Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360

July 8, 20169 counties in North Carolina; 29 counties in Virginia; Mercer County, Monroe County, Summers County, West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 8, 2016, 3:53 PM EDT for 9 counties in North Carolina; 29 counties in Virginia; Mercer County, Monroe County, Summers County, West Virginia. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2016, 3:53 PM EDT (19:53 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2016, 8:35 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 41 counties

Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Appomattox County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 19 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBland, Giles, Pulaski45 min
Jul 8, 4:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBland, Carroll, Grayson, Wythe, City of Galax58 min
Jul 8, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bedford, Botetourt, Campbell, Craig, Franklin and 3 more63 min
Jul 8, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax62 min
Jul 8, 5:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFloyd, Franklin, Montgomery, Patrick, Pulaski, Roanoke55 min
Jul 8, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHenry, Pittsylvania, City of Martinsville53 min
Jul 8, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKRockingham, Stokes, Surry72 min
Jul 8, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell70 min
Jul 8, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Watauga, Wilkes66 min
Jul 8, 6:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell56 min
Jul 8, 6:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham, Stokes38 min
Jul 8, 7:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin54 min
Jul 8, 7:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKRockingham, Stokes, Surry, Yadkin33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 80 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 163 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 201 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
163 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-186 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
898 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 3:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Burke, Caldwell and 12 more88 min
Jul 8, 5:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 49 more57 min
Jul 8, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Avery, Beaufort, Bertie and 68 more6 hr
Jul 8, 6:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Avery, Caldwell, Davie, Iredell, Watauga and 2 more57 min
Jul 8, 7:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay24 min
Jul 8, 1:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Campbell, Claiborne, Cocke and 31 more59 min
Jul 8, 1:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Blount, Campbell, Cannon and 50 more7 hr
Jul 8, 2:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Dyer, Gibson and 10 more2 hr
Jul 8, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChester, Crockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson, Hardeman and 9 more5 hr
Jul 8, 3:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Blount, Campbell, Cannon and 41 more56 min
Jul 8, 5:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Chester, Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood and 6 more63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.