Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 970

June 17, 20165 counties in Florida; 38 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 17, 2016, 7:38 PM EDT for 5 counties in Florida; 38 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 67 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2016, 7:38 PM EDT (23:38 UTC)
Expired
Jun 17, 2016, 8:45 PM EDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 43 counties

Baker County, FL, Duval County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Camden County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Echols County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Worth County, GA

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2581 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2581 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
760 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

125 
ACUS11 KWNS 172338
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172338 
GAZ000-FLZ000-180045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0970
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN GA AND FAR NORTHEASTERN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266...268...

VALID 172338Z - 180045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
266...268...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL FOCUS
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GA AND FAR NORTHEASTERN FL THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...WHILE TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED INTO THE 80S ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN GA IN RESPONSE TO PREVIOUS CONVECTION...A POCKET OF
STRONGER HEATING /I.E. TEMPS IN THE 90S/ AND RICH MOISTURE REMAINS
OVER SOUTHEASTERN GA AND FAR NORTHEASTERN FL. WHILE THE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM TO THE NORTH IS BECOMING FARTHER DISPLACED FROM STRONGER FLOW
ALOFT...INITIATING CELLS ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MAY STILL ATTAIN
AT LEAST MARGINALLY SEVERE STRENGTH. STRONG WINDS WILL REMAIN THE
MAIN THREAT...PRIMARILY SUPPORTED BY HEAVY PRECIPITATION LOADING AND
A VERY BUOYANT LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS.

..PICCA.. 06/17/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   29748109 30858425 31348490 31958468 31898089 29748109

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 1:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa8 hr
Jun 17, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaker, Bay, Calhoun, Clay, Duval, Franklin and 12 more6 hr
Jun 17, 7:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Escambia, Holmes, Jackson, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa and 2 more60 min
Jun 17, 12:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Chattahoochee, Coweta, Douglas, Fayette, Haralson and 13 more116 min
Jun 17, 12:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Bacon, Baldwin, Barrow, Ben Hill, Bibb and 80 more2 hr
Jun 17, 1:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bartow, Bibb, Bleckley, Bryan and 92 more8 hr
Jun 17, 3:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Baldwin, Ben Hill, Bibb, Bleckley, Bryan and 55 more61 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.