Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 702

May 24, 201610 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 24, 2016, 3:08 AM CDT for 10 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 67 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2016, 3:08 AM CDT (08:08 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2016, 4:15 AM CDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Graham County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2016-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2915 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2016-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 132 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2915 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1153 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.1
Supercell composite
15.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

959 
ACUS11 KWNS 240809
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240808 
KSZ000-240915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0702
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN AND N-CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202...

VALID 240808Z - 240915Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A MARGINALLY SEVERE-HAIL THREAT WILL TEND TO FOCUS ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW OVER N-CNTRL
AND NWRN KS.

DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A WEST-EAST ORIENTED CLUSTER OF
STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL WITH THE
STRONGER CORES.  THE TERMINUS OF A STRONG SOUTHERLY LLJ IS FOCUSED
OVER NRN PORTIONS OF KS AND THIS FEATURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG
POLEWARD FLUX OF ADEQUATELY RICH MOISTURE.  MODERATE ELEVATED
BUOYANCY /MUCAPE 1000-2000 J PER KG/ AMIDST EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-40
KT WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS /MIX OF STRONG MULTICELLS AND
SHORT-LIVES SUPERCELLS/ CAPABLE OF AN ISOLATED LARGE-HAIL RISK FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

..SMITH.. 05/24/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38950101 39820039 39559672 39079693 38950101

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 11:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark83 min
May 23, 11:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Butler, Cloud, Dickinson, Edwards, Ellis and 31 more114 min
May 24, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellis, Ellsworth and 36 more7 hr
May 24, 2:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Finney, Ford, Gray, Haskell and 7 more119 min
May 24, 3:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 21 more9 hr
May 24, 6:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford, Gove and 11 more91 min
May 24, 6:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace89 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.