Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016
Mesoscale Discussion 783
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 29, 2016, 6:05 PM MDT for Chaves County, Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico; 28 counties in Texas. It was in force for 85 min.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 29, 2016, 6:05 PM MDT (00:05 UTC)
- Expired
- May 29, 2016, 7:30 PM MDT
- In force
- 85 min
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
All 31 counties
Chaves County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Loving County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Terry County, TX, Upton County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2014 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -124 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1358 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.5
The text
As transmitted.
980 ACUS11 KWNS 300006 SWOMCD SPC MCD 300005 TXZ000-NMZ000-300130- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0783 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0705 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TX CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 228... VALID 300005Z - 300130Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 228 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS CURRENTLY VOID OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS SAVE FOR A LONE CELL NEAR THE RIO GRANDE. ALTHOUGH A CONDITIONAL THREAT OF HAIL AND WIND EXISTS...THE WATCH MIGHT BE CANCELED EARLY IF STORMS DO NOT MATERIALIZE. DISCUSSION...00Z MAF SOUNDING SHOWS A SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING INVERSION WITH A RATHER JUMBLED LOW TO MIDLEVEL WIND PROFILE. EARLIER...A CELL EXISTED NEAR WINK TX BUT IT DID NOT LAST VERY LONG. ANOTHER LONE CELL CURRENTLY EXISTS ALONG THE BREWSTER COUNTY/MEXICO LINE BUT WILL CONTINUE INTO MEXICO. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SFC OBS ALSO INDICATE DIFLUENT FLOW ALONG WITH SHALLOW CU. GIVEN ONLY LOWER 60S F DEWPOINTS...AND THE SETTING SUN...IT SEEMS UNLIKELY THAT ANYTHING MORE THAN AN ISOLATED STORM WILL FORM THROUGH EVENING UNLESS WARM ADVECTION/850 MB FLOW CAN BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO INDUCE LIFT. ..JEWELL.. 05/30/2016 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ... LAT...LON 33470458 33460102 29660072 29620408 33470458
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 1:28 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, Eddy, Lea | 2 hr |
| May 29, 6:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bell, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 35 more | 9 hr |
| May 29, 8:27 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 28 more | 2 hr |
| May 29, 10:52 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 18 more | 83 min |
| May 30, 8:41 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jackson, Lavaca, Victoria | 64 min |
| May 30, 4:49 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 15 more | 2 hr |
| May 30, 5:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Borden, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Dawson and 15 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.