Alert archive / Colorado / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 143
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 7, 2016, 12:31 PM MDT for 13 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 7, 2016, 12:31 PM MDT (18:31 UTC)
- Expired
- May 7, 2016, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO
The radar
The Denver radar (KFTG), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 12:55 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Elbert | 22 min |
| May 7, 1:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Arapahoe, Elbert | 31 min |
| May 7, 1:29 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Arapahoe, Elbert | 16 min |
| May 7, 1:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Arapahoe | 32 min |
| May 7, 1:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson | 48 min |
| May 7, 2:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Arapahoe, Elbert | 52 min |
| May 7, 2:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 35 min |
| May 7, 2:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Morgan, Weld | 31 min |
| May 7, 2:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams | 28 min |
| May 7, 2:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 49 min |
| May 7, 2:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Morgan, Weld | 29 min |
| May 7, 2:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Arapahoe | 40 min |
| May 7, 2:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson, Yuma | 51 min |
| May 7, 2:46 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan, Weld | 29 min |
| May 7, 3:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Washington | 27 min |
| May 7, 3:12 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan, Weld | 33 min |
| May 7, 3:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 39 min |
| May 7, 3:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 37 min |
| May 7, 3:34 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan | 26 min |
| May 7, 3:36 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Weld | 24 min |
| May 7, 3:54 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Weld | 36 min |
| May 7, 3:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 48 min |
| May 7, 3:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Morgan | 32 min |
| May 7, 4:08 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Yuma | 23 min |
| May 7, 4:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 46 min |
| May 7, 4:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Morgan, Washington | 36 min |
| May 7, 4:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 30 min |
| May 7, 4:56 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Yuma | 22 min |
| May 7, 5:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 49 min |
| May 7, 5:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Washington | 28 min |
| May 7, 5:30 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Yuma | 30 min |
| May 7, 5:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 31 min |
| May 7, 5:51 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Yuma | 24 min |
| May 7, 5:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Washington | 36 min |
| May 7, 6:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 43 min |
| May 7, 6:10 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Yuma | 35 min |
| May 7, 6:33 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Yuma | 27 min |
| May 7, 6:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 34 min |
| May 7, 6:58 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Yuma | 20 min |
| May 7, 7:07 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Phillips | 38 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 35 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -219 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 776 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -38 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 163 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
The text
As transmitted.
362
WWUS20 KWNS 071828
SEL3
SPC WW 071828
COZ000-080100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 143
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST COLORADO
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM
UNTIL 700 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST CO AND AFFECT THE WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTHWEST OF LIMON
COLORADO TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF BURLINGTON COLORADO. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20025.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 11:29 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Arapahoe, Elbert, Kit Carson, Logan, Morgan and 5 more | 91 min |
| May 7, 4:23 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kit Carson, Logan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington and 1 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.