Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016
Mesoscale Discussion 902
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 13, 2016, 6:17 PM CDT for 6 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 88 min.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 13, 2016, 6:17 PM CDT (23:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 13, 2016, 7:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 88 min
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Chance of a watch
- 95%
Counties Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gray County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Lane County, KS, Meade County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watches that followed
Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1739 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -151 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -55 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
075 ACUS11 KWNS 132318 SWOMCD SPC MCD 132317 KSZ000-140045- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0902 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0617 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN KS CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY VALID 132317Z - 140045Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...THE SVR RISK IS INCREASING E OF WW 250...LIKELY NECESSITATING THE ISSUANCE OF A SVR TSTM WATCH DOWNSTREAM. DISCUSSION...A FORWARD-PROPAGATING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER WILL CONTINUE SPREADING EWD/SEWD INTO/ACROSS PARTS OF SWRN KS. WITH MOIST/UNSTABLE INFLOW CHARACTERIZED BY 1000-2500 J/KG OF MLCAPE AMIDST 35-50 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR...SVR WIND/HAIL WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 06/13/2016 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 37230121 38410129 38540024 37529960 37160015 37230121
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 1:13 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Haskell, Kearny and 4 more | 92 min |
| Jun 13, 2:27 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Cheyenne, Greeley, Hamilton, Morton, Sherman, Stanton and 1 more | 8 hr |
| Jun 13, 5:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Greeley, Hamilton, Morton, Sherman, Stanton, Wallace | 89 min |
| Jun 13, 6:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford, Grant and 17 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.