Severe Thunderstorm Warning 34, NWS Goodland, KS

184 
WWUS53 KGLD 072041
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
241 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

COC017-072115-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-160507T2115Z/
CHEYENNE CO-
241 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM MDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL CHEYENNE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

AT 241 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF
KIT CARSON...OR 17 MILES WEST OF CHEYENNE WELLS...MOVING NORTH AT 40
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KIT CARSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3905 10238 3874 10264 3875 10279 3904 10287
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 190DEG 34KT 3885 10268 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HUSTED

965 
WWUS53 KGLD 072052
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
252 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

COC017-072115-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-160507T2115Z/
CHEYENNE CO-
252 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM MDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL CHEYENNE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

AT 251 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES NORTHEAST
OF KIT CARSON...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHEYENNE WELLS...MOVING NORTH
AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTH
CENTRAL CHEYENNE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3904 10248 3885 10264 3884 10276 3904 10281
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 190DEG 34KT 3895 10266 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HUSTED

513 
WWUS53 KGLD 072106
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
306 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

COC017-072116-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-160507T2115Z/
CHEYENNE CO-
306 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL CHEYENNE COUNTY
IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO WILL EXPIRE AT 315 PM MDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND HAVE EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH
THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3904 10248 3885 10264 3884 10276 3904 10281
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 190DEG 34KT 3895 10266 

$$

HUSTED

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
127 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 118 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SITUATED OVER CENTRAL COLORADO WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EASTWARD TODAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST OUT
OF EASTERN COLORADO AND INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES AND MOVE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON COULD RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE AS LIFT
OVERCOMES THE CAPPING MECHANISM THAT HAS BEEN IN PLACE THROUGH THE
MORNING. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL HOWEVER THERE IS AN
INCREASED FAVORABILITY FOR TORNADOES IN YUMA...KIT CARSON...AND
CHEYENNE CO COUNTIES THROUGH AROUND 01Z. DRIER AIR WILL BE PULLED
INTO THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
MOVES OFF THE ROCKIES ON SUNDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE FOCUS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SHIFT EASTWARD WITH ACTIVITY MAINLY EXPECTED EAST OF HWY 27 AS A
WELL DEVELOPED DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO FORM. VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH SUNDAYS THUNDERSTORMS.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 118 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AT THE START
OF THIS PERIOD.  WIDE SPREAD LIFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA AHEAD
OF THE CLOSED LOW SUNDAY NIGHT.  AT THE SURFACE A DRY LINE WILL BE
NEAR THE HIGHWAY 27 CORRIDOR.  THE BEST INSTABILITY WILL BE OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING AS A RESULT.  FURTHER
WEST A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA.  THERE WILL BE SOME
INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH BETWEEN THE COLD FRONT AND THE DRY
LINE...BUT THE BULK OF THE INSTABILITY AND ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
EAST OF THE DRY LINE SUNDAY EVENING.

OVERNIGHT SUNDAY THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE
AREA.  AS THE COLD FRONT SLIDES EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THE WRAP
AROUND CIRCULATION OF THE SURFACE LOW BETWEEN THE DRY LINE AND THE
COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE DEW POINTS TO INCREASE ALONG THE COLD FRONT
OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA.  THIS MAY CAUSE ANY STORMS
ALONG THE COLD FRONT TO BECOME STRONGER.

MONDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SEMI-STATIONARY ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
BORDER OF THE AREA. WITH HIGHER DEW POINTS STILL POOLED ALONG THE
FRONT...STRONG STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG IT. AM NOT EXPECTING
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE LOW DEEP LAYER SHEAR
OF 10-15 KTS. DURING THE LATE MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AS ANOTHER ROUND OF LIFT MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA BEHIND THE CLOSED LOW AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST.

MONDAY NIGHT RAIN ACTIVITY WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
AREA AS SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR MOVE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE.
DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES
THROUGH THE TRI-STATE AREA...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN WITH IT.
BEHIND THE TROUGH A SHORT WAVE RIDGE WILL MOVE THROUGH.  FOLLOWING
THE RIDGE WILL BE ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND
OF RAINFALL WITH IT THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE TAFS. MAIN FOCUS WILL BE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING. CURRENTLY AM
EXPECTING THE LINE OF STORMS MOVING NORTH TO MOVE OVER KMCK EARLY
IN THE TAF. AFTER THAT THERE WILL BE A LULL IN STORM
ACTIVITY BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND OF STORMS DEVELOP AROUND MID
AFTERNOON. THIS ROUND WILL LAST INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE MOVING
NORTH OF THE SITES. DIFFICULT TO PROVIDE A SPECIFIC WINDOW OF THE
BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS AT KMCK...ASIDE FROM THE APPROACHING
LINE...DUE TO TIMING INCONSISTENCIES BETWEEN MODELS. BASED OFF
THE NEAR TERM MODELS...LOOKS LIKE THE SECOND ROUND OF STORMS WILL
APPROACH KMCK FROM THE WEST AROUND 22Z OR 23Z. KGLD WILL HAVE ITS
SECOND ROUND OF STORMS FROM THE WEST AROUND 21Z AS WELL...BUT THE
SITE WILL BE ON THE SOUTH OF MOST OF THE STORM ACTIVITY.

ONCE THESE STORMS FORM THIS AFTERNOON THEY WILL MOVE NORTH AT
30KTS. THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL UP TO
BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AROUND 80 MPH. THE SEVERE
THREAT WILL DIMINISH DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JTL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
107 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-081915-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
107 PM MDT SAT MAY 7 2016 /207 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AROUND 3 PM MDT OR 4 PM CDT AND
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE
DECLINING OVERNIGHT. SOME STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH. THE
GREATER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. THE SEVERE WEATHER WILL MOVE
OUT OF THE AREA DURING THE LATE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS MAINLY
EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS
WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY
STORM REPORTS THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA OR BY PHONE ARE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

JTL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
157 PM MDT SAT MAY 07 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             6 N WILD HORSE          38.91N 103.00W
05/07/2016  E0.25 INCH       CHEYENNE           CO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

BWARREN