Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 892

June 13, 201610 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 13, 2016, 1:13 AM CDT for 10 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2016, 1:13 AM CDT (06:13 UTC)
Expired
Jun 13, 2016, 2:45 AM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
5%

Counties Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Meade County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2016-06-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 425 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2016-06-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
425 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1951 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

096 
ACUS11 KWNS 130614
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130613 
KSZ000-130745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0113 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 130613Z - 130745Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS...BUT OVERALL RISK SHOULD DIMINISH THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...SHORT QLCS FROM LOGAN TO KEARNY COUNTIES HAS
ACCELERATED IN FORWARD SPEED UP TO 35 KT AS IR CLOUD TOPS HAVE
COOLED. THE LINE HAS PRODUCED MEASURED WIND GUSTS OF 50 KT IN
WICHITA COUNTY AT 0558Z AND 49 KT AT K3K3 IN HAMILTON COUNTY AT
0542Z. THIS ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY MERGE WITH A SLOWER-MOVING
CLUSTER CENTERED AROUND THE GARDEN CITY AREA AND MAY TEND TO DEVELOP
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES. UNTIL THESE PROCESSES OCCUR...THE RISK FOR ISOLATED
SEVERE WIND GUSTS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT 08Z.

..GRAMS/HART.. 06/13/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38780105 38800037 38359994 37719986 37299983 37080020
            37060080 37460134 38040136 38780105

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 2:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCheyenne, Greeley, Hamilton, Morton, Sherman, Stanton and 1 more8 hr
Jun 13, 5:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGreeley, Hamilton, Morton, Sherman, Stanton, Wallace89 min
Jun 13, 6:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Lane, Meade88 min
Jun 13, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford, Grant and 17 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.