Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Goodland, KS

763 
WWUS53 KGLD 072004
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
204 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

COC017-063-072045-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160507T2045Z/
KIT CARSON CO-CHEYENNE CO-
204 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN KIT CARSON AND NORTHWESTERN CHEYENNE COUNTIES IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

AT 204 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES SOUTH OF
FLAGLER...MOVING NORTH AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FLAGLER AND SEIBERT. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 391 AND
410.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE
OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3944 10315 3945 10278 3891 10279 3891 10316
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 182DEG 46KT 3906 10300 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LUNDQUIST

256 
WWUS53 KGLD 072010
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
210 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

COC017-072019-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160507T2045Z/
CHEYENNE CO-
210 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CHEYENNE COUNTY
IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3944 10315 3945 10278 3904 10279 3904 10316
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 176DEG 42KT 3910 10299 

$$

COC063-072045-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160507T2045Z/
KIT CARSON CO-
210 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY...

AT 209 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES SOUTH OF
FLAGLER...MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FLAGLER AND SEIBERT. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 391 AND
410.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE
OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3944 10315 3945 10278 3904 10279 3904 10316
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 176DEG 42KT 3910 10299 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LUNDQUIST

514 
WWUS53 KGLD 072028
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
228 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

COC063-072045-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160507T2045Z/
KIT CARSON CO-
228 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY...

AT 228 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SEIBERT...MOVING
NORTH AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FLAGLER AND SEIBERT. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 393 AND
408.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE
OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3944 10315 3945 10278 3914 10283 3915 10307
TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 194DEG 34KT 3927 10292 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HUSTED

883 
WWUS53 KGLD 072036
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
236 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

COC063-072045-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160507T2045Z/
KIT CARSON CO-
236 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM MDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL KIT CARSON COUNTY...

AT 236 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SEIBERT...MOVING
NORTH AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SEIBERT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 399 AND
407.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3944 10308 3945 10278 3922 10285 3925 10300
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 195DEG 25KT 3930 10291 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HUSTED

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
127 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 118 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SITUATED OVER CENTRAL COLORADO WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EASTWARD TODAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST OUT
OF EASTERN COLORADO AND INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES AND MOVE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON COULD RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE AS LIFT
OVERCOMES THE CAPPING MECHANISM THAT HAS BEEN IN PLACE THROUGH THE
MORNING. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL HOWEVER THERE IS AN
INCREASED FAVORABILITY FOR TORNADOES IN YUMA...KIT CARSON...AND
CHEYENNE CO COUNTIES THROUGH AROUND 01Z. DRIER AIR WILL BE PULLED
INTO THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
MOVES OFF THE ROCKIES ON SUNDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE FOCUS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SHIFT EASTWARD WITH ACTIVITY MAINLY EXPECTED EAST OF HWY 27 AS A
WELL DEVELOPED DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO FORM. VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH SUNDAYS THUNDERSTORMS.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 118 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AT THE START
OF THIS PERIOD.  WIDE SPREAD LIFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA AHEAD
OF THE CLOSED LOW SUNDAY NIGHT.  AT THE SURFACE A DRY LINE WILL BE
NEAR THE HIGHWAY 27 CORRIDOR.  THE BEST INSTABILITY WILL BE OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING AS A RESULT.  FURTHER
WEST A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA.  THERE WILL BE SOME
INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH BETWEEN THE COLD FRONT AND THE DRY
LINE...BUT THE BULK OF THE INSTABILITY AND ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
EAST OF THE DRY LINE SUNDAY EVENING.

OVERNIGHT SUNDAY THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE
AREA.  AS THE COLD FRONT SLIDES EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THE WRAP
AROUND CIRCULATION OF THE SURFACE LOW BETWEEN THE DRY LINE AND THE
COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE DEW POINTS TO INCREASE ALONG THE COLD FRONT
OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA.  THIS MAY CAUSE ANY STORMS
ALONG THE COLD FRONT TO BECOME STRONGER.

MONDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SEMI-STATIONARY ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
BORDER OF THE AREA. WITH HIGHER DEW POINTS STILL POOLED ALONG THE
FRONT...STRONG STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG IT. AM NOT EXPECTING
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE LOW DEEP LAYER SHEAR
OF 10-15 KTS. DURING THE LATE MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AS ANOTHER ROUND OF LIFT MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA BEHIND THE CLOSED LOW AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST.

MONDAY NIGHT RAIN ACTIVITY WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
AREA AS SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR MOVE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE.
DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES
THROUGH THE TRI-STATE AREA...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN WITH IT.
BEHIND THE TROUGH A SHORT WAVE RIDGE WILL MOVE THROUGH.  FOLLOWING
THE RIDGE WILL BE ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND
OF RAINFALL WITH IT THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE TAFS. MAIN FOCUS WILL BE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING. CURRENTLY AM
EXPECTING THE LINE OF STORMS MOVING NORTH TO MOVE OVER KMCK EARLY
IN THE TAF. AFTER THAT THERE WILL BE A LULL IN STORM
ACTIVITY BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND OF STORMS DEVELOP AROUND MID
AFTERNOON. THIS ROUND WILL LAST INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE MOVING
NORTH OF THE SITES. DIFFICULT TO PROVIDE A SPECIFIC WINDOW OF THE
BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS AT KMCK...ASIDE FROM THE APPROACHING
LINE...DUE TO TIMING INCONSISTENCIES BETWEEN MODELS. BASED OFF
THE NEAR TERM MODELS...LOOKS LIKE THE SECOND ROUND OF STORMS WILL
APPROACH KMCK FROM THE WEST AROUND 22Z OR 23Z. KGLD WILL HAVE ITS
SECOND ROUND OF STORMS FROM THE WEST AROUND 21Z AS WELL...BUT THE
SITE WILL BE ON THE SOUTH OF MOST OF THE STORM ACTIVITY.

ONCE THESE STORMS FORM THIS AFTERNOON THEY WILL MOVE NORTH AT
30KTS. THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL UP TO
BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AROUND 80 MPH. THE SEVERE
THREAT WILL DIMINISH DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JTL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
107 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-081915-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
107 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016 /207 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AROUND 3 PM MDT OR 4 PM CDT AND
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE
DECLINING OVERNIGHT. SOME STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH. THE
GREATER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. THE SEVERE WEATHER WILL MOVE
OUT OF THE AREA DURING THE LATE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS MAINLY
EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS
WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY
STORM REPORTS THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA OR BY PHONE ARE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

JTL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
157 PM MDT SAT MAY 07 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             6 N WILD HORSE          38.91N 103.00W
05/07/2016  E0.25 INCH       CHEYENNE           CO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

BWARREN