. The severe threat will extend
across the remainder of the CWA (except SE Big bend) through the
remainder of this evening as the squall line races to the east.
The main threats with any severe storm will be damaging winds and
isolated tornadoes. Large hail can't be ruled out either, due to
slightly steeper than normal mid-level lapse rates (there have
been large hail reports upstream with some supercells). Rain
should end from west to east by daybreak with the passage of a
cold front.

&&

.Aviation...

[Through 00Z Wednesday]...A line of storms will push from west to
east through the area, affecting all terminals. The storms should
exit near VLD as late as 07Z. The storms may be accompanied by
IFR visibility and gusty winds over 30 knots. Near and just behind
the line of storms, some IFR-MVFR CIGS are also possible, with
clearing expected by sunrise.

&&

.Prev Discussion [313 PM EST]...

.Short Term [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]...

Fair and mild weather is expected behind the front for Tuesday and
Wednesday. A second upper level shortwave will dive
southeastward into northern Georgia on Tuesday, but most of its
effects in terms of cloud cover and light showers are expected to
remain north of the area. High temperatures are expected to range
from the middle 60s to lower 70s across the area with low
temperatures Tuesday night mainly in the 40s.

.Long Term [Thursday Through Monday]...

A rather flat deep layer ridge will be the dominant weather
feature along the Gulf Coast through the weekend. This synoptic
pattern correlates well to fair and mild weather for our region.
Highs will be mainly in the 70s, and lows in the 40s. By early
next week rain chances may gradually increase again as a new upper
level trough develops across the region.

.Marine...

Advisory conditions are expected for all but the far eastern
waters through most of the night as a cold front moves through
with increasing winds and seas. Showers and thunderstorms, some
possibly severe, will also precede the front. Winds will shift to
the northwest then north behind the cold front late tonight and
Tuesday morning.

.Fire Weather...

Showers and storms will move across the region tonight bringing
wetting rains to just about everywhere. Drier air will arrive
behind the associated front on Tuesday and Wednesday, but red
flag conditions are not expected.

.Hydrology...

The average storm total rainfall for tonight's system is expected
to be mostly between a half inch to one inch with some localized
higher amounts possible. The heaviest amounts are most likely in
southeast Alabama and adjacent sections of the Florida panhandle
and southwest Georgia, and the least amounts are expected across
the southeast big bend. While this will cause some rises in the
rivers, it is not expected to cause flooding.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   51  70  45  69  41 /  90  10   0   0   0
Panama City   51  62  50  64  46 /  80   0   0   0   0
Dothan        46  65  43  64  40 /  90   0   0   0   0
Albany        48  66  42  65  39 /  90  10   0   0   0
Valdosta      53  70  45  69  40 /  90  10   0   0   0
Cross City    57  72  45  71  41 /  70  10   0   0   0
Apalachicola  53  64  49  66  45 /  80   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Tuesday FOR
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Tuesday FOR Coastal Waters
     From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-
     Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...BARRY/LAMERS
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...BARRY/HATHAWAY
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...LAMERS
HYDROLOGY...DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
852 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0836 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WAUSAU                  30.63N 85.59W
02/15/2016                   WASHINGTON         FL   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN THROUGHOUT
            WASHINGTON COUNTY

&&

DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
854 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GEORGETOWN              31.88N 85.11W
02/15/2016                   QUITMAN            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            2 REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN QUITMAN COUNTY

&&

DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
859 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0808 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PONCE DE LEON           30.72N 85.94W
02/15/2016                   HOLMES             FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN IN PONCE DE LEON

0822 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S BONIFAY             30.77N 85.68W
02/15/2016                   HOLMES             FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN JUST SOUTH OF BONIFAY

&&

DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
907 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSE EDWIN             31.61N 85.36W
02/15/2016                   HENRY              AL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD 75.

&&

DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
910 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SW ELBA               31.36N 86.13W
02/15/2016                   COFFEE             AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 189 ABOUT 5 MILES OUTSIDE OF ELBA
            ALONG WITH POWER LINES DOWN

&&

DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
913 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARIANNA                30.77N 85.24W
02/15/2016                   JACKSON            FL   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN THROUGHOUT
            JACKSON COUNTY

&&

DVD