Alert archive / Vermont / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1316

July 18, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 18, 2016, 10:32 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2016, 10:32 AM EDT (14:32 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2016, 12:30 PM EDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 39 counties

Androscoggin County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Waldo County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Clinton County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Lewis County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Addison County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 192 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2016-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 24 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2016-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 219 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
24 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-141 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1173 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
219 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 11:12 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndroscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Hancock, Kennebec and 10 more9 hr
Jul 18, 3:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Hancock, Kennebec and 10 more84 min
Jul 18, 6:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Hancock, Kennebec and 10 more86 min
Jul 18, 11:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Bronx, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Fulton and 19 more95 min
Jul 18, 12:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Bronx, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango and 37 more8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Vermont, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Maine, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.