Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 151

May 8, 201632 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 8, 2016, 5:09 PM CDT for 32 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2016, 5:09 PM CDT (22:09 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2016, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Adams County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Clay County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Valley County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson46 min
May 8, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLogan37 min
May 8, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarfield, Loup31 min
May 8, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln29 min
May 8, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Cherry27 min
May 8, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster23 min
May 8, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Cherry33 min
May 8, 7:29 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFFrontier46 min
May 8, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt, Rock30 min
May 8, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLoup, Rock39 min
May 8, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson51 min
May 8, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt31 min
May 8, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarfield25 min
May 8, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Lincoln38 min
May 8, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSherman, Valley42 min
May 8, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson28 min
May 8, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster34 min
May 8, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt30 min
May 8, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt31 min
May 8, 10:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Thayer41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2016-05-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2016-05-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 299 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
921 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
299 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
343 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

633 
WWUS20 KWNS 082208
SEL1  
SPC WW 082208
NEZ000-090500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 151
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
510 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 510 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO
FORM AND MOVE / DEVELOP GENERALLY NE ACROSS CENTRAL NEB THIS
EVENING...WITH A PRIMARY RISK FOR LARGE HAIL.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF
KEARNEY NEBRASKA TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF BURWELL NEBRASKA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 148...WW 149...WW 150...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23020.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 9:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Keith and 3 more86 min
May 8, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCFranklin, Furnas, Harlan, Nuckolls, Red Willow, Webster8 hr
May 8, 4:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Blaine, Boone, Buffalo, Butler, Clay and 22 more90 min
May 8, 6:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Furnas, Harlan, Webster87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.