Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 229

May 29, 201641 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 29, 2016, 7:10 PM CDT for 41 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2016, 7:10 PM CDT (00:10 UTC)
Expired
May 30, 2016, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 41 counties

Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 7:39 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTThrockmorton36 min
May 29, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Throckmorton40 min
May 29, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDYoung65 min
May 29, 8:15 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSJTThrockmorton45 min
May 29, 8:20 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedFWDYoung25 min
May 29, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell62 min
May 29, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTJones, Shackelford, Throckmorton40 min
May 29, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTThrockmorton47 min
May 29, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Jones, Shackelford, Throckmorton65 min
May 29, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDYoung48 min
May 29, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Jones, Shackelford, Taylor63 min
May 29, 9:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDYoung3 hr
May 29, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher61 min
May 29, 9:35 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTShackelford25 min
May 29, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Shackelford57 min
May 29, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDStephens66 min
May 29, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Shackelford65 min
May 29, 10:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDYoung84 min
May 29, 11:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland, Palo Pinto, Stephens59 min
May 29, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Taylor64 min
May 29, 11:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDEastland, Stephens3 hr
May 29, 11:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDYoung4 hr
May 30, 12:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Coleman63 min
May 30, 1:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Coleman38 min
May 30, 1:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDErath, Hood41 min
May 30, 1:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDPalo Pinto, Parker46 min
May 30, 3:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch, Mason, Menard36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1610 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1610 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1577 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 7:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Brewster, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 22 more85 min
May 29, 9:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 28 more2 hr
May 29, 11:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 18 more83 min
May 30, 9:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJackson, Lavaca, Victoria64 min
May 30, 2:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Brewster, Crane, Crockett, Culberson, Ector and 12 more2 hr
May 30, 5:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 15 more2 hr
May 30, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBorden, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Dawson and 15 more5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.