Alert archive / Maine / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394

July 18, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2016, 11:12 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2016, 11:12 AM EDT (15:12 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2016, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Androscoggin County, ME, Aroostook County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Hancock County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Knox County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Waldo County, ME, Washington County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Clinton County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Addison County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 11:42 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Essex, Orleans63 min
Jul 18, 12:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Oswego, Wayne63 min
Jul 18, 12:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford44 min
Jul 18, 12:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Franklin59 min
Jul 18, 12:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford65 min
Jul 18, 1:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Essex60 min
Jul 18, 1:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex37 min
Jul 18, 1:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos39 min
Jul 18, 1:28 PM EDTTornado WarningGYXOxford32 min
Jul 18, 1:44 PM EDTTornado WarningGYXFranklin, Somerset31 min
Jul 18, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford61 min
Jul 18, 2:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot, Piscataquis54 min
Jul 18, 2:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset63 min
Jul 18, 2:20 PM EDTTornado WarningGYXFranklin15 min
Jul 18, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Essex, Franklin64 min
Jul 18, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCheshire35 min
Jul 18, 2:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Essex, Lamoille, Washington57 min
Jul 18, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXHillsborough45 min
Jul 18, 2:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXKennebec, Somerset, Waldo53 min
Jul 18, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll38 min
Jul 18, 2:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot, Piscataquis62 min
Jul 18, 3:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARHancock, Penobscot, Piscataquis, Washington57 min
Jul 18, 3:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos, Grafton57 min
Jul 18, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook55 min
Jul 18, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot54 min
Jul 18, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland, Oxford, York45 min
Jul 18, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARHancock, Penobscot, Washington56 min
Jul 18, 3:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXRockingham26 min
Jul 18, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook, Penobscot, Washington47 min
Jul 18, 4:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARHancock, Penobscot, Washington63 min
Jul 18, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot23 min
Jul 18, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARHancock, Penobscot30 min
Jul 18, 5:48 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedCARAroostook27 min
Jul 18, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll, Coos, Grafton47 min
Jul 18, 6:13 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedCARAroostook32 min
Jul 18, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin47 min
Jul 18, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVOrange, Washington47 min
Jul 18, 6:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton65 min
Jul 18, 6:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXKennebec, Somerset57 min
Jul 18, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex, Franklin, Orleans64 min
Jul 18, 7:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXKennebec, Waldo67 min
Jul 18, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Oxford30 min
Jul 18, 7:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland, Oxford, York27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 220 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2016-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 24 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2016-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 219 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
24 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-141 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1173 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
219 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 10:32 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Franklin, Kennebec, Lincoln, Oxford and 4 more118 min
Jul 18, 3:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Hancock, Kennebec and 10 more84 min
Jul 18, 6:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Hancock, Kennebec and 10 more86 min
Jul 18, 11:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Bronx, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Fulton and 19 more95 min
Jul 18, 12:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Bronx, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango and 37 more8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.