Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2016, 12:05 PM EDT for 7 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 18, 2016, 12:05 PM EDT (16:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 18, 2016, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 92 counties
Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Bronx County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Kings County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 12:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Oswego, Wayne | 63 min |
| Jul 18, 12:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Madison, Onondaga | 53 min |
| Jul 18, 12:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Schoharie | 47 min |
| Jul 18, 12:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Luzerne | 55 min |
| Jul 18, 1:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Saratoga, Warren, Washington | 56 min |
| Jul 18, 1:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Columbia, Rensselaer | 38 min |
| Jul 18, 1:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Lackawanna, Luzerne | 40 min |
| Jul 18, 1:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Berkshire | 43 min |
| Jul 18, 1:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Washington | 45 min |
| Jul 18, 1:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Franklin, Hampshire | 48 min |
| Jul 18, 1:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Bennington, Windham | 62 min |
| Jul 18, 1:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Carbon, Monroe | 57 min |
| Jul 18, 2:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Onondaga | 25 min |
| Jul 18, 2:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Northwest Hills Planning Region | 62 min |
| Jul 18, 2:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Franklin, Worcester | 27 min |
| Jul 18, 2:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton | 47 min |
| Jul 18, 2:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Franklin, Worcester | 45 min |
| Jul 18, 2:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess, Ulster | 40 min |
| Jul 18, 2:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon | 39 min |
| Jul 18, 2:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Middlesex, Worcester | 34 min |
| Jul 18, 3:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Orange | 36 min |
| Jul 18, 3:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Northwest Hills Planning Region | 31 min |
| Jul 18, 3:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Essex | 28 min |
| Jul 18, 3:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Capitol Planning Region | 38 min |
| Jul 18, 3:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon | 50 min |
| Jul 18, 3:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Putnam, Westchester | 37 min |
| Jul 18, 3:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk | 52 min |
| Jul 18, 3:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 64 min |
| Jul 18, 4:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Middlesex, Morris, Somerset | 38 min |
| Jul 18, 4:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk | 46 min |
| Jul 18, 4:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Cortland, Seneca, Tompkins | 54 min |
| Jul 18, 4:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk | 41 min |
| Jul 18, 4:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Hudson, Union | 35 min |
| Jul 18, 4:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 18 min |
| Jul 18, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Kings, Queens | 20 min |
| Jul 18, 5:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Cortland | 41 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -127 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1554 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 128 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.9
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 11:40 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min | |
| Jul 18, 3:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min | |
| Jul 18, 6:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min | |
| Jul 18, 10:32 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Androscoggin, Cumberland, Franklin, Kennebec, Lincoln, Oxford and 4 more | 118 min |
| Jul 18, 11:12 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Androscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Hancock, Kennebec and 10 more | 9 hr |
| Jul 18, 1:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 18, 3:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 2 more | 66 min |
| Jul 18, 6:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland | 113 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.