Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 965

June 17, 201661 counties in Georgia; 12 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 17, 2016, 3:44 PM EDT for 61 counties in Georgia; 12 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 61 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2016, 3:44 PM EDT (19:44 UTC)
Expired
Jun 17, 2016, 4:45 PM EDT
In force
61 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 73 counties

Appling County, GA, Baldwin County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Burke County, GA, Butts County, GA, Candler County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, Macon County, GA, Marion County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pike County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Schley County, GA, Screven County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Upson County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Beaufort County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Charleston County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Jasper County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2016-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1265 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2016-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 88 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1265 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-151 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1321 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

067 
ACUS11 KWNS 171945
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171944 
SCZ000-GAZ000-172045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0965
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL GA EWD INTO SRN AND COASTAL SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266...

VALID 171944Z - 172045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SWATHS OF WIND DAMAGE DUE TO
STRONG/SEVERE GUSTS /50-65 MPH/ WILL CONTINUE AS CLUSTERS OF SEVERE
MULTICELLS MOVE SEWD INTO THE SC COASTAL AREAS AND CNTRL GA OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE MOST
INTENSE UPDRAFTS.

DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A BROKEN SQUALL LINE WITH CLUSTERS
OF SEVERE MULTICELLS ALIGNED FROM THE I-26 CORRIDOR N OF CHS WWD TO
AGS AND W-CNTRL GA.  A 51-KT GUST WAS MEASURED BY KMNI IN CNTRL SC
AROUND 1915Z AND A 45-KT GUST AT KFFC NEAR ATLANTA.  STRONG HEATING
WITH TEMPS IN THE 95-100 DEG F RANGE HAVE RESULTED IN VERY STEEP 0-2
KM LAPSE RATES /IN EXCESS OF 9 DEG C PER KM/ DOWNSTREAM OF THE
SEWD-MOVING CLUSTERS.  THE 18Z CHS RAOB MODIFIED FOR CONDITIONS OVER
THE SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY/COASTAL SC YIELDS AROUND 3500 J/KG MLCAPE.
 A LAYER OF STRONGER FLOW /H85-H5 30-45 KT/ SAMPLED BY THE 18Z CHS
RAOB WILL LIKELY PROVE FAVORABLE FOR SWATHS OF WIND DAMAGE WHERE THE
STRONGER WATER-LOADED DOWNDRAFTS PUNCH THE STRONGER MOMENTUM TO THE
SURFACE.

FARTHER W...STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE MULTICELLS WILL CONTINUE SEWD
OVER CNTRL GA WHERE TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS ARE AROUND 35 DEG F. 
SLIGHTLY WEAKER FLOW IN THE H85-H5 LAYER WILL TEND TO RESULT IN A
MORE ISOLATED WIND-DAMAGE RISK COMPARED TO FARTHER E OVER SERN GA
AND COASTAL SC.

..SMITH.. 06/17/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   31878425 33398517 33518152 33567906 31348122 31878425

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 12:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Chattahoochee, Coweta, Douglas, Fayette, Haralson and 13 more116 min
Jun 17, 12:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Bacon, Baldwin, Barrow, Ben Hill, Bibb and 80 more2 hr
Jun 17, 1:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bartow, Bibb, Bleckley, Bryan and 92 more8 hr
Jun 17, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien and 34 more6 hr
Jun 17, 7:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Early, Quitman60 min
Jun 17, 7:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien and 32 more67 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.