Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1208

July 8, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 8, 2016, 3:32 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 88 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2016, 3:32 PM EDT (19:32 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2016, 5:00 PM EDT
In force
88 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 46 counties

Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Davie County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Iredell County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Johnson County, TN, Alleghany County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Carroll County, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Henry County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 163 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 201 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
163 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-186 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
898 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 3 more5 hr
Jul 8, 5:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 49 more57 min
Jul 8, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Avery, Beaufort, Bertie and 68 more6 hr
Jul 8, 6:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Avery, Caldwell, Davie, Iredell, Watauga and 2 more57 min
Jul 8, 7:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay24 min
Jul 8, 1:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Campbell, Claiborne, Cocke and 31 more59 min
Jul 8, 1:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Blount, Campbell, Cannon and 50 more7 hr
Jul 8, 2:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Dyer, Gibson and 10 more2 hr
Jul 8, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChester, Crockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson, Hardeman and 9 more5 hr
Jul 8, 3:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Blount, Campbell, Cannon and 41 more56 min
Jul 8, 5:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Chester, Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood and 6 more63 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.